AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Segunda División
TenerifeTenerifeDLDDD
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1120:00UK
AndorraAndorraWDWLL

Tenerife vs Andorra cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined76.7%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined23.3%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 3.5 cards76.7%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Tenerife vs Andorra. Slightly more cards are projected for Andorra for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 89.4% 10.6%
3.5 cards 76.7% 23.3%
4.5 cards 60.0% 40.0%
5.5 cards 42.6% 57.4%

Who picks up more cards

Tenerife
33.5%
Level
17.6%
Andorra
48.9%

Team cards lines

Tenerife

Over 1.5
69.0%
Over 2.5
42.8%

Andorra

Over 1.5
77.7%
Over 2.5
54.2%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Tenerife's; Andorra gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Tenerife line Tenerife Andorra
-1.5 19.0% 81.0%
-0.5 33.5% 66.5%
+0.5 51.1% 48.9%
+1.5 68.3% 31.7%

Red card

Any red card12.8%
Tenerife red card10.0%
Andorra red card3.1%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 87.9% 12.1%
22.5 fouls 79.1% 20.9%
24.5 fouls 67.7% 32.3%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Andorra J. Guzman 2 6.5 3.0

Swipe to see all referee stats →

TenerifeTenerife

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Tenerife at home and Andorra away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

AndorraAndorra
Statistic
Tenerife
Andorra
Cards per game at this venue
2.0
4.4

Opponent cards per game at this venue
3.3
2.6

Yellow cards per game
2.4
3.2

First-half yellow cards per game
0.9
1.1

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.3
1.9

Matches with more cards than the opponent
·
50.0%

Matches with card data
6
8
Red cards this season
·
0

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 8,516 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Cards actually happened 73.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 76.7%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 89.4% for over 2.5 to 42.6% for over 5.5, with over 5.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 42.6%. Between the two sides, Andorra are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 48.9%, with a level count at 17.6%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

By team, Tenerife over 1.5 cards sits at 69.0% and Andorra at 77.7%. A red card for either side is rated at 12.8% (Tenerife 10.0%, Andorra 3.1%). Andorra’s most frequent referee this season, J. Guzman, has averaged 6.5 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

76.7%Over 3.5 cards
12.8%Any red card
48.9%Most cards: Andorra
69.0%Tenerife over 1.5 cards
77.7%Andorra over 1.5 cards
79.1%Over 22.5 fouls

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 76.7% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherJ. Guzman, Andorra’s most frequent referee this season, averages 6.5 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 12.8%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianAndorra are the pick to collect more cards at 48.9%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
TenerifeTenerife

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AndorraAndorra
Statistic
Tenerife
Andorra
cards per game
·
3.5

fouls per game
13.2
18.3

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Tenerife vs Andorra?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 76.7% for Tenerife vs Andorra.
Will there be a red card in Tenerife vs Andorra?
The model rates a red card for either side at 12.8%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Tenerife vs Andorra?
The model rates Andorra to pick up more cards at 48.9%, with a level count at 17.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Segunda DivisiónTenerife fixtures and statsAndorra fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.