Eliteserien predictions
Calibrated model probabilities for the Eliteserien fixtures we currently model. We track 8 upcoming matches.
- 8Upcoming predictions
- 16Teams in league
- 59.9%Model avg Over 2.5
- 61.1%Model avg BTTS
Upcoming Eliteserien predictions
Bodo/GlimtBODVikingVIK
- Home win
- 49.3%
- Draw
- 23.6%
- Away win
- 27.1%
FredrikstadFRERosenborgROS
- Home win
- 28.3%
- Draw
- 25.5%
- Away win
- 46.2%
AalesundAALSandefjordSAN
- Home win
- 34.7%
- Draw
- 27.7%
- Away win
- 37.6%
BrannBRAMoldeMOL
- Home win
- 36.1%
- Draw
- 22.5%
- Away win
- 41.4%
KFUM OsloKFUHamKamHAM
- Home win
- 52.7%
- Draw
- 23.8%
- Away win
- 23.5%
Sarpsborg 08SARKristiansundKRI
- Home win
- 59.3%
- Draw
- 22.2%
- Away win
- 18.5%
StartSTALillestromLIL
- Home win
- 46.6%
- Draw
- 24.3%
- Away win
- 29.1%
ValerengaVALTromsoTRO
- Home win
- 39.0%
- Draw
- 23.6%
- Away win
- 37.5%
Eliteserien score predictions
The most likely correct score in each match. Even the leading scoreline usually has a low probability.
Eliteserien table and stats (2026)
Season 2026. 192 league matches played, through 2026-10-25.
Eliteserien standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 59 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 21 | +37 | 56 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 43 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 31 | +15 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 34 | +9 | 40 | LWDDL |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 39 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 | DLWLW |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 | WWWDD |
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 | DDDLL |
| 12 | HamKam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 26 | LLWLL |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 24 | LWDLL |
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 | WLLLW |
Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.
Season match patterns
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Eliteserien
- 63%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Eliteserien
- 60%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Home wins
Share of matches
- Eliteserien
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Draws
Share of matches
- Eliteserien
- 20%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Away wins
Share of matches
- Eliteserien
- 30%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Stored match analysis
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
- Molde 5-1 Fredrikstad, 25 Oct
- Start 1-0 Sandefjord, 25 Oct
- Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Aalesund, 25 Oct
- Lillestrom 3-2 Brann, 25 Oct
- Kristiansund 2-2 KFUM Oslo, 25 Oct
- Viking 3-1 Tromso, 25 Oct
- HamKam 0-3 Rosenborg, 24 Oct
- Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Valerenga, 24 Oct
- Tromso 1-1 KFUM Oslo, 18 Oct
- Valerenga 3-1 Brann, 18 Oct
- Sandefjord 0-2 Lillestrom, 18 Oct
- Molde 6-1 Start, 18 Oct
- Sarpsborg 08 0-3 Rosenborg, 18 Oct
- Viking 3-2 Fredrikstad, 17 Oct
- Kristiansund 1-4 Aalesund, 17 Oct
- HamKam 0-2 Bodo/Glimt, 17 Oct
Eliteserien Super 6 style picks: six correct scores
Super 6 itself uses British matches. This is the same Super 6 style idea on the Eliteserien: the matches where our score earns the most expected points, 5 for the exact score and 2 for the right result.
- 1Sarpsborg 08 vs KristiansundMost likely 1-1 (10.4%) · All scores2-110.0% exact1.48 exp. pts
- 2KFUM Oslo vs HamKamMost likely 1-1 (11.1%) · All scores2-19.8% exact1.35 exp. pts
- 3Bodo/Glimt vs VikingMost likely 1-1 (10.6%) · All scores2-19.5% exact1.27 exp. pts
- 4Start vs LillestromMost likely 1-1 (11.1%) · All scores2-19.3% exact1.21 exp. pts
- 5Fredrikstad vs RosenborgMost likely 1-1 (12.0%) · All scores1-29.4% exact1.20 exp. pts
- 6Brann vs MoldeMost likely 1-1 (9.0%) · All scores1-28.1% exact1.07 exp. pts
An exact score is always unlikely: the strongest one here has a 10.0% chance. All Premier League and EFL scores for the round are on our Super 6 predictions page.
Eliteserien referees
Matches in the Eliteserien since 2025/26, with career yellow cards per game from completed matches. We never publish referee appointments for upcoming matches unless an official source confirms them.
- Rohit Saggi34 matches3.48
- Tore Hansen34 matches3.72
- Marius Grotta31 matches3.69
- Mohammad Usman Aslam30 matches3.25
- Ola Hobber Nilsen30 matches3.23
- Sigurd Smehus Kringstad30 matches4.17
- Svein Tore Sinnes28 matches3.29
- Marius Lien27 matches3.12
- Stian Rovig Sletner26 matches3.38
- Christian Moen23 matches3.50
- Sivert Amland22 matches3.63
- Espen Eskas21 matches3.10
Eliteserien fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 16 of 16 upcoming league fixtures.
- Fri 30 Oct 2026
- 18:00 UKBodo/GlimtBODVikingVIK
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 15:00 UKFredrikstadFRERosenborgROS
- 17:00 UKAalesundAALSandefjordSAN
- Sun 1 Nov 2026
- 13:30 UKBrannBRAMoldeMOL
- 16:00 UKKFUM OsloKFUHamKamHAM
- 16:00 UKSarpsborg 08SARKristiansundKRI
- 16:00 UKStartSTALillestromLIL
- 18:15 UKValerengaVALTromsoTRO
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- 15:00 UKKristiansundKRIValerengaVAL
- 17:00 UKRosenborgROSStartSTA
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 13:30 UKTromsoTROBodo/GlimtBOD
- 16:00 UKHamKamHAMSarpsborg 08SAR
- 16:00 UKLillestromLILAalesundAAL
- 16:00 UKSandefjordSANMoldeMOL
- 16:00 UKVikingVIKKFUM OsloKFU
- 18:15 UKFredrikstadFREBrannBRA
Frequently asked questions
How many Eliteserien matches are predicted?
We currently model 8 upcoming fixtures across 16 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Eliteserien tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 8 matches the model averages 59.9% for Over 2.5 goals.
Who is top of the Eliteserien?
Viking lead the Eliteserien (2026) with 59 points from 24 games, through 2026-10-25.
How many goals per game in the Eliteserien this season?
The Eliteserien is averaging 3.21 goals per match, with 63% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 192 matches played.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
