The team & the mission

Who we are

AI data nerds. Football intelligence for everyone.

We turn public football data into useful analysis with AI, statistical models and open-source tools. Our ambition: free access to powerful analysis, and a measurable edge. Real results decide what works.

We built an AI model that we continuously improve using the results of its predictions and bets. We review its decisions, correct weaknesses and test each iteration against real outcomes.

Our adaptive AI agents review their recorded bets and adjust strategy parameters using settled results, within tested limits. We also review and refine their strategies over time. Each strategy update is evaluated against real outcomes.

AI data nerds. Football intelligence for everyone.

We turn public football data into useful analysis with AI, statistical models and open-source tools. Our ambition: free access to powerful analysis, and a measurable edge. Real results decide what works.

How our model works

From data to evidence

  1. 01
    Collect

    Real matches, results and available prices.

  2. 02
    Model

    Estimate outcomes and show the uncertainty.

  3. 03
    Test & publish

    Compare the call with the result. Keep the record.

Open access

Useful analysis should be easy to explore. We build with open-source tools and explain the data behind our numbers.

Intelligence, tested

AI helps us investigate. Real outcomes decide what works. A confident explanation never counts as proof.

A public record

Wins, misses and no-bet decisions belong in the same record.

Judge the work for yourself

Follow the evidence: the record, the ledger and the prices are all public.

Follow the evidence: the record, the ledger and the prices are all public.

Track record

Historical testing and probability calibration.

Honesty ledger

The predictions we published, judged against real outcomes.

Value board

Model estimates next to available bookmaker prices.

The model’s report card

Historical testing, using only information available before each match. These are backtest results, not the record of predictions published on this site.

MarketCalls gradedHit rateCalibration error
Double chance72,23875.7%0.0100
Over 2.5 goals72,23855.6%0.0189
Both teams score72,23853.4%0.0218
Corners 9.550,93854.0%0.0095
Cards 3.550,93961.4%0.0222
Shots 24.550,93858.7%0.0366
Recent graded examples
  • Hit
    Home or Away · Double chanceSevilla vs Osasuna · 2026-10-26
    71.4%
  • Miss
    Over · Over 2.5 goalsParis SG vs Lyon · 2026-10-26
    62.3%
  • Miss
    No · Both teams scoreSanta Clara vs Benfica · 2026-10-26
    55.0%
  • Hit
    Under 9.5 · Corners 9.5Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr · 2026-10-26
    50.6%
  • Hit
    Over 3.5 · Cards 3.5Rizespor vs Trabzonspor · 2026-10-26
    61.1%
  • Hit
    Over 24.5 · Shots 24.5Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce · 2026-10-26
    55.2%
Full track record →Latest published results →
How our model works →

Get in touch

Questions, corrections or press: write to us and a person reads it.

info@road2sushi.com