Correct score predictions

Market guide

Correct score

The exact scoreline, read straight off the match score grid. The hardest market on the board. Even the most likely scoreline in a match is usually under 15 percent, so treat this as a map of what the grid thinks, not a call to act on.

Matches we model this round300scorelines

Every match, ranked

300 matches carry a correct score number this round, the strongest 24 shown. Filter by league or by how sure we are, and each row opens that match on its own correct score page.

League
MatchKick offModelFair odds
Casa Pia vs PortoPrimeira Liga18:00 UK15.4%6.4918:00 UK15.4%6.49
Volos NFC vs OlympiakosSuper League Greece17:00 UK15.3%6.5317:00 UK15.3%6.53
Getafe vs La CorunaLa Liga17:30 UK15.3%6.5517:30 UK15.3%6.55
Como vs ParmaSerie A17:30 UK14.9%6.7117:30 UK14.9%6.71
Getafe vs CeltaLa Liga18:00 UK14.6%6.8718:00 UK14.6%6.87
Burgos vs CeutaSegunda División19:30 UK14.5%6.9119:30 UK14.5%6.91
Santa Clara vs Rio AvePrimeira Liga15:30 UK14.3%6.9715:30 UK14.3%6.97
Clermont vs BoulogneLigue 219:00 UK14.2%7.0519:00 UK14.2%7.05
Sunderland vs ArsenalPremier League20:00 UK14.1%7.0720:00 UK14.1%7.07
Kocaelispor vs SamsunsporSüper Lig18:00 UK14.1%7.0918:00 UK14.1%7.09
Parma vs MonzaSerie A14:00 UK14.1%7.1014:00 UK14.1%7.10
Tenerife vs LeganesSegunda División20:00 UK14.1%7.1120:00 UK14.1%7.11
St. Gilloise vs Lommel SKPro League19:45 UK14.0%7.1419:45 UK14.0%7.14
Preston vs BlackburnChampionship12:30 UK14.0%7.1412:30 UK14.0%7.14
Fleetwood Town vs ShrewsburyLeague Two12:30 UK14.0%7.1512:30 UK14.0%7.15
Stoke vs CharltonChampionship12:30 UK14.0%7.1612:30 UK14.0%7.16
Lecce vs MonzaSerie A14:00 UK13.9%7.1714:00 UK13.9%7.17
Lincoln vs BlackburnChampionship19:45 UK13.9%7.1719:45 UK13.9%7.17
Blackburn vs MillwallChampionship15:00 UK13.9%7.1815:00 UK13.9%7.18
Asteras Tripolis vs AEKSuper League Greece17:00 UK13.9%7.1917:00 UK13.9%7.19
Oviedo vs BurgosSegunda División15:15 UK13.9%7.2015:15 UK13.9%7.20
Rochdale vs ShrewsburyLeague Two19:45 UK13.9%7.2119:45 UK13.9%7.21
Udinese vs LazioSerie A19:45 UK13.9%7.2219:45 UK13.9%7.22
Lazio vs MilanSerie A17:00 UK13.9%7.2217:00 UK13.9%7.22

No match in this round sits in that league at that confidence. That is a real answer, not a missing page: pick another league or another band.

Agents playing correct score

1 of our 26 agents put 2 legs on this market this round. Paper trading only: no account, no deposit, no payout, and never betting advice. The price shown is what the agent got in its own book, not our fair odds. See every agent and its record.

The Scoreline Sniperfair odds paper

Scoreline-sniperen: maal-matricens mest sandsynlige scoreline paa fair-odds-papir.

How we model correct score

Every match gets a full grid of scorelines that sums to one, and the correct score number is simply the cell we think is most likely. That is also why it can never contradict the match result, the total or both teams to score on the same page: they are all sums of the same grid.

Calibration grade B: calibrated

These are calibrated probabilities, not tips, and the price we show is our own fair odds with no margin in it. Our own out of sample work says the closing line is very hard to beat, so treat this as a yardstick for a price you are offered, never as an instruction. See the full record, including the misses.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams to scoreCornersCardsShots

Not financial advice. No model beats the sharp closing market on public data. The value here is honest probabilities, No-bet calls, and CLV history.
Updated: 12 Sep 2026, 18:43 · build 6ffc398 · calibration isotonic-1x2.v1
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