Conference League · model probabilities

Conference League predictions

Our model’s probabilities for upcoming Conference League matches, from one rating that compares every club across the leagues we cover.

Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices for these competitions, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.

  • 11Upcoming matches priced
  • 3,119Past matches tested

Upcoming Conference League predictions

  • AarhusSC BragaThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    134.3%2.92X25.6%3.90240.1%2.49
  • AtalantaKairat AlmatyThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    177.8%1.28X14.2%7.0227.9%12.61
  • FC MidtjyllandAjaxThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    142.9%2.33X25.4%3.94231.7%3.16
  • FC ThunHeart Of MidlothianThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    139.8%2.52X25.6%3.90234.6%2.89
  • FK Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'EscaldesThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    171.5%1.40X17.3%5.78211.2%8.92
  • KuPSGentThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    116.8%5.94X21.0%4.76262.2%1.61
  • TrabzonsporSC FreiburgThu 5 Nov · 17:45 UK
    131.7%3.16X25.4%3.94242.9%2.33
  • FC CopenhagenFC Iberia 1999Thu 5 Nov · 20:00 UK
    187.7%1.14X8.7%11.5523.6%27.55
  • GetafeBrightonThu 5 Nov · 20:00 UK
    115.9%6.28X20.5%4.87263.6%1.57
  • MonacoFC NordsjaellandThu 5 Nov · 20:00 UK
    166.4%1.51X19.4%5.15214.1%7.07
  • St. TruidenBrannThu 5 Nov · 20:00 UK
    144.2%2.27X25.3%3.96230.6%3.27

7 other Conference League fixtures are left out: we list a match only when we can match both clubs to their own results, in their league or in Europe.

Conference League standings

Competition season: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

This snapshot is older than 48 hours. A newer table has not been saved yet.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

UEFA Conference League

Conference League UEFA Conference League, season 2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22007256WW
2FC LuganoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22008446WW
3BrannPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22006246WW
4TrabzonsporPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22006246WW
5TwentePromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22005146WW
6MonacoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22005146WW
7St. TruidenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22003036WW
8HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)22003126WW
9BrightonPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21104044DW
10FC CopenhagenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21105234DW
11Universitatea CraiovaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21104224WD
12Mjallby AIFPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21103124DW
13AjaxPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21013213WL
14Borac Banja LukaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21013213WL
15AtalantaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)21013303LW
16SC BragaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)210123-13WL
17GentPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)210112-13LW
18SC FreiburgPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)210135-23LW
19FC NordsjaellandPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)20203302DD
20Egnatia RrogozhinëPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)20202202DD
21RigaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)20202202DD
22FK Crvena ZvezdaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)201145-11DL
23CSKA SofiaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)201134-11DL
24FK JablonecPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)201123-11DL
25FC Midtjylland201112-11LD
26Aarhus201112-11DL
27Pafos201124-21DL
28Heart Of Midlothian201113-21LD
29FC Iberia 1999201113-21DL
30Getafe201136-31LD
31Kairat Almaty201126-41LD
32FC Thun200202-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FC200226-40LL
34KuPS200226-40LL
35Inter Club d'Escaldes200215-40LL
36Kauno Žalgiris200218-70LL

How the model works, and how we tested it

Every club gets one strength rating, updated after each match in the national leagues we cover and in the European cups. Because clubs meet across leagues in Europe, strength flows between the leagues and every club ends up on the same scale.

Ratings as of 26 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.

We ran the model over 3,119 European matches from 2015/16 to 2025/26, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.962 against 1.047, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.

The final is played at a stadium chosen in advance, so the model gives neither club home advantage in it. Every other match counts as a home match for the first-named club.

The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.