Primeira Liga · predictions
Calibrated model probabilities for the Primeira Liga fixtures we currently model. We track 42 upcoming matches, not tips.
42Upcoming matches
60Teams covered
49.8%Avg Over 2.5 %
50.2%Avg BTTS %
League table (2026/27)
2.64Goals / match
52%Over 2.5
41%BTTS
41%Home wins
27%Draws
32%Away wins
8.7Corners / match
4.1Cards / match
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Sp Lisbon | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 11 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 6 |  Estrela | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 | DDWDW |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 8 |  Sp Braga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | DWWL |
| 9 |  Maritimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Academico Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 11 |  Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Guimaraes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Famalicao | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLLDD |
| 15 |  Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 16 |  Alverca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | DLLLD |
| 18 |  Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.
Predicted matches
- Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction & probabilities (2026-09-13)
- Benfica vs Gil Vicente prediction & probabilities (2026-09-13)
- Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon prediction & probabilities (2026-09-13)
- Rio Ave vs Estrela prediction & probabilities (2026-09-14)
- Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction & probabilities (2026-09-14)
- Sp Braga vs Estoril prediction & probabilities (2026-09-14)
- Nacional vs Alverca prediction & probabilities (2026-09-12)
- Casa Pia vs Porto prediction & probabilities (2026-09-12)
- Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes prediction & probabilities (2026-09-12)
- Estrela vs Sp Braga prediction & probabilities (2026-09-10)
- Maritimo vs Benfica prediction & probabilities (2026-09-05)
- Sp Lisbon vs Nacional prediction & probabilities (2026-09-05)
- Santa Clara vs Rio Ave prediction & probabilities (2026-09-06)
- Guimaraes vs Casa Pia prediction & probabilities (2026-09-06)
- Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu prediction & probabilities (2026-09-06)
- Estoril vs Arouca prediction & probabilities (2026-09-07)
- Estrela vs Famalicao prediction & probabilities (2026-09-05)
- Alverca vs Sp Braga prediction & probabilities (2026-09-05)
- Benfica vs Estoril prediction & probabilities (2026-08-31)
- Sp Braga vs Guimaraes prediction & probabilities (2026-08-31)
- Alverca vs Santa Clara prediction & probabilities (2026-08-29)
- Arouca vs Maritimo prediction & probabilities (2026-08-29)
- Academico Viseu vs Porto prediction & probabilities (2026-08-29)
- Nacional vs Estrela prediction & probabilities (2026-08-30)
- Casa Pia vs Moreirense prediction & probabilities (2026-08-30)
- Famalicao vs Gil Vicente prediction & probabilities (2026-08-30)
- Rio Ave vs Sp Lisbon prediction & probabilities (2026-08-28)
- Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia prediction & probabilities (2026-08-24)
- Guimaraes vs Nacional prediction & probabilities (2026-08-23)
- Santa Clara vs Famalicao prediction & probabilities (2026-08-23)
- Porto vs Arouca prediction & probabilities (2026-08-23)
- Sp Lisbon vs Alverca prediction & probabilities (2026-08-22)
- Maritimo vs Academico Viseu prediction & probabilities (2026-08-22)
- Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction & probabilities (2026-08-22)
- Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction & probabilities (2026-08-17)
- Nacional vs Estoril prediction & probabilities (2026-08-16)
- Arouca vs Moreirense prediction & probabilities (2026-08-16)
- Famalicao vs Maritimo prediction & probabilities (2026-08-16)
- Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente prediction & probabilities (2026-08-16)
- Alverca vs Estrela prediction & probabilities (2026-08-15)
- Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara prediction & probabilities (2026-08-15)
- Rio Ave vs Porto prediction & probabilities (2026-08-15)
Full schedule, next 28 days
- Sun 13 Sep 2026
- 18:00 UKArouca vs Santa Clara
- 18:00 UKBenfica vs Gil Vicente
- 20:30 UKFamalicao vs Sp Lisbon
- Mon 14 Sep 2026
- 18:45 UKRio Ave vs Estrela
- 20:15 UKMoreirense vs Maritimo
- 20:45 UKSp Braga vs Estoril
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
How many Primeira Liga matches are predicted?
We currently model 42 upcoming fixtures across 60 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Primeira Liga tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 42 matches the model averages 49.8% for Over 2.5 goals.
Who is top of the Primeira Liga?
Porto lead the Primeira Liga (2026/27) with 15 points from 5 games, through 2026-09-10.
How many goals per game in the Primeira Liga this season?
The Primeira Liga is averaging 2.64 goals per match, with 52% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 44 matches played.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.