AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Eredivisie
CambuurCambuurWDWDW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1020:00UK
Go Ahead EaglesEaglesDDDLW

Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined67%
Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined33%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards33.0%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles. Slightly more cards are projected for Go Ahead Eagles for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 55.3% 44.7%
3.5 cards 33.0% 67.0%
4.5 cards 16.9% 83.1%
5.5 cards 7.5% 92.5%

Who picks up more cards

Cambuur
28.1%
Level
24.1%
Go Ahead Eagles
47.9%

Team cards lines

Cambuur

Over 1.5
34.6%
Over 2.5
12.7%

Go Ahead Eagles

Over 1.5
49.8%
Over 2.5
23.6%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Cambuur's; Go Ahead Eagles gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Cambuur line Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles
-1.5 11.6% 88.4%
-0.5 28.1% 71.9%
+0.5 52.1% 47.9%
+1.5 74.6% 25.4%

Red card

Any red card14.3%
Cambuur red card4.6%
Go Ahead Eagles red card10.2%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 54.0% 46.0%
22.5 fouls 38.7% 61.4%
24.5 fouls 25.3% 74.7%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Cambuur Allard Lindhout 2 2.5 1.0
Go Ahead Eagles Robin Hensgens 2 2.5 1.5

Swipe to see all referee stats →

CambuurCambuur

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Cambuur at home and Go Ahead Eagles away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
Statistic
Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
Yellow cards per game
1.8
0.9

First-half yellow cards per game
0.6
0.4

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.1
0.4

Matches with more cards than the opponent
16.7%
·

Matches with card data
6
3
Red cards this season
1
·

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 7,352 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Cards actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 33.0%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 55.3% for over 2.5 to 7.5% for over 5.5, with over 2.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.3%. On the card count, Go Ahead Eagles are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 47.9%, with a level count at 24.1%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Cambuur over 1.5 cards sits at 34.6% and Go Ahead Eagles at 49.8%. A red card for either side is rated at 14.3% (Cambuur 4.6%, Go Ahead Eagles 10.2%). Cambuur’s most frequent referee this season, Allard Lindhout, has averaged 2.5 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

33.0%Over 3.5 cards
14.3%Any red card
47.9%Most cards: Go Ahead Eagles
34.6%Cambuur over 1.5 cards
49.8%Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 cards
38.7%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 33.0% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherAllard Lindhout, Cambuur’s most frequent referee this season, averages 2.5 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 14.3%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianGo Ahead Eagles are the pick to collect more cards at 47.9%, the side chasing the game tends to foul more.
CambuurCambuur

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
Statistic
Cambuur
Go Ahead Eagles
cards per game
2.2
·

fouls per game
12.1
7.8

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 33.0% for Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles.
Will there be a red card in Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The model rates a red card for either side at 14.3%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The model rates Go Ahead Eagles to pick up more cards at 47.9%, with a level count at 24.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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EredivisieCambuur fixtures and statsGo Ahead Eagles fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.