Bundesliga predictions
Calibrated model probabilities for the Bundesliga fixtures we currently model. We track 9 upcoming matches.
- 9Upcoming predictions
- 18Teams in league
- 64.2%Model avg Over 2.5
- 64.1%Model avg BTTS
Upcoming Bundesliga predictions
ElversbergELVMainzM05
- Home win
- 30.5%
- Draw
- 23.8%
- Away win
- 45.6%
AugsburgAUGFreiburgFRE
- Home win
- 43.3%
- Draw
- 24.7%
- Away win
- 32.0%
LeverkusenB04StuttgartVFB
- Home win
- 56.6%
- Draw
- 19.3%
- Away win
- 24.1%
M'gladbachMGLPaderbornPAD
- Home win
- 54.7%
- Draw
- 21.4%
- Away win
- 23.9%
Schalke 04S04RB LeipzigRBL
- Home win
- 24.2%
- Draw
- 21.4%
- Away win
- 54.5%
Werder BremenSVWHoffenheimHOF
- Home win
- 40.3%
- Draw
- 24.0%
- Away win
- 35.8%
Bayern MunichBAYDortmundDOR
- Home win
- 66.5%
- Draw
- 16.9%
- Away win
- 16.6%
Union BerlinUNBFC KolnKOE
- Home win
- 40.8%
- Draw
- 26.5%
- Away win
- 32.7%
Ein FrankfurtEINHamburgHSV
- Home win
- 56.7%
- Draw
- 21.7%
- Away win
- 21.7%
Bundesliga score predictions
The most likely correct score in each match. Even the leading scoreline usually has a low probability.
- ElversbergELVMainzM051-1 10.6%
- AugsburgAUGFreiburgFRE1-1 10.8%
- LeverkusenB04StuttgartVFB2-1 9.0%
- M'gladbachMGLPaderbornPAD1-1 10.0%
- Schalke 04S04RB LeipzigRBL1-1 9.3%
- Werder BremenSVWHoffenheimHOF1-1 10.7%
- Bayern MunichBAYDortmundDOR2-1 9.6%
- Union BerlinUNBFC KolnKOE1-1 12.2%
- Ein FrankfurtEINHamburgHSV1-1 10.3%
Bundesliga table and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 63 league matches played, through 2026-10-25.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | WDWLL |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | LDLWL |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 3 | LLLLW |
Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.
Season match patterns
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Bundesliga
- 71%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Bundesliga
- 57%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Home wins
Share of matches
- Bundesliga
- 51%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Draws
Share of matches
- Bundesliga
- 21%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Away wins
Share of matches
- Bundesliga
- 29%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Bundesliga top scorers and xG
Season 2026/27. Leading scorers in our published player data.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niclas Füllkrug | Werder Bremen | 8 | 5.49 |
| Michael Olise | Bayern Munich | 6 | 3.98 |
| Patrik Schick | Leverkusen | 6 | 4.94 |
| Phillip Tietz | Mainz | 5 | 4.45 |
| Younes Ebnoutalib | Ein Frankfurt | 5 | 4.27 |
| Harry Kane | Bayern Munich | 4 | 5.96 |
| Yuito Suzuki | Freiburg | 4 | 2.65 |
| Anthony Caci | Mainz | 3 | 1.35 |
| Antonio Nusa | RB Leipzig | 3 | 0.77 |
| Ermedin Demirovic | Stuttgart | 3 | 4.29 |
Stored match analysis
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
- Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich, 25 Oct
- Hoffenheim 3-0 Leverkusen, 25 Oct
- Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt, 24 Oct
- RB Leipzig 4-0 Elversberg, 24 Oct
- Paderborn 1-0 Hamburg, 24 Oct
- Mainz 2-3 Werder Bremen, 24 Oct
- FC Koln 0-0 Schalke 04, 24 Oct
- Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin, 24 Oct
- Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Monchengladbach, 23 Oct
- Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Hoffenheim, 18 Oct
- Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg, 18 Oct
- Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig, 17 Oct
- Werder Bremen 2-2 Paderborn, 17 Oct
- Union Berlin 0-0 Dortmund, 17 Oct
- Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz, 17 Oct
- Hamburg 1-0 Stuttgart, 17 Oct
- Elversberg 4-3 Augsburg, 17 Oct
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Koln, 16 Oct
- Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04, 11 Oct
- FC Koln 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach, 11 Oct
- RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt, 10 Oct
- Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg, 10 Oct
- Paderborn 0-2 Stuttgart, 10 Oct
- Mainz 3-4 Leverkusen, 10 Oct
- Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg, 10 Oct
- Augsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich, 10 Oct
- Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen, 9 Oct
Bundesliga Super 6 style picks: six correct scores
Super 6 itself uses British matches. This is the same Super 6 style idea on the Bundesliga: the matches where our score earns the most expected points, 5 for the exact score and 2 for the right result.
