Model’s top picks

Football predictions and tips today

  • 163 matches with predictions
  • 19 leagues

Match picks

The model’s picks in the league and day you chose, grouped by risk. Low risk is a model chance of 72% and up, medium 62 to 72%, high 50 to 62%. These are probabilities, not tips.

Ranked picks this round

Model ranking and probability for each pick. Risk levels describe the selection, not a guaranteed result.

#MatchPickModel chanceRisk level
1Paris SGTroyes Ligue 1PickParis SG to winModel81.5%Low risk
2GalatasarayAmedspor Süper LigPickGalatasaray to winModel78.8%Low risk
3BenficaAlverca Primeira LigaPickBenfica to winModel78.5%Low risk
4Sp LisbonMoreirense Primeira LigaPickSp Lisbon to winModel77.9%Low risk
5DortmundElversberg BundesligaPickDortmund to winModel75.3%Low risk
6ArsenalHull Premier LeaguePickArsenal to winModel74.9%Low risk
7RosenborgStart EliteserienPickRosenborg to winModel73.7%Low risk
8Univ. CraiovaFC Botosani Liga IPickUniv. Craiova to winModel72.0%Low risk
9SiriusHalmstad AllsvenskanPickSirius to winModel71.3%Low risk
10RomaSassuolo Serie APickRoma to winModel71.0%Low risk
11HalmstadDjurgarden AllsvenskanPickDjurgarden to winModel70.3%Low risk
12PAOKAsteras Tripolis Super League GreecePickPAOK to winModel68.2%Low risk
13HerthaWolfsburg 2. BundesligaPickHertha to winModel68.2%Low risk

Match cards by league

La Liga2

La Liga2026-11-01
ElcheValencia
Model’s pickHome win47.3%
1X2 · Match result
1
47.3%
X
25.7%
2
27.0%
Over 2.5 & BTTS (Yes)
Over 2.5
49.1%
BTTS (Yes)
52.9%
See full predictions
La Liga2026-11-01
Ath BilbaoSociedad
Model’s pickHome win51.7%
1X2 · Match result
1
51.7%
X
24.0%
2
24.2%
Over 2.5 & BTTS (Yes)
Over 2.5
54.5%
BTTS (Yes)
56.7%
See full predictions
See more leagues (12)Show fewer leagues

Serie A3

Ligue 11

Primeira Liga3

Pro League2

Super League Greece4

Süper Lig1

Segunda División4

Allsvenskan2

Danish Superliga2

Ekstraklasa2

Eliteserien1

Liga I3

Top tips from our AI experts

Current published picks from leading AI experts. Results are simulated paper returns; no-bet decisions remain visible.

How our football predictions work →

View all 29 experts →

Explore predictions by market

Browse football predictions by market and risk. Model chances and fair odds are estimates, never guarantees. Grade C estimates are less precise.

How our football predictions work →

Corners

44 tips
Low risk
Atromitos vs Volos NFCAtromitosVolos NFC

Under 12.5 corners

Both teams combined
Model chance
89.1%
Fair odds
1.12
Kalamata vs IraklisKalamataIraklis

Under 12.5 corners

Both teams combined
Model chance
88.6%
Fair odds
1.13
Aris vs PanetolikosArisPanetolikos

Under 12.5 corners

Both teams combined
Model chance
88.1%
Fair odds
1.14
Calibration C · range, not a point

Cards

45 tips
Low risk
Excelsior vs Go Ahead EaglesExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles

Under 5.5 cards

Both teams combined
Model chance
95.4%
Fair odds
1.05
Willem II vs ZwolleWillem IIZwolle

Under 5.5 cards

Both teams combined
Model chance
93.8%
Fair odds
1.07
Heerenveen vs FeyenoordHeerenveenFeyenoord

Under 5.5 cards

Both teams combined
Model chance
93.4%
Fair odds
1.07
Calibration C · range, not a point

Shots

44 tips
Low risk
RB Leipzig vs AugsburgRB LeipzigAugsburg

Over 6.5 shots on target

Both teams combined
Model chance
88.3%
Fair odds
1.13
Den Haag vs Sparta RotterdamDen HaagSparta Rotterdam

