Premier League · predictions

Calibrated model probabilities for the Premier League fixtures we currently model. We track 50 upcoming matches, not tips.

50Upcoming matches

71Teams covered

53.8%Avg Over 2.5 %

55.6%Avg BTTS %

League table (2026/27)

Season 2026/27 30 matches played · through 2026-09-06

2.83Goals / match

50%Over 2.5

53%BTTS

40%Home wins

33%Draws

27%Away wins

9.0Corners / match

3.9Cards / match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Manchester City	3	3	0	0	7	2	+5	9	WWW
2	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	6	1	+5	9	WWW
3	Hull	3	2	1	0	3	0	+3	7	WWD
4	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	8	7	+1	6	WWL
5	Brentford	3	1	2	0	5	2	+3	5	WDD
6	Liverpool	3	1	2	0	6	4	+2	5	DDW
7	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	6	4	+2	5	DWD
8	Everton	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5	WDD
9	Leeds	3	1	2	0	3	2	+1	5	WDD
10	Brighton	3	1	1	1	8	5	+3	4	WLD
11	Manchester United	3	1	1	1	7	6	+1	4	LWD
12	Sunderland	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	LWD
13	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	4	8	-4	3	LLW
14	Ipswich	3	1	0	2	4	8	-4	3	WLL
15	Bournemouth	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2	LDD
16	Nottingham Forest	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2	LDD
17	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	0	5	-5	1	LLD
18	Tottenham	3	0	1	2	0	5	-5	1	LLD
19	Fulham	3	0	0	3	4	7	-3	0	LLL
20	Coventry	3	0	0	3	0	5	-5	0	LLL

Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.

Predicted matches

Full schedule, next 28 days

Sat 12 Sep 2026
15:00 UKAston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
15:00 UKBournemouth vs Brentford
15:00 UKChelsea vs Hull
15:00 UKCrystal Palace vs Ipswich
15:00 UKLiverpool vs Fulham
17:30 UKTottenham vs Everton
20:00 UKSunderland vs Arsenal
Sun 13 Sep 2026
14:00 UKCoventry vs Brighton
16:30 UKManchester United vs Manchester City
Mon 14 Sep 2026
20:00 UKLeeds vs Newcastle
Fri 18 Sep 2026
20:00 UKBrentford vs Chelsea
Sat 19 Sep 2026
12:30 UKTottenham vs Aston Villa
15:00 UKBrighton vs Arsenal
15:00 UKEverton vs Ipswich
15:00 UKNewcastle vs Hull
17:30 UKNottingham Forest vs Coventry
Sun 20 Sep 2026
14:00 UKBournemouth vs Liverpool
14:00 UKLeeds vs Crystal Palace
14:00 UKManchester City vs Sunderland
16:30 UKFulham vs Manchester United
Sat 10 Oct 2026
12:30 UKArsenal vs Leeds
15:00 UKAston Villa vs Brentford
15:00 UKChelsea vs Bournemouth
15:00 UKIpswich vs Fulham
15:00 UKSunderland vs Brighton
17:30 UKManchester United vs Tottenham

Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, fetched 2026-09-07 12:50 UTC; kickoff times can move and the feed is refreshed daily.

How many Premier League matches are predicted?

We currently model 50 upcoming fixtures across 71 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.

Are these Premier League tips?

No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 50 matches the model averages 53.8% for Over 2.5 goals.

Who is top of the Premier League?

Manchester City lead the Premier League (2026/27) with 9 points from 3 games, through 2026-09-06.

How many goals per game in the Premier League this season?

The Premier League is averaging 2.83 goals per match, with 50% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 30 matches played.

Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.