- 1Bayern Munich vs DortmundAlso the most likely score · All scores2-19.6% exact1.62 exp. pts
- 2Ein Frankfurt vs HamburgMost likely 1-1 (10.3%) · All scores2-19.8% exact1.43 exp. pts
- 3Leverkusen vs StuttgartAlso the most likely score · All scores2-19.0% exact1.40 exp. pts
- 4M'gladbach vs PaderbornMost likely 1-1 (10.0%) · All scores2-19.5% exact1.38 exp. pts
- 5Schalke 04 vs RB LeipzigMost likely 1-1 (9.3%) · All scores1-29.2% exact1.37 exp. pts
- 6Elversberg vs MainzMost likely 1-1 (10.6%) · All scores1-29.0% exact1.18 exp. pts
An exact score is always unlikely: the strongest one here has a 9.8% chance. All Premier League and EFL scores for the round are on our Super 6 predictions page.
Bundesliga referees
Matches in the Bundesliga since 2025/26, with career yellow cards per game from completed matches. We never publish referee appointments for upcoming matches unless an official source confirms them.
- Felix Zwayer20 matches4.10
- Sven Jablonski20 matches2.81
- Benjamin Brand19 matches3.68
- Daniel Siebert19 matches3.35
- Tobias Stieler17 matches3.26
- Daniel Schlager17 matches4.18
- Florian Badstubner17 matches2.52
- Robert Hartmann16 matches3.95
- Matthias Jollenbeck16 matches3.90
- Bastian Dankert16 matches3.00
- Florian Exner15 matches4.83
- Sören Storks15 matches4.50
Bundesliga fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 19 of 19 upcoming league fixtures.
- Fri 30 Oct 2026
- 19:30 UKElversbergELVMainzM05
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 14:30 UKAugsburgAUGFreiburgFRE
- 14:30 UKLeverkusenB04StuttgartVFB
- 14:30 UKM'gladbachMGLPaderbornPAD
- 14:30 UKSchalke 04S04RB LeipzigRBL
- 14:30 UKWerder BremenSVWHoffenheimHOF
- 17:30 UKBayern MunichBAYDortmundDOR
- Sun 1 Nov 2026
- 14:30 UKUnion BerlinUNBFC KolnKOE
- 16:30 UKEin FrankfurtEINHamburgHSV
- Fri 6 Nov 2026
- 19:30 UKHamburgHSVM'gladbachMGL
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- 14:30 UKDortmundDORElversbergELV
- 14:30 UKMainzM05Bayern MunichBAY
- 14:30 UKPaderbornPADEin FrankfurtEIN
- 14:30 UKRB LeipzigRBLAugsburgAUG
- 17:30 UKStuttgartVFBWerder BremenSVW
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 14:30 UKFC KolnKOELeverkusenB04
- 16:30 UKFreiburgFREUnion BerlinUNB
- 18:30 UKHoffenheimHOFSchalke 04S04
- Fri 20 Nov 2026
- 19:30 UKBayern MunichBAYFC KolnKOE
Frequently asked questions
How many Bundesliga matches are predicted?
We currently model 9 upcoming fixtures across 18 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Bundesliga tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 9 matches the model averages 64.2% for Over 2.5 goals.
Who is top of the Bundesliga?
Bayern Munich lead the Bundesliga (2026/27) with 17 points from 7 games, through 2026-10-25.
How many goals per game in the Bundesliga this season?
The Bundesliga is averaging 3.56 goals per match, with 71% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 63 matches played.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
