La Liga predictions
Calibrated model probabilities for the La Liga fixtures we currently model. We track 10 upcoming matches.
- 10Upcoming predictions
- 20Teams in league
- 53.3%Model avg Over 2.5
- 53.5%Model avg BTTS
Upcoming La Liga predictions
VillarrealVILEspanolESP
- Home win
- 64.6%
- Draw
- 20.8%
- Away win
- 14.6%
LevanteLEVAth MadridATH
- Home win
- 30.3%
- Draw
- 23.9%
- Away win
- 45.8%
VallecanoVALCeltaCEL
- Home win
- 41.6%
- Draw
- 28.3%
- Away win
- 30.1%
BetisBETMalagaMAL
- Home win
- 68.5%
- Draw
- 18.7%
- Away win
- 12.8%
BarcelonaBARAlavesALA
- Home win
- 78.7%
- Draw
- 13.0%
- Away win
- 8.3%
GetafeGETSevillaSEV
- Home win
- 38.4%
- Draw
- 30.8%
- Away win
- 30.8%
SantanderSANReal MadridRMA
- Home win
- 16.2%
- Draw
- 20.4%
- Away win
- 63.4%
ElcheELCValenciaVAL
- Home win
- 47.3%
- Draw
- 25.7%
- Away win
- 27.0%
Ath BilbaoATHSociedadRSO
- Home win
- 50.7%
- Draw
- 23.6%
- Away win
- 25.7%
La CorunaLACOsasunaOSA
- Home win
- 37.7%
- Draw
- 27.1%
- Away win
- 35.2%
La Liga score predictions
The most likely correct score in each match. Even the leading scoreline usually has a low probability.
- VillarrealVILEspanolESP2-0 10.5%
- LevanteLEVAth MadridATH1-1 11.5%
- VallecanoVALCeltaCEL1-1 13.4%
- BetisBETMalagaMAL2-0 10.4%
- BarcelonaBARAlavesALA2-0 10.2%
- GetafeGETSevillaSEV1-1 14.1%
- SantanderSANReal MadridRMA1-1 10.3%
- ElcheELCValenciaVAL1-1 12.7%
- Ath BilbaoATHSociedadRSO1-1 11.9%
- La CorunaLACOsasunaOSA1-1 13.1%
La Liga table and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 99 league matches played, through 2026-10-26.
La Liga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 24 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 5 | Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | DDDLW |
| 9 | Celta | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 11 | La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 16 | Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Espanol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | LLDLD |
Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.
Season match patterns
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- La Liga
- 57%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- La Liga
- 59%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Home wins
Share of matches
- La Liga
- 44%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Draws
Share of matches
- La Liga
- 27%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Away wins
Share of matches
- La Liga
- 28%
Scale: 0 to 100%
La Liga top scorers and xG
Season 2026/27. Leading scorers in our published player data.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raphinha | Barcelona | 13 | 9.55 |
| Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 11 | 12.33 |
| Lamine Yamal | Barcelona | 8 | 7.27 |
| Yassir Zabiri | Santander | 8 | 5.04 |
| Ante Budimir | Osasuna | 7 | 6.10 |
| Sergio Camello | Vallecano | 7 | 3.47 |
| Fernando Niño | Elche | 6 | 3.89 |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | La Coruna | 6 | 4.14 |
| Roberto Fernández | Espanol | 6 | 5.33 |
| Lucas Boyé | Alaves | 5 | 3.16 |
Stored match analysis
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
- Sevilla 2-0 Osasuna, 26 Oct
- Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid, 25 Oct
- Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante, 25 Oct
- Celta Vigo 0-0 Real Betis, 25 Oct
- Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Getafe, 25 Oct
- Atletico Madrid 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna, 24 Oct
- Valencia 1-2 Villarreal, 24 Oct
- Racing Santander 2-1 Espanyol, 24 Oct
- Rayo Vallecano 0-3 Elche, 24 Oct
- Alaves 1-1 Malaga, 23 Oct
- Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano, 19 Oct
- Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla, 18 Oct
- Malaga 2-5 Real Sociedad, 18 Oct
- Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves, 18 Oct
- Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander, 18 Oct
- Valencia 0-0 Athletic Bilbao, 17 Oct
- Real Betis 2-5 Barcelona, 17 Oct
- Villarreal 0-0 Elche, 17 Oct
- Espanyol 0-1 Atletico Madrid, 17 Oct
- Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Levante, 16 Oct
- Levante 3-3 Sevilla, 12 Oct
- Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia, 11 Oct
- Real Betis 5-2 Osasuna, 11 Oct
- Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La Coruna, 11 Oct
- Elche 0-0 Celta Vigo, 11 Oct
- Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal, 10 Oct
- Barcelona 3-0 Getafe, 10 Oct
- Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid, 10 Oct
- Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao prediction, 10 Oct
- Malaga 1-1 Espanyol, 9 Oct
La Liga Super 6 style picks: six correct scores
Super 6 itself uses British matches. This is the same Super 6 style idea on the La Liga: the matches where our score earns the most expected points, 5 for the exact score and 2 for the right result.
