Market guide

Corner predictions today

A softer market that fewer books price carefully, which is exactly why calibration matters most here: a number nobody checks is easy to get wrong.

Model probabilities and fair odds, not bookmaker offers.

How our football predictions work →

Corners follow territory and shot volume, not the scoreline.

Matches we model this round157line 9.5 corners
Our hit rate on this market54.0%50,949 graded calls
Calibration error1.0pphow far our % sits from reality

Best corners predictions this round

The strongest model calls grouped by probability. Lower risk means a higher model chance, not a guaranteed outcome.

Fair odds are calculated from the model probability, without a bookmaker margin.

Low risk
Model chance89.2%Under 12.5 cornersKifisiaOlympiakosFair odds1.12Model chance89.1%Under 12.5 cornersAtromitosVolos NFCFair odds1.12Model chance88.6%Under 12.5 cornersKalamataIraklisFair odds1.13Model chance88.4%Under 12.5 cornersPanetolikosOFI CreteFair odds1.13
Medium risk
Model chance70.0%Over 7.5 cornersEibarAlmeriaFair odds1.43Model chance70.0%Over 8.5 cornersBoltonBristol CityFair odds1.43Model chance69.9%Over 8.5 cornersCardiffWest HamFair odds1.43Model chance69.9%Under 11.5 cornersColchesterWalsallFair odds1.43
High risk
Model chance60.9%Under 11.5 cornersMiddlesbroughCharltonFair odds1.64Model chance60.9%Over 8.5 cornersFenerbahceGoztepFair odds1.64Model chance60.9%Under 9.5 cornersPanathinaikosAEKFair odds1.64Model chance60.9%Under 10.5 cornersKasimpasaBesiktasFair odds1.64

Corners predictions by match

Ranked by model probability. Filter by league and risk; select a match for its full market analysis.

Fair odds are model prices, not bookmaker offers.

24 predictions · strongest of 157 modelled matches

League
How sure we are
MatchKick offModelFair odds
KifisiaOlympiakosUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece17:00 UKModel 64.1%Fair odds 1.5617:00 UK64.1%1.56
AtromitosVolos NFCUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece16:00 UKModel 63.9%Fair odds 1.5616:00 UK63.9%1.56
PrestonSheffield UnitedOver 9.5 cornersChampionship19:45 UKModel 62.9%Fair odds 1.5919:45 UK62.9%1.59
KalamataIraklisUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece17:30 UKModel 62.9%Fair odds 1.5917:30 UK62.9%1.59
HannoverDresdenOver 9.5 corners2. Bundesliga12:30 UKModel 62.5%Fair odds 1.6012:30 UK62.5%1.60
PanetolikosOFI CreteUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece16:00 UKModel 62.5%Fair odds 1.6016:00 UK62.5%1.60
MilanInterUnder 9.5 cornersSerie A19:45 UKModel 62.3%Fair odds 1.6119:45 UK62.3%1.61
LevadeiakosArisUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece15:00 UKModel 61.9%Fair odds 1.6215:00 UK61.9%1.62
MiddlesbroughCharltonOver 9.5 cornersChampionship15:00 UKModel 61.7%Fair odds 1.6215:00 UK61.7%1.62
SassuoloFiorentinaUnder 9.5 cornersSerie A17:30 UKModel 61.5%Fair odds 1.6317:30 UK61.5%1.63
WolvesCardiffOver 9.5 cornersChampionship15:00 UKModel 61.5%Fair odds 1.6315:00 UK61.5%1.63
PAOKAsteras TripolisUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece17:00 UKModel 61.4%Fair odds 1.6317:00 UK61.4%1.63
CottbusBochumOver 9.5 corners2. Bundesliga17:30 UKModel 61.4%Fair odds 1.6317:30 UK61.4%1.63
PanathinaikosAEKUnder 9.5 cornersSuper League Greece17:30 UKModel 60.9%Fair odds 1.6417:30 UK60.9%1.64
BlackburnStokeOver 9.5 cornersChampionship19:45 UKModel 60.9%Fair odds 1.6419:45 UK60.9%1.64
GroningenSparta RotterdamOver 9.5 cornersEredivisie15:45 UKModel 60.7%Fair odds 1.6515:45 UK60.7%1.65
PSV EindhovenWillem IIOver 9.5 cornersEredivisie17:45 UKModel 60.7%Fair odds 1.6517:45 UK60.7%1.65
WatfordLincolnOver 9.5 cornersChampionship19:45 UKModel 60.2%Fair odds 1.6619:45 UK60.2%1.66
West HamWest BromOver 9.5 cornersChampionship15:00 UKModel 59.7%Fair odds 1.6815:00 UK59.7%1.68
PortsmouthSwanseaOver 9.5 cornersChampionship19:45 UKModel 59.5%Fair odds 1.6819:45 UK59.5%1.68
DarmstadtMagdeburgOver 9.5 corners2. Bundesliga12:00 UKModel 59.2%Fair odds 1.6912:00 UK59.2%1.69
BirminghamMillwallOver 9.5 cornersChampionship20:00 UKModel 59.1%Fair odds 1.6920:00 UK59.1%1.69
WolfsburgOsnabruckOver 9.5 corners2. Bundesliga12:00 UKModel 59.1%Fair odds 1.6912:00 UK59.1%1.69
ZwolleDen HaagOver 9.5 cornersEredivisie11:15 UKModel 59.1%Fair odds 1.6911:15 UK59.1%1.69

No predictions match these filters. Try another league or risk level.

Corners: model performance

Historical backtest, not the record of predictions published on this site. Each match uses only information available before kick-off.

The table compares model probability ranges with actual outcomes. Calls are graded on the selected side, including under selections.

Historical backtest · 50,949 graded calls

Predicted vs observed

When we saidIt happenedCalls
30.0% to 40.0%40.0%3,467
40.0% to 50.0%47.7%21,935
50.0% to 60.0%54.2%24,029
60.0% to 70.0%62.8%1,506

Recent backtest results

MISSFrosinone vs Lecce 56.0%MISSFiorentina vs Atalanta 59.8%HITMilan vs Bologna 62.5%HITParma vs Udinese 59.6%HITVenezia vs Inter 61.1%MISSGenoa vs Juventus 61.7%HITMonza vs Napoli 62.6%HITSassuolo vs Lazio 60.3%MISSRoma vs Cagliari 61.3%MISSTorino vs Como 60.6%

How we predict corners

A team that camps in the final third wins corners whether or not it scores. We model the total from recent corner counts on both sides, so a goalless game can still be a high corner game.

A softer market that fewer books price carefully, which is exactly why calibration matters most here: a number nobody checks is easy to get wrong.

How our football predictions work →

Corners follow territory and shot volume, not the scoreline.

Calibration grade C: range, not a point

See the full model record →

Explore other prediction markets

Compare model probabilities across goals, both teams to score, corners, cards, shots and correct scores.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams to scoreCardsCorrect scoreShots