AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Segunda División
AndorraAndorraWDWLL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1113:00UK
MallorcaMallorcaLDWDD

Andorra vs Mallorca cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined77.2%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined22.8%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 3.5 cards77.2%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Andorra vs Mallorca. The model leans toward Mallorca for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 89.7% 10.3%
3.5 cards 77.2% 22.8%
4.5 cards 60.7% 39.3%
5.5 cards 43.3% 56.8%

Who picks up more cards

Andorra
34.8%
Level
17.6%
Mallorca
47.6%

Team cards lines

Andorra

Over 1.5
70.2%
Over 2.5
44.3%

Mallorca

Over 1.5
77.4%
Over 2.5
53.7%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Andorra's; Mallorca gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Andorra line Andorra Mallorca
-1.5 20.1% 79.9%
-0.5 34.8% 65.2%
+0.5 52.4% 47.6%
+1.5 69.5% 30.5%

Red card

Any red card13.1%
Andorra red card1.9%
Mallorca red card11.4%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 87.7% 12.3%
22.5 fouls 78.8% 21.2%
24.5 fouls 67.3% 32.7%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Andorra J. Guzman 2 6.5 3.0

Swipe to see all referee stats →

AndorraAndorra

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Andorra at home and Mallorca away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

MallorcaMallorca
Statistic
Andorra
Mallorca
Cards per game at this venue
·
3.8

Opponent cards per game at this venue
·
1.3

Yellow cards per game
3.2
3.0

First-half yellow cards per game
1.1
1.0

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.9
1.9

Matches with more cards than the opponent
50.0%
85.7%

Matches with card data
8
7
Red cards this season
0
1

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,950Matches graded

In 8,516 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Cards actually happened 73.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.6%✗ 50.7%✗ 51.1%✓ 52.0%✓ 54.1%✓ 50.1%✓ 54.7%✗ 63.6%✗ 51.1%✗ 52.8%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.6%Hit
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.7%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Over 3.5 51.1%Miss
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 3.5 52.0%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 3.5 54.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 77.2%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 89.7% for over 2.5 to 43.3% for over 5.5, with over 5.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 43.3%. On the card count, Mallorca are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 47.6%, with a level count at 17.6%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Andorra over 1.5 cards sits at 70.2% and Mallorca at 77.4%. A red card for either side is rated at 13.1% (Andorra 1.9%, Mallorca 11.4%). Andorra’s most frequent referee this season, J. Guzman, has averaged 6.5 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff. This season Andorra have averaged 3.5 cards a game and Mallorca 3.6.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

77.2%Over 3.5 cards
13.1%Any red card
47.6%Most cards: Mallorca
70.2%Andorra over 1.5 cards
77.4%Mallorca over 1.5 cards
78.8%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 77.2% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherJ. Guzman, Andorra’s most frequent referee this season, averages 6.5 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 13.1%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianMallorca are the pick to collect more cards at 47.6%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
AndorraAndorra

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

MallorcaMallorca
Statistic
Andorra
Mallorca
cards per game
3.5
3.6

fouls per game
18.3
14.5

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Andorra vs Mallorca?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 77.2% for Andorra vs Mallorca.
Will there be a red card in Andorra vs Mallorca?
The model rates a red card for either side at 13.1%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Andorra vs Mallorca?
The model rates Mallorca to pick up more cards at 47.6%, with a level count at 17.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Segunda DivisiónAndorra fixtures and statsMallorca fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.