Over 6.5 shots on target

Both teams combined
Model chance
85.7%
Fair odds
1.17
Calibration C · range, not a point

Goals

45 tips
Medium risk
Eyupspor vs KocaelisporEyupsporKocaelispor

Under 2.5 goals

Both teams combined
Model chance
67.9%
Fair odds
1.47
Club Brugge vs AnderlechtClub BruggeAnderlecht

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams combined
Model chance
67.3%
Fair odds
1.49
Excelsior vs Go Ahead EaglesExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams combined
Model chance
66.4%
Fair odds
1.51
Valerenga vs TromsoValerengaTromso

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams combined
Model chance
66.0%
Fair odds
1.52
Magdeburg vs St PauliMagdeburgSt Pauli

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams combined
Model chance
65.6%
Fair odds
1.52
Kristiansund vs ValerengaKristiansundValerenga

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams combined
Model chance
65.2%
Fair odds
1.53
Calibration B · calibrated

Both teams to score

36 tips
Low risk
Mainz vs Bayern MunichMainzBayern Munich
Model chance
70.1%
Fair odds
1.43
Medium risk
Excelsior vs Go Ahead EaglesExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles
Model chance
67.5%
Fair odds
1.48
Calibration B · calibrated

Double chance

38 tips
Low risk
Benfica vs AlvercaBenficaAlverca
Model chance
92.9%
Fair odds
1.08
Sp Lisbon vs MoreirenseSp LisbonMoreirense
Model chance
92.8%
Fair odds
1.08
Galatasaray vs AmedsporGalatasarayAmedspor
Model chance
92.6%
Fair odds
1.08
Calibration B · calibrated

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Best combos

Up to 9 slips per size, only when enough qualifying matches exist. Combined chance assumes independent matches; fair odds are model estimates. Risk bands use combined chance: 72% and above, 62% to below 72%, and below 62%.

Doubles9 slips

Trebles9 slips

Four-folds9 slips

Five-folds9 slips

Our model vs market

Compare model and bookmaker probabilities for the same selection. The gap is a difference of opinion, not a proven betting edge. Our tests have not established an edge. Fair odds are model estimates, not bookmaker offers.

How our football predictions work →

Oviedo vs Las PalmasOviedoLas Palmas
Model40.5%
Market20.2%
Gap (pp)+20.3
Bookmaker odds 4.50Match Result
Osasuna vs Ath BilbaoOsasunaAth Bilbao
Model39.9%
Market28.6%
Gap (pp)+11.3
Bookmaker odds 3.25Match Result
Espanol vs La CorunaEspanolLa Coruna
Model53.5%
Market43.1%
Gap (pp)+10.4
Bookmaker odds 2.20Match Result

Every match, every market

Compare published match-result, goals and other market probabilities. Top matches highlights selected fixtures; it does not rank betting value.

How our football predictions work →

Ath Bilbao vs Sociedad
Select a match to compare its five markets
MatchResultGoalsCornersCardsShotsSave model pick
Ath Bilbao vs SociedadSun 1 Nov 20:00 UK51.7%Ath Bilbao54.5%Over 2.550.6%Under 9.561.5%Over 3.553.4%Over 24.5
Juventus vs NapoliSun 1 Nov 19:45 UK40.4%Juventus58.5%Under 2.557.7%Under 9.561.8%Under 3.553.9%Over 24.5
Marseille vs ToulouseSun 1 Nov 19:45 UK48.5%Marseille60.4%Over 2.556.7%Under 9.553.5%Over 3.554.6%Over 24.5
Elche vs ValenciaSun 1 Nov 17:30 UK47.3%Elche50.9%Under 2.553.2%Under 9.564.3%Over 3.550.5%Over 24.5
Lecce vs GenoaSun 1 Nov 17:00 UK40.1%Genoa60.3%Under 2.558.9%Under 9.553.0%Under 3.550.3%Under 24.5
Lorient vs BrestMon 2 Nov 19:45 UK42.8%Lorient51.8%Under 2.553.0%Under 9.552.1%Under 3.550.8%Over 24.5
6 matches available
La Liga
Sun 1 Nov 20:00 UK

Ath Bilbao

vs

Sociedad

Market
Pick
Model chance
Result
Ath Bilbao
51.7%
Goals
Over 2.5
54.5%
Corners
Under 9.5
50.6%
Cards
Over 3.5
61.5%
Shots
Over 24.5
53.4%
View match →
Save model pick
Model estimates · saving adds the match-result pick to your betslip.