- 1Barcelona vs AlavesAlso the most likely score · All scores2-010.2% exact1.88 exp. pts
- 2Betis vs MalagaAlso the most likely score · All scores2-010.4% exact1.68 exp. pts
- 3Villarreal vs EspanolAlso the most likely score · All scores2-010.5% exact1.61 exp. pts
- 4Santander vs Real MadridMost likely 1-1 (10.3%) · All scores1-29.9% exact1.57 exp. pts
- 5Ath Bilbao vs SociedadMost likely 1-1 (11.9%) · All scores2-19.5% exact1.30 exp. pts
- 6Elche vs ValenciaMost likely 1-1 (12.7%) · All scores1-010.3% exact1.26 exp. pts
An exact score is always unlikely: the strongest one here has a 10.5% chance. All Premier League and EFL scores for the round are on our Super 6 predictions page.
La Liga referees
Matches in the La Liga since 2025/26, with career yellow cards per game from completed matches. We never publish referee appointments for upcoming matches unless an official source confirms them.
- Alejandro Hernandez26 matches5.12
- Juan Martinez Munuera25 matches3.92
- Jesus Gil Manzano24 matches4.67
- César Soto Grado22 matches4.59
- José María Sánchez Martínez21 matches4.43
- Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz18 matches4.83
- Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos16 matches4.50
- Javier Alberola Rojas16 matches4.56
- Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias16 matches3.88
- Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez15 matches4.80
- Miguel Sesma Espinosa15 matches3.27
- Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea15 matches4.40
La Liga fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 20 of 20 upcoming league fixtures.
- Fri 30 Oct 2026
- 20:00 UKVillarrealVILEspanolESP
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 13:00 UKLevanteLEVAth MadridATH
- 15:15 UKVallecanoVALCeltaCEL
- 17:30 UKBetisBETMalagaMAL
- 20:00 UKBarcelonaBARAlavesALA
- Sun 1 Nov 2026
- 13:00 UKGetafeGETSevillaSEV
- 15:15 UKSantanderSANReal MadridRMA
- 17:30 UKElcheELCValenciaVAL
- 20:00 UKAth BilbaoATHSociedadRSO
- Mon 2 Nov 2026
- 20:00 UKLa CorunaLACOsasunaOSA
- Fri 6 Nov 2026
- 20:00 UKSevillaSEVAlavesALA
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- 13:00 UKMalagaMALSantanderSAN
- 15:15 UKEspanolESPLa CorunaLAC
- 17:30 UKOsasunaOSAAth BilbaoATH
- 20:00 UKValenciaVALReal MadridRMA
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 13:00 UKElcheELCBetisBET
- 15:15 UKSociedadRSOVallecanoVAL
- 17:30 UKCeltaCELLevanteLEV
- 17:30 UKVillarrealVILGetafeGET
- 20:00 UKAth MadridATHBarcelonaBAR
Frequently asked questions
How many La Liga matches are predicted?
We currently model 10 upcoming fixtures across 20 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these La Liga tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 10 matches the model averages 53.3% for Over 2.5 goals.
Who is top of the La Liga?
Barcelona lead the La Liga (2026/27) with 27 points from 10 games, through 2026-10-26.
How many goals per game in the La Liga this season?
The La Liga is averaging 3.01 goals per match, with 57% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 99 matches played.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
