Ligue 1
MarseilleMarseilleLLWWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1119:45UK
ToulouseToulouseDWDWD

Marseille vs Toulouse both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes61.9%
Both teams to score: No38.1%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes61.9%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean61.9%
No38.1%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 60.6%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Marseille scored
2.4
Marseille conceded
1.6
Toulouse scored
2.0
Toulouse conceded
1.2

Each team to score

Marseille to score83.4%
Marseille 2+ goals53.8%
Toulouse to score73.5%
Toulouse 2+ goals38.4%

By half

Both score in 1st half15.8%
Both score in 2nd half43.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.9%

0

12.6%

1

21.9%

2

22.3%

3

17.5%

4

19.5%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

MarseilleBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
ToulouseBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MarseilleMarseilleLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 5-2
W
Win · 4-3

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

ToulouseToulouseLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 0-0

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3MarseilleMarseille wins
2Draws
0ToulouseToulouse wins
3.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
ToulouseToulouse
0 – 1
MarseilleMarseille
MarseilleMarseille
2 – 2
ToulouseToulouse
MarseilleMarseille
3 – 2
ToulouseToulouse
ToulouseToulouse
1 – 3
MarseilleMarseille
ToulouseToulouse
2 – 2
MarseilleMarseille

Match outlook

PickMarseille48.5%
Draw23.9%
Toulouse27.6%

The model leans Marseille to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 61.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Marseille have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Toulouse 2.0 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.6% for over 2.5 and 82.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.6 goals a game. Marseille have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Toulouse in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 60.6% for three or more goals and 82.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Marseille favoured at 48.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

48.5%Favoured: Marseille
61.9%Both Teams to Score
60.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 61.9% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 60.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMarseille are the model’s pick on the result at 48.5%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
MarseilleMarseille

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ToulouseToulouse
Statistic
Marseille
Toulouse
BTTS rate
50.0%
50.0%

clean sheets
25.0%
25.0%

goals scored per game
2.3
1.5

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

MarseilleMarseille (1)
Amine Gouiri
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
37.3%
2.68
1+ shot on target
65.8%
1.52
2+ shots
64.1%
1.56
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.95
On target1.45
Goals0.63
ToulouseToulouse (1)
Santiago Hidalgo
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
10.9%
9.17
1+ shot on target
38.4%
2.60
2+ shots
33.8%
2.96
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.50
On target1.01
Goals0.24

FAQ

Will both teams score in Marseille vs Toulouse?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 61.9% for Marseille vs Toulouse.
Will Marseille score against Toulouse?
The model rates Marseille to score at 83.4% and Toulouse to score at 73.5%.
How often have Marseille seen both teams score recently?
Marseille have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Toulouse in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.