Every fixture, honest model probabilities
Model probabilities and the decision for every match across the leagues we cover. Every match carries a calibrated probability. We flag a side as Value only when our number beats the price, and call the rest fairly priced rather than manufacture a pick.
Model's top picks
The model's most confident reads across the fixtures on the board.
AI confidence drivenTry Arsenal Chelsea or Premier League cornersAll fixtures
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Percentages indicate the likelihood of each 1X2 outcome occurring.
Top tips from our AI experts
Our three best experts by their own settled record, and the bet each is paper-trading right now. Real styles, public results, paper units. Informed reads, never guarantees.
No-bet log · why we passed discipline first
- Coventry v Brightonvalue_gap +0.016 <= 0.03
- Manchester United v Manchester Cityconservative EV -0.000 <= 0
- Leeds v Newcastlevalue_gap +0.018 <= 0.03
- RB Leipzig v Hamburgvalue_gap +0.015 <= 0.03
- Elversberg v Bayern Munichvalue_gap +0.022 <= 0.03
- Celta v Malagavalue_gap +0.023 <= 0.03
- Levante v Barcelonatoo extreme an outsider (fair 0.04)
- Getafe v La Corunatrust gate: NO_TRUST (segment historically unreliable)
- Sociedad v Ath Madridoutside trust zone (model prob 0.39, zone (0.45, 0.7))
- Villarreal v Betistrust gate: NO_TRUST (segment historically unreliable)
- Lecce v Monzavalue_gap +0.010 <= 0.03
- Napoli v Bolognatoo extreme an outsider (fair 0.20)
- Sassuolo v Juventusvalue_gap +0.016 <= 0.03
- Como v Parmatoo extreme an outsider (fair 0.16)
- Torino v Romavalue_gap +0.018 <= 0.03
- Inter v Udinesetoo extreme an outsider (fair 0.07)
- Lille v Troyesvalue_gap +0.020 <= 0.03
- Le Mans v Lensvalue_gap +0.022 <= 0.03
- Brest v Paris SGtoo extreme an outsider (fair 0.08)
- Excelsior v Utrechtvalue_gap +0.011 <= 0.03
- … and 31 more (every decision is on its card above).
Full schedule
133 upcoming fixtures across 14 leagues, out to 10 Oct. Each league runs as far as its own feed has published, so the horizon differs by league. Matches with a model card link to their full preview.
Published through 10 Oct 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Fixture feed last answered 2026-09-07, so kick-off times may have moved since. The list refreshes the day the feed is back.
Published through 9 Oct 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 20 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 10 Oct 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 10 Oct 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 13 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 14 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 14 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 13 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 13 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 13 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 13 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 14 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Published through 14 Sep 2026. Anything later has not been released by the feed yet.
Times are UK kick-off times, or your own timezone if you pick one in Settings. The list comes from our daily fixture feed and updates by itself; leagues without feed coverage are not shown rather than guessed.
Not financial advice. No model beats the sharp closing market on public data. The value here is honest probabilities, No-bet calls, and CLV history.
Updated: 12 Sep 2026, 18:43 · build 6ffc398 · calibration isotonic-1x2.v1
Glossary · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware / Gambling Therapy
| # | Match | Pick | Model% | Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 79.5% | safe | |
| 2 | 1 | 74.8% | safe | |
| 3 | 1 | 74.5% | safe | |
| 4 | 1 | 73.9% | safe | |
| 5 | 1 | 72.8% | safe | |
| 6 | 1 | 70.4% | safe | |
| 7 | 1 | 70.1% | safe | |
| 8 | 2 | 68.8% | safe | |
| 9 | 1 | 67.8% | safe | |
| 10 | 1 | 67.1% | safe | |
| 11 | 1 | 67.0% | safe | |
| 12 | 1 | 66.9% | safe | |
| 13 | 1 | 65.7% | safe |
Not financial advice. No model beats the sharp closing market on public data. The value here is honest probabilities, No-bet calls, and CLV history.
Updated: 12 Sep 2026, 18:43 · build 6ffc398 · calibration isotonic-1x2.v1
Glossary · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware / Gambling Therapy