This round in numbers

The published round snapshot. Price coverage counts its 1X2 quotes, not older recorded display prices. Averages describe the round, not an individual match.

190matches analysed19 leagues
52.4%average Over 2.5110 games lean over
145games lean BTTSboth teams to score
25with 1X2 pricesin the published snapshot
81.5%strongest callParis SG to win

Tomorrow’s football predictions

One qualifying model selection per match. Leading leagues first, then kickoff; row numbers are not a model ranking.

We favour model chances of at least 55% at prices from 1.30 to 3.00. Within three percentage points of the strongest eligible chance, a fresh recorded quote and the model chance × price decide between alternatives. Other qualified reads are fallbacks; longer odds are never invented.

Recorded is a saved Bet365 quote checked within the last 24 hours and can change. Fair is 1 ÷ model chance, a model calculation, not an offered price. This editorial selection is not evidence of a betting edge.

Corners, cards and shots are match totals for both teams. Card estimates count yellow cards; bookmaker settlement rules can differ. Risk labels describe model chance, not a guaranteed outcome.

#MatchPickModel chanceOddsRisk level
1NewcastleEverton Premier LeagueMon 2 Nov · 20:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel57.1%Fair1.75High risk
2La CorunaOsasuna La LigaMon 2 Nov · 20:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel64.1%Fair1.56Medium risk
3SassuoloFiorentina Serie AMon 2 Nov · 17:30 UKPickUnder 9.5 cornersModel61.5%Fair1.63High risk
4AtalantaParma Serie AMon 2 Nov · 19:45 UKPickUnder 3.5 cardsModel61.6%Fair1.62High risk
5LorientBrest Ligue 1Mon 2 Nov · 19:45 UKPickUnder 2.5 goalsModel51.8%Recorded1.73High risk
6BenficaAlverca Primeira LigaMon 2 Nov · 20:15 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel67.6%Fair1.48Medium risk
7Gil VicenteGuimaraes Primeira LigaMon 2 Nov · 20:15 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel69.0%Fair1.45Medium risk
8AtromitosVolos NFC Super League GreeceMon 2 Nov · 16:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel76.8%Fair1.30Low risk
9KalamataIraklis Super League GreeceMon 2 Nov · 17:30 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel74.7%Fair1.34Low risk
10GenclerbirligiAlanyaspor Süper LigMon 2 Nov · 17:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel63.5%Fair1.58Medium risk
11OviedoLas Palmas Segunda DivisiónMon 2 Nov · 15:15 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel72.9%Fair1.37Low risk
12ValladolidLeganes Segunda DivisiónMon 2 Nov · 17:30 UKPickUnder 2.5 goalsModel57.8%Recorded1.80High risk

Football predictions this weekend

One qualifying model selection per match. Leading leagues first, then kickoff; row numbers are not a model ranking.

We favour model chances of at least 55% at prices from 1.30 to 3.00. Within three percentage points of the strongest eligible chance, a fresh recorded quote and the model chance × price decide between alternatives. Other qualified reads are fallbacks; longer odds are never invented.

Recorded is a saved Bet365 quote checked within the last 24 hours and can change. Fair is 1 ÷ model chance, a model calculation, not an offered price. This editorial selection is not evidence of a betting edge.

Corners, cards and shots are match totals for both teams. Card estimates count yellow cards; bookmaker settlement rules can differ. Risk labels describe model chance, not a guaranteed outcome.

