AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Super League Greece
ArisArisLDWWW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:30UK
PanetolikosPanetolikosLLLLL

Aris vs Panetolikos corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined62%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined38%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners38.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Aris.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 63.2% 36.8%
8.5 corners 50.3% 49.7%
9.5 corners 38.0% 62.0%
10.5 corners 27.2% 72.8%
11.5 corners 18.5% 81.5%
12.5 corners 11.9% 88.1%

Who wins the corner count

Aris
62.1%
Level
10.3%
Panetolikos
27.6%

Team corners lines

Aris

Over 3.5
71.7%
Over 4.5
56.4%
Over 5.5
41.4%

Panetolikos

Over 3.5
46.1%
Over 4.5
29.4%
Over 5.5
17.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Aris's; Panetolikos gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Aris line Aris Panetolikos
-3.5 29.6% 70.4%
-1.5 51.0% 49.0%
-0.5 62.1% 37.9%
+0.5 72.4% 27.6%
ArisAris

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Aris at home and Panetolikos away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

PanetolikosPanetolikos
Statistic
Aris
Panetolikos
Corners won per game at this venue
5.0
2.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.0
8.0

First-half corners won per game
2.7
1.6

Second-half corners won per game
2.7
1.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
71.4%
42.9%

Matches with corner data
7
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 3,467 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 38.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 63.2% for over 7.5 to 11.9% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.3%. On the corner count, Aris are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 62.1%, with a level count at 10.3%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Aris over 4.5 corners sits at 56.4% and Panetolikos at 29.4%. This season Aris have averaged 5.4 corners won a game and Panetolikos 3.4.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

38.0%Over 9.5 corners
62.1%Most corners: Aris
56.4%Aris over 4.5 corners
29.4%Panetolikos over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 38.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderAris are the pick to win the corner count at 62.1%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 50.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
ArisAris

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

PanetolikosPanetolikos
Statistic
Aris
Panetolikos
corners won per game
5.4
3.4

corners conceded per game
2.9
5.4

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Aris vs Panetolikos?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 38.0% for Aris vs Panetolikos.
Which team will win the corner count in Aris vs Panetolikos?
The model rates Aris to win the corner count at 62.1%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Aris and Panetolikos average this season?
Aris have won 5.4 corners a game this season and Panetolikos 3.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Super League GreeceAris fixtures and statsPanetolikos fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.