International football · model probabilities
International football predictions
Our model’s probabilities for national team matches: World Cup and Euro qualifiers, the Nations League and friendlies, from one rating of every national team since 1990.
Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices in our sources for these matches, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.
- 79Upcoming matches priced
- 2Competitions
- 7,576Past matches tested
UEFA Nations League · 52 matches
- 146.6%2.15X27.1%3.68226.3%3.80
- 126.9%3.72X27.3%3.67245.9%2.18
- 159.1%1.69X23.7%4.22217.2%5.82
- 12.9%35.09X8.4%11.88288.7%1.13
- 181.5%1.23X13.0%7.7125.5%18.25
- 127.2%3.68X27.3%3.66245.5%2.20
- 176.3%1.31X16.0%6.2627.8%12.89
- 12.0%49.26X6.7%15.04291.3%1.10
- 137.1%2.69X28.2%3.55234.7%2.88
- 146.3%2.16X27.2%3.68226.6%3.77
- 133.6%2.98X28.1%3.56238.3%2.61
- 110.2%9.85X18.5%5.40271.3%1.40
- 139.3%2.54X28.1%3.56232.6%3.07
- 168.2%1.47X20.0%4.99211.8%8.47
- 171.7%1.40X18.4%5.45210.0%10.04
- 124.4%4.09X26.7%3.75248.9%2.05
- 176.5%1.31X15.8%6.3127.6%13.09
- 120.9%4.79X25.5%3.93253.7%1.86
- 163.1%1.59X22.2%4.50214.7%6.79
- 137.5%2.67X28.2%3.55234.4%2.91
- 174.2%1.35X17.1%5.8728.7%11.48
- 163.3%1.58X22.1%4.52214.6%6.85
- 148.9%2.04X26.7%3.75224.4%4.09
- 171.7%1.39X18.3%5.4629.9%10.06
- 132.7%3.06X28.1%3.56239.3%2.55
- 158.9%1.70X23.8%4.20217.3%5.77
- 135.2%2.84X28.2%3.55236.6%2.73
- 136.3%2.76X28.2%3.55235.5%2.81
- 141.1%2.43X27.9%3.58231.0%3.23
- 198.1%1.02X1.6%64.5220.3%333.33
- 155.6%1.80X24.9%4.02219.5%5.12
- 169.8%1.43X19.3%5.19210.9%9.16
- 184.4%1.18X11.2%8.9124.4%22.88
- 164.8%1.54X21.5%4.65213.7%7.31
- 162.1%1.61X22.6%4.42215.3%6.54
- 121.3%4.69X25.6%3.90253.1%1.88
- 145.4%2.20X27.4%3.66227.3%3.67
- 176.1%1.31X16.1%6.2327.8%12.77
- 186.1%1.16X10.2%9.8223.8%26.53
- 127.7%3.61X27.4%3.65244.9%2.23
- 139.7%2.52X28.0%3.57232.3%3.10
- 125.0%4.00X26.8%3.73248.2%2.08
- 164.6%1.55X21.6%4.64213.8%7.26
- 177.3%1.29X15.4%6.4927.3%13.72
- 167.6%1.48X20.3%4.93212.1%8.24
- 142.1%2.38X27.8%3.59230.1%3.32
- 152.5%1.90X25.8%3.88221.7%4.61
- 123.3%4.29X26.3%3.80250.4%1.98
- 136.6%2.73X28.2%3.55235.2%2.84
- 147.9%2.09X26.9%3.72225.3%3.96
- 156.4%1.77X24.6%4.06219.0%5.28
- 113.2%7.56X21.2%4.72265.6%1.52
International friendlies · 27 matches
- 189.5%1.12X7.9%12.6922.6%38.61
- 136.6%2.73X28.2%3.55235.2%2.84
- 14.4%22.83X11.2%8.90284.4%1.19
- 151.8%1.93X26.0%3.85222.3%4.49
- 139.8%2.51X28.0%3.57232.2%3.11
- 118.3%5.47X24.3%4.12257.4%1.74
- 171.3%1.40X18.6%5.39210.2%9.82
- 182.7%1.21X12.3%8.1525.0%19.92
- 174.2%1.35X17.1%5.8528.8%11.43
- 171.3%1.40X18.6%5.39210.2%9.82
- 151.9%1.92X25.9%3.86222.1%4.52
- 159.9%1.67X23.5%4.26216.7%5.99
- 137.6%2.66X28.2%3.55234.3%2.92
- 189.5%1.12X7.9%12.6922.6%38.61
- 141.9%2.39X27.8%3.59230.3%3.31
- 121.4%4.67X25.7%3.90252.9%1.89
- 11.5%67.11X5.3%18.87293.2%1.07
- 155.4%1.81X24.9%4.01219.7%5.09
- 127.5%3.64X27.4%3.65245.1%2.22
- 154.3%1.84X25.3%3.95220.5%4.89
- 123.1%4.33X26.3%3.81250.6%1.98
- 150.5%1.98X26.3%3.80223.2%4.31
- 128.5%3.51X27.6%3.63244.0%2.27
- 153.7%1.86X25.5%3.93220.9%4.79
- 194.5%1.06X4.4%22.8821.2%86.96
- 124.5%4.08X26.7%3.75248.8%2.05
- 172.4%1.38X18.0%5.5629.6%10.41
6 other fixtures are left out: we list a match only when both teams are named exactly as in our results source, or proven on finished matches.
