Serie A predictions
Calibrated model probabilities for the Serie A fixtures we currently model. We track 10 upcoming matches.
- 10Upcoming predictions
- 20Teams in league
- 49.8%Model avg Over 2.5
- 51.8%Model avg BTTS
Upcoming Serie A predictions
BolognaBOLMonzaMON
- Home win
- 54.4%
- Draw
- 24.2%
- Away win
- 21.3%
UdineseUDIRomaROM
- Home win
- 16.9%
- Draw
- 23.8%
- Away win
- 59.4%
MilanMILInterINT
- Home win
- 25.7%
- Draw
- 23.6%
- Away win
- 50.7%
ComoCOMVeneziaVEN
- Home win
- 71.5%
- Draw
- 18.7%
- Away win
- 9.8%
FrosinoneFROTorinoTOR
- Home win
- 30.3%
- Draw
- 27.6%
- Away win
- 42.0%
LazioLAZCagliariCAG
- Home win
- 57.8%
- Draw
- 24.7%
- Away win
- 17.5%
LecceLECGenoaGEN
- Home win
- 31.2%
- Draw
- 29.0%
- Away win
- 39.9%
JuventusJUVNapoliNAP
- Home win
- 40.5%
- Draw
- 28.7%
- Away win
- 30.9%
SassuoloSASFiorentinaFIO
- Home win
- 38.0%
- Draw
- 24.0%
- Away win
- 38.0%
AtalantaATAParmaPAR
- Home win
- 57.8%
- Draw
- 24.7%
- Away win
- 17.5%
Serie A score predictions
The most likely correct score in each match. Even the leading scoreline usually has a low probability.
Serie A table and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 90 league matches played, through 2026-10-29.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 21 | DDWDW |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 20 | LDWWW |
| 5 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 11 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 5 | DLLLD |
| 19 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | WLLLD |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.
Season match patterns
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Serie A
- 60%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Serie A
- 58%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Home wins
Share of matches
- Serie A
- 46%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Draws
Share of matches
- Serie A
- 18%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Away wins
Share of matches
- Serie A
- 37%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Serie A top scorers and xG
Season 2026/27. Leading scorers in our published player data.
Stored match analysis
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
- Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta, 29 Oct
- Frosinone 5-1 Lecce, 29 Oct
- Monza 1-4 Napoli, 28 Oct
- Genoa 2-0 Juventus, 28 Oct
- AC Milan 2-4 Bologna, 28 Oct
- Venezia 0-2 Inter, 28 Oct
- Parma 0-0 Udinese, 28 Oct
- Roma 4-2 Cagliari, 27 Oct
- Torino 1-3 Como, 27 Oct
- Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio, 27 Oct
- Udinese 0-2 AC Milan, 25 Oct
- Lecce 0-2 Juventus, 25 Oct
- Genoa 1-0 Venezia, 25 Oct
- Atalanta 4-4 Frosinone, 25 Oct
- Inter 2-1 Fiorentina, 25 Oct
- Lazio 2-1 Parma, 24 Oct
- Napoli 3-3 Roma, 24 Oct
- Como 2-0 Sassuolo, 24 Oct
- Cagliari 0-2 Bologna, 24 Oct
- Torino 3-2 Monza, 23 Oct
- Parma 0-3 Torino, 19 Oct
- Monza 4-0 Cagliari, 19 Oct
- Juventus 0-3 Lazio, 18 Oct
- AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta, 18 Oct
- Fiorentina 1-3 Como, 18 Oct
- Udinese 0-3 Lecce, 18 Oct
- Roma 2-0 Genoa, 17 Oct
- Bologna 1-3 Inter, 17 Oct
- Venezia 1-0 Napoli, 17 Oct
- Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo, 16 Oct
Serie A Super 6 style picks: six correct scores
Super 6 itself uses British matches. This is the same Super 6 style idea on the Serie A: the matches where our score earns the most expected points, 5 for the exact score and 2 for the right result.
- 1Como vs VeneziaAlso the most likely score · All scores2-012.2% exact1.80 exp. pts
- 2Atalanta vs ParmaAlso the most likely score · All scores1-012.2% exact1.52 exp. pts
- 3Lazio vs CagliariMost likely 1-1 (12.0%) · All scores1-011.9% exact1.51 exp. pts
- 4Udinese vs RomaMost likely 1-1 (11.3%) · All scores0-110.5% exact1.50 exp. pts
- 5Bologna vs MonzaMost likely 1-1 (12.3%) · All scores1-011.7% exact1.44 exp. pts
- 6Milan vs InterMost likely 1-1 (11.4%) · All scores1-29.5% exact1.30 exp. pts
An exact score is always unlikely: the strongest one here has a 12.2% chance. All Premier League and EFL scores for the round are on our Super 6 predictions page.
Serie A referees
Matches in the Serie A since 2025/26, with career yellow cards per game from completed matches. We never publish referee appointments for upcoming matches unless an official source confirms them.
- Daniele Doveri23 matches3.13
- Davide Massa21 matches4.52
- Luca Zufferli21 matches2.81
- Marco Guida19 matches3.68
- Simone Sozza19 matches3.89
- Daniele Chiffi18 matches2.67
- Federico La Penna17 matches3.82
- Maurizio Mariani17 matches3.94
- Michael Fabbri17 matches4.12
- Andrea Colombo16 matches4.12
- Ermanno Feliciani16 matches2.44
- Marco Di Bello16 matches2.69
Serie A fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 20 of 20 upcoming league fixtures.
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 14:00 UKBolognaBOLMonzaMON
- 17:00 UKUdineseUDIRomaROM
- 19:45 UKMilanMILInterINT
- Sun 1 Nov 2026
- 11:30 UKComoCOMVeneziaVEN
- 14:00 UKFrosinoneFROTorinoTOR
- 14:00 UKLazioLAZCagliariCAG
- 17:00 UKLecceLECGenoaGEN
- 19:45 UKJuventusJUVNapoliNAP
- Mon 2 Nov 2026
- 17:30 UKSassuoloSASFiorentinaFIO
- 19:45 UKAtalantaATAParmaPAR
- Fri 6 Nov 2026
- 19:45 UKVeneziaVENUdineseUDI
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- 14:00 UKCagliariCAGFrosinoneFRO
- 14:00 UKTorinoTORLecceLEC
- 17:00 UKParmaPARBolognaBOL
- 19:45 UKRomaROMSassuoloSAS
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 11:30 UKNapoliNAPLazioLAZ
- 14:00 UKGenoaGENMilanMIL
- 14:00 UKMonzaMONAtalantaATA
- 17:00 UKInterINTComoCOM
- 19:45 UKFiorentinaFIOJuventusJUV
Frequently asked questions
How many Serie A matches are predicted?
We currently model 10 upcoming fixtures across 20 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Serie A tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 10 matches the model averages 49.8% for Over 2.5 goals.
Who is top of the Serie A?
Inter lead the Serie A (2026/27) with 25 points from 9 games, through 2026-10-29.
How many goals per game in the Serie A this season?
The Serie A is averaging 3.16 goals per match, with 60% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 90 matches played.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
