Champions League predictions
Our model’s probabilities for upcoming Champions League matches, from one rating that compares every club across the leagues we cover.
Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices for these competitions, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.
- 18Upcoming matches priced
- 3,119Past matches tested
Upcoming Champions League predictions
- 134.8%2.87X25.6%3.90239.5%2.53
- Shakhtar DonetskSHASporting CPSCP131.2%3.20X25.4%3.94243.4%2.30
- 128.9%3.46X25.0%4.00246.1%2.17
- 141.6%2.41X25.5%3.92232.9%3.04
- 156.6%1.77X22.8%4.40220.6%4.85
- 129.6%3.38X25.1%3.98245.3%2.21
- Lask LinzLASSlovan BratislavaSLO161.0%1.64X21.4%4.67217.6%5.68
- 142.8%2.34X25.4%3.93231.8%3.14
- 116.8%5.97X21.0%4.77262.3%1.61
- 114.6%6.87X19.7%5.08265.8%1.52
- 116.6%6.02X20.9%4.78262.5%1.60
- 148.6%2.06X24.6%4.06226.8%3.73
- 146.5%2.15X25.0%4.00228.6%3.50
- 131.2%3.21X25.4%3.94243.5%2.30
- 136.5%2.74X25.7%3.89237.8%2.65
- 123.7%4.22X23.8%4.20252.5%1.90
- Slavia PrahaSLAArsenalARS14.0%25.32X9.2%10.92286.9%1.15
- VikingVIKSabah FASAB161.3%1.63X21.3%4.69217.4%5.74
Champions League standings
Verified standings for this competition edition have not been saved yet. They appear here when the standings feed is available.
How the model works, and how we tested it
Every club gets one strength rating, updated after each match in the national leagues we cover and in the European cups. Because clubs meet across leagues in Europe, strength flows between the leagues and every club ends up on the same scale.
Ratings as of 26 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.
We ran the model over 3,119 European matches from 2015/16 to 2025/26, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.962 against 1.047, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.
The final is played at a stadium chosen in advance, so the model gives neither club home advantage in it. Every other match counts as a home match for the first-named club.
The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.