#MatchPickModel chanceOddsRisk level
1ElcheValencia La LigaSun 1 Nov · 17:30 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel64.3%Fair1.55Medium risk
2Ath BilbaoSociedad La LigaSun 1 Nov · 20:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel61.5%Fair1.63High risk
3LecceGenoa Serie ASun 1 Nov · 17:00 UKPickUnder 2.5 goalsModel60.3%Recorded1.57High risk
4JuventusNapoli Serie ASun 1 Nov · 19:45 UKPickUnder 3.5 cardsModel61.8%Recorded2.20High risk
5MarseilleToulouse Ligue 1Sun 1 Nov · 19:45 UKPickBoth teams to score: YesModel61.7%Fair1.62High risk
6Academico ViseuRio Ave Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov · 18:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel64.5%Fair1.55Medium risk
7MaritimoSanta Clara Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov · 18:00 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel73.6%Fair1.36Low risk
8Sp BragaFamalicao Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov · 20:30 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel70.7%Fair1.41Medium risk
9Lommel SKGent Pro LeagueSun 1 Nov · 17:30 UKPickOver 24.5 shotsModel58.7%Fair1.70High risk
10CharleroiRAAL La Louviere Pro LeagueSun 1 Nov · 18:15 UKPickOver 24.5 shotsModel57.7%Fair1.73High risk
11PAOKAsteras Tripolis Super League GreeceSun 1 Nov · 17:00 UKPickPAOK to winModel68.2%Recorded1.33Medium risk
12PanathinaikosAEK Super League GreeceSun 1 Nov · 17:30 UKPickOver 3.5 cardsModel72.9%Fair1.37Low risk

Super 6 predictions this week: the score we would enter for each British match.

Draw predictions: the highest draw chances this round

Ranked by draw probability. Fair odds are calculated from the model chance, not a bookmaker quote. This is a comparison, not a ranking of recommended bets.

A draw is rarely the most likely result, even here. These are the matches where our model gives it the best chance, not a tip to back it.

#MatchOutcomeDraw chanceOdds
1EyupsporKocaelispor Süper LigSat 7 Nov · 10:30 UKOutcomeDrawDraw32.1%Fair3.12
2FC ArgesDinamo Bucuresti Liga IFri 6 Nov · 18:30 UKOutcomeDrawDraw31.7%Fair3.15
3BoulogneAnnecy Ligue 2Fri 6 Nov · 19:00 UKOutcomeDrawDraw30.9%Fair3.24
4MaritimoSanta Clara Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov · 18:00 UKOutcomeDrawDraw30.1%Fair3.32
5BurgosCastellon Segunda DivisiónSun 1 Nov · 17:30 UKOutcomeDrawDraw30.0%Fair3.33
6PanathinaikosAEK Super League GreeceSun 1 Nov · 17:30 UKOutcomeDrawDraw29.7%Fair3.37

Fixtures

Choose a matchday or league, then open a match for available model analysis. Model pick compares a fixed set: match result, 2.5 goals, BTTS, 9.5 corners, 3.5 cards and 24.5 shots. A model-minus-market gap of at least 5 percentage points comes first only with a supplied calibration grade and a complete margin-adjusted price comparison; otherwise the strongest meaningful published probability is shown. Untrusted or insufficient grades are excluded. Reads use 50 to 92% probability; tiny lines and double chance are excluded. This is a model read, not a proven advantage or a betting recommendation. Odds are recorded prices for the exact selection; Fair is calculated from the model and is not a bookmaker offer. Niche totals describe both teams. Schedule-only matches have no verified eligible model read. Search and date filters apply to this set of fixtures; use the navigation below to browse more. Kickoff times use UK time, or your timezone selected in Settings. Missing fixtures are not guessed.

795 upcoming matches · 41 leagues

Swipe to explore leagues

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 17 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 8 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 20 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 4 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 5 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 5 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 17 Nov 2026

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Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 8 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 21 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 20 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 22 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 8 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

Fixtures through 8 Nov 2026

This is the latest fixture date received for this selection. League coverage can differ. Later fixtures are not yet available from the feed; we do not fill gaps with guessed matches.

