AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Super League Greece
KalamataKalamataWLWWL
Mon, 2 Nov 20262/1117:30UK
IraklisIraklisDDWLL

Kalamata vs Iraklis corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined62.9%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined37.1%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners37.1%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Kalamata.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 62.3% 37.7%
8.5 corners 49.4% 50.6%
9.5 corners 37.1% 62.9%
10.5 corners 26.4% 73.6%
11.5 corners 17.8% 82.2%
12.5 corners 11.4% 88.6%

Who wins the corner count

Kalamata
53.1%
Level
11.1%
Iraklis
35.8%

Team corners lines

Kalamata

Over 3.5
65.7%
Over 4.5
49.4%
Over 5.5
34.5%

Iraklis

Over 3.5
53.0%
Over 4.5
36.0%
Over 5.5
22.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Kalamata's; Iraklis gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Kalamata line Kalamata Iraklis
-1.5 41.9% 58.1%
-0.5 53.1% 46.9%
+0.5 64.2% 35.8%
+1.5 74.2% 25.8%
KalamataKalamata

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Kalamata at home and Iraklis away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

IraklisIraklis
Statistic
Kalamata
Iraklis
Corners won per game at this venue
2.8
3.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
6.3
5.0

First-half corners won per game
1.5
1.3

Second-half corners won per game
0.9
1.3

Matches with more corners than the opponent
12.5%
25.0%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 37.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 62.3% for over 7.5 to 11.4% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.4%. On the corner count, Kalamata are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.1%, with a level count at 11.1%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Kalamata over 4.5 corners sits at 49.4% and Iraklis at 36.0%. This season Kalamata have averaged 2.4 corners won a game and Iraklis 2.5.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

37.1%Over 9.5 corners
53.1%Most corners: Kalamata
49.4%Kalamata over 4.5 corners
36.0%Iraklis over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 37.1% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderKalamata are the pick to win the corner count at 53.1%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 49.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
KalamataKalamata

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

IraklisIraklis
Statistic
Kalamata
Iraklis
corners won per game
2.4
2.5

corners conceded per game
6.4
3.5

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Kalamata vs Iraklis?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 37.1% for Kalamata vs Iraklis.
Which team will win the corner count in Kalamata vs Iraklis?
The model rates Kalamata to win the corner count at 53.1%, with a level count at 11.1%.
How many corners do Kalamata and Iraklis average this season?
Kalamata have won 2.4 corners a game this season and Iraklis 2.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Super League GreeceKalamata fixtures and statsIraklis fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.