World Cup standings
Latest completed edition: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.
Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.
Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MexicoRound of 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  South AfricaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | LWDL |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 4 |  Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SwitzerlandRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  CanadaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4 | LWLWD |
| 3 |  Bosnia & HerzegovinaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 4 |  Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | LLD |
Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BrazilRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  MoroccoRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 4 |  Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  USARound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  AustraliaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LDLW |
| 3 |  ParaguayRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
Group E
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GermanyRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 6 | LLWW |
| 2 |  Ivory CoastRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | LWLW |
| 3 |  EcuadorRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 4 |  Curaçao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 | LDL |
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NetherlandsRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 | LWWD |
| 2 |  JapanRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | LDWD |
| 3 |  SwedenRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LDLW |
| 4 |  Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLL |
Group G
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BelgiumRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  EgyptRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | LWDWD |
| 3 |  Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 4 |  New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
Group H
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SpainRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Cape Verde IslandsRound of 32 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LDDD |
| 3 |  Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDD |
| 4 |  Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLD |
Group I
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FranceRound of 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 2 |  NorwayRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  SenegalRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | LWLL |
| 4 |  Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLL |
Group J
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ArgentinaRound of 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AustriaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLW |
| 3 |  AlgeriaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LDWL |
| 4 |  Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Group K
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ColombiaRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  PortugalRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | LWDWD |
| 3 |  Congo DRRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Group L
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  EnglandRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  CroatiaRound of 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LWWL |
| 3 |  GhanaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDW |
| 4 |  Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
Group Stage
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Congo DRRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 2 | SwedenRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LDLW |
| 3 | GhanaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDW |
| 4 | EcuadorRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 5 | Bosnia & HerzegovinaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 6 | AlgeriaRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LDWL |
| 7 | ParaguayRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 8 | SenegalRound of 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | LWLL |
| 9 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 10 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 11 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDD |
World Cup qualifiers (Europe) standings
Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.
Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.
Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GermanyPromotion - World Cup | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  SlovakiaPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwitzerlandPromotion - World Cup | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  KosovoPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | DLDDL |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ScotlandPromotion - World Cup | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  DenmarkPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 11 | LDWWW |
| 3 |  Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | DWLLL |
| 4 |  Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 2 | DDLLL |
Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FrancePromotion - World Cup | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  UkrainePromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | WLWWD |
| 3 |  Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 4 |  Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 | LLLLD |
Group E
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SpainPromotion - World Cup | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 2 | TürkiyePromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 4 |  Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 3 | WLLLL |
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PortugalPromotion - World Cup | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  Rep. Of IrelandPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 | LWDWL |
| 4 |  Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 3 | LLLLW |
Group G
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NetherlandsPromotion - World Cup | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 20 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  PolandPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 4 |  Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 5 | LWLDL |
| 5 |  Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | LLLLD |
Group H
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AustriaPromotion - World Cup | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 19 | DWLWW |
| 2 | Bosnia & HerzegovinaPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | LWDDL |
| 5 |  San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 39 | -37 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group I
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NorwayPromotion - World Cup | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 | 32 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  ItalyPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 18 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 12 | WLLLW |
| 4 |  Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 5 |  Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 32 | -27 | 1 | LLDLL |
Group J
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BelgiumPromotion - World Cup | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 22 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 2 |  WalesPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 16 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  FYR Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 | LDDWW |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 31 | -31 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group K
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EnglandPromotion - World Cup | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AlbaniaPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 | WLWLL |
| 4 |  Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | LLDLL |
| 5 |  Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 | LLDLL |
Group L
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CroatiaPromotion - World Cup | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 22 | 22 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Czech RepublicPromotion - World Cup (Promotion) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 16 | WLDWL |
| 3 |  Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 | LWWWL |
| 4 |  Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | LWLLL |
| 5 |  Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 | LLLLL |
UEFA Nations League standings
Competition season: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.
This snapshot is older than 48 hours. A newer table has not been saved yet.
Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.
