AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Segunda División
Sociedad BSociedad BLLLLL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1013:00UK
GironaGironaWDDWW

Sociedad B vs Girona cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined78.1%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined21.9%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 3.5 cards78.1%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Sociedad B vs Girona. The model leans toward Girona for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 90.2% 9.8%
3.5 cards 78.1% 21.9%
4.5 cards 62.0% 38.0%
5.5 cards 44.6% 55.4%

Who picks up more cards

Sociedad B
41.1%
Level
17.7%
Girona
41.2%

Team cards lines

Sociedad B

Over 1.5
74.7%
Over 2.5
50.1%

Girona

Over 1.5
74.8%
Over 2.5
50.1%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Sociedad B's; Girona gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Sociedad B line Sociedad B Girona
-1.5 25.2% 74.8%
-0.5 41.1% 58.9%
+0.5 58.8% 41.2%
+1.5 74.8% 25.2%

Red card

Any red card21.3%
Sociedad B red card18.2%
Girona red card3.8%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 87.2% 12.8%
22.5 fouls 78.0% 22.0%
24.5 fouls 66.3% 33.7%
Sociedad BSociedad B

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Sociedad B at home and Girona away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

GironaGirona
Statistic
Sociedad B
Girona
Yellow cards per game
2.7
2.6

First-half yellow cards per game
0.8
0.6

Second-half yellow cards per game
2.1
2.2

Matches with more cards than the opponent
·
25.0%

Matches with card data
6
8
Red cards this season
·
1

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 8,516 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Cards actually happened 73.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 78.1%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 90.2% for over 2.5 to 44.6% for over 5.5, with over 5.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.6%. Head to head on cards, Girona are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 41.2%, with a level count at 17.7%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Sociedad B over 1.5 cards sits at 74.7% and Girona at 74.8%. A red card for either side is rated at 21.3% (Sociedad B 18.2%, Girona 3.8%).

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

78.1%Over 3.5 cards
21.3%Any red card
41.2%Most cards: Girona
74.7%Sociedad B over 1.5 cards
74.8%Girona over 1.5 cards
78.0%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 78.1% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 21.3%, a live risk in this one, and a red changes every card line at once.
The DisciplinarianGirona are the pick to collect more cards at 41.2%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 5.5 cards: over sits at 44.6%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

AI experts on Cards

Open paper-trading picks from our model-strategy experts on this market, a transparent lab, never advice.

Expert Pick
corner_specialist v1.0 Over 3.5 cards
cards_referee v1.0 Over 3.5 cards

See all experts & their track records

Sociedad BSociedad B

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GironaGirona
Statistic
Sociedad B
Girona
cards per game
·
2.5

fouls per game
16.9
11.2

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Sociedad B vs Girona?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 78.1% for Sociedad B vs Girona.
Will there be a red card in Sociedad B vs Girona?
The model rates a red card for either side at 21.3%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Sociedad B vs Girona?
The model rates Girona to pick up more cards at 41.2%, with a level count at 17.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Segunda DivisiónSociedad B fixtures and statsGirona fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.