TodaySun 1 Nov12
17:00UKLecceGenoaSerie AStrong callModel pickUnder 2.5 goals60.3%Fair1.66Under 9.5 corners · both teams58.9%BTTS No53.4%17:00UKBrondbyAarhusDanish SuperligaStrong callModel pickBTTS Yes56.8%Fair1.76Over 2.5 goals52.8%17:00UKPAOKAsteras TripolisSuper League GreeceStrong callModel pickHome win68.2%Fair1.47Over 3.5 cards · both teams67.9%Under 9.5 corners · both teams61.4%17:00UKBohemians 1905Sparta PrahaCzech LigaBetaSparta Praha to win48.7%17:00UKNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK OsijekHNLBetaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win40.5%17:00UKDukla Banská BystricaDunajska StredaSlovak Super LigaBetaDunajska Streda to win76.1%17:15UKUjpestNyiregyhazaNB IBetaUjpest to win52.1%17:30UKElcheValenciaLa LigaStrong callModel pickOver 3.5 cards · both teams64.3%Fair1.55Under 9.5 corners · both teams53.2%BTTS Yes52.9%17:30UKLommel SKGentPro LeagueStrong callModel pickOver 24.5 shots · both teams58.7%Fair1.70Under 3.5 cards · both teams56.0%Over 9.5 corners · both teams55.7%17:30UKBurgosCastellonSegunda DivisiónStrong callModel pickOver 3.5 cards · both teams75.0%Fair1.33Under 2.5 goals60.6%Under 9.5 corners · both teams53.7%17:30UKPanathinaikosAEKSuper League GreeceStrong callModel pickOver 3.5 cards · both teams72.9%Fair1.37Under 9.5 corners · both teams60.9%Under 2.5 goals59.7%18:00UKAcademico ViseuRio AvePrimeira LigaStrong callModel pickOver 3.5 cards · both teams64.5%Fair1.55Under 9.5 corners · both teams56.1%Under 24.5 shots · both teams55.9%

How we did recently

Matches we published a prediction for before kickoff, newest first. Our call is the side the model gave at least 50 percent: match result, over or under 2.5 goals, or both teams to score, whichever was strongest. A call is a hit when that side happened. A rate appears once five calls are graded. Misses stay on the record.

30 of 60 recent calls hit (50.0%).

Every graded prediction in the Honesty Ledger

Model updates dailyProbabilities, not tipsWe do not beat the closing marketSee the record
No-bet log · why we passed discipline first
  • Brondby v Aarhusconservative EV -0.004 <= 0
  • Oviedo v Las Palmastoo extreme an outsider (fair 0.20)
  • Atromitos v Volos NFCvalue_gap +0.007 <= 0.03
  • Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclawconservative EV -0.013 <= 0
  • Zaglebie v Korona Kielcebenchmark not sharp (Pinnacle missing, soft fallback) - edge not provable
  • Sassuolo v Fiorentinaoutside trust zone (model prob 0.38, zone (0.45, 0.7))
  • Valladolid v Leganesvalue_gap +0.013 <= 0.03

How our football predictions work

Model estimates are not guarantees. Our tests have not established a consistent edge over the sharp closing market. Read the honesty ledger for the full evidence.

How the model works

See the data and training behind our football predictions.

Explore the model

Read the honesty ledger

Football predictions FAQ

How are these football predictions made?

A statistical model estimates the chance of each outcome from past results, goals, team strength and, where available, expected goals. The percentages are refreshed every day before kickoff.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. They are model probabilities, not betting advice. Our own tests have not shown a consistent edge over the bookmakers’ closing prices, and the Honesty Ledger shows every graded call.

What does the percentage mean?

It is the model’s chance for that outcome. If the model says 60 percent, the aim is for it to happen about 60 times in 100 similar matches. The track record checks how close we get.

How do you grade a prediction?

Our call is the side the model gives at least 50 percent. After full time the call is a hit when that side happened, and a miss when it did not. Misses stay on the record.

What do Today, Tomorrow and Weekend use?

The UK date of kickoff. Kickoff times on the cards use UK time, or the timezone you choose in Settings.

Why is a match missing?

Predictions are published for the next seven days when both teams are verified. The fixtures page lists other matches and says why they have no prediction yet. We never fill gaps with guesses.