League A - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FrancePlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 | ItalyPlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | WDWL |
| 3 | BelgiumPossible Play-off | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | LWLW |
| 4 | TürkiyePossible Play-off | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | LLLL |
League A - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NetherlandsPlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | WDWD |
| 2 | GreecePlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | DDWW |
| 3 | GermanyPossible Play-off | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 4 | SerbiaPossible Play-off | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
League A - Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SpainPlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | EnglandPlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 9 | WWWL |
| 3 | CroatiaPossible Play-off | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 | LLLW |
| 4 | CzechiaPossible Play-off | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | LLLL |
League A - Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PortugalPlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | DenmarkPlay Offs: Quarter-finals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | WLWL |
| 3 | WalesPossible Play-off | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 4 | NorwayPossible Play-off | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
League B - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwitzerlandPromotion | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | SloveniaPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WLWD |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 4 | FYR MacedoniaRelegation Playoffs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
League B - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern IrelandPromotion | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | DWDW |
| 2 | HungaryPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | LLDW |
| 4 | GeorgiaRelegation Playoffs | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
League B - Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AustriaPromotion | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | DDWW |
| 2 | KosovoPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | DDWL |
| 4 | IsraelRelegation Playoffs | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | DDLL |
League B - Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwedenPromotion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 | Bosnia & HerzegovinaPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WDWD |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | LWLD |
| 4 | RomaniaRelegation Playoffs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
League C - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AlbaniaPromotion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WLWW |
| 2 | BelarusPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WWDL |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWDW |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 0 | LLLL |
League C - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MontenegroPromotion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 2 | CyprusPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | DLLW |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
League C - Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SlovakiaPromotion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 | Faroe IslandsPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DDDD |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | LWDL |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 | DLLD |
League C - Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IcelandPromotion | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | DWWD |
| 2 | EstoniaPromotion Play-offs | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | DWDD |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLDL |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | LLLW |
League D - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MaltaPromotion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 | GibraltarPromotion | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 3 | AndorraPromotion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
League D - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AzerbaijanPromotion | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | WDD |
| 2 | LithuaniaPromotion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LDW |
| 3 | LiechtensteinPromotion | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
European Championship standings
Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.
Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.
Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GermanyPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWW |
| 2 | SwitzerlandPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | DDW |
| 3 | HungaryRanking of third-placed teams | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LDL |
Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SpainPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | ItalyPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 3 | CroatiaRanking of third-placed teams | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DDL |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EnglandPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | DDW |
| 2 | DenmarkPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 3 | SloveniaRanking of third-placed teams | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AustriaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWL |
| 2 | FrancePromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | DDW |
| 3 | NetherlandsRanking of third-placed teams | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | LDW |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
Group E
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RomaniaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | BelgiumPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | DWL |
| 3 | SlovakiaRanking of third-placed teams | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | DWL |
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PortugalPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWW |
| 2 | TürkiyePromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | GeorgiaRanking of third-placed teams | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
Ranking of third-placed teams
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NetherlandsPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | LDW |
| 2 | GeorgiaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 3 | SlovakiaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 4 | SloveniaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 5 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 6 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DDL |
Euro qualifiers standings
Latest completed edition: 2023. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.
Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.
Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SpainPromotion - Euro | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 20 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | ScotlandPromotion - Euro | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | DDLWW |
| 3 | Norway | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 | DLWWW |
| 4 | GeorgiaPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 5 | Cyprus | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FrancePromotion - Euro | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 22 | DWWWW |
| 2 | NetherlandsPromotion - Euro | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 3 | GreecePromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 4 | Rep. Of Ireland | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 41 | -41 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group C
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EnglandPromotion - Euro | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 2 | ItalyPromotion - Euro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 | DWLWW |
| 3 | UkrainePromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 4 | FYR Macedonia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 20 | -18 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group D
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TurkeyPromotion - Euro | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | DWWDW |
| 2 | CroatiaPromotion - Euro | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 16 | WWLLW |
| 3 | WalesPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 | DDWWL |
| 4 | Armenia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | LDLLD |
| 5 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LLWLL |
Group E
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AlbaniaPromotion - Euro | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 2 | Czech RepublicPromotion - Euro | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 | WDWLD |
| 3 | PolandPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 | LDDWW |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 2 | DLLLL |
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BelgiumPromotion - Euro | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 20 | WDWWW |
| 2 | AustriaPromotion - Euro | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 5 | EstoniaPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 1 | LLLLL |
Group G
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HungaryPromotion - Euro | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 2 | SerbiaPromotion - Euro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 | LDWLD |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 | DDLLD |
Group H
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DenmarkPromotion - Euro | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | LWWWW |
| 2 | SloveniaPromotion - Euro | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 3 | FinlandPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 | WWLLL |
| 4 | KazakhstanPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 31 | -28 | 0 | LLLLL |
Group I
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RomaniaPromotion - Euro | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 22 | WWWDW |
| 2 | SwitzerlandPromotion - Euro | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 17 | LDDDW |
| 3 | IsraelPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 12 | WWDDL |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 | LDWWL |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 2 | LLLLL |
Group J
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PortugalPromotion - Euro | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 34 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | SlovakiaPromotion - Euro | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 | WWWLW |
| 3 | LuxembourgPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 | WWLDL |
| 4 | IcelandPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 5 | Bosnia & HerzegovinaPromotion - Euro (Promotion: ) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 28 | -27 | 0 | LLLLL |
International friendlies standings
International friendlies have no competition table.
How the model works, and how we tested it
Every national team gets one strength rating, updated after each senior match since 1990. A World Cup match moves the rating most, a friendly least, and a bigger win moves it more.
Ratings as of 7 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.
We ran the model over 7,576 friendlies, qualifiers and Nations League matches from 2016 to 2025, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.865 against 1.044, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.
We do not know the venue of every match: finals tournaments count as neutral ground, everything else as a home match for the first-named team. Friendlies are the hardest to call, because teams rotate players.
The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.
