AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

League Two
ColchesterColchesterDLDDL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK
WalsallWalsallDDDWL

Colchester vs Walsall corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined52%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined48%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners52.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Colchester.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 74.8% 25.3%
8.5 corners 63.7% 36.3%
9.5 corners 52.0% 48.0%
10.5 corners 40.5% 59.5%
11.5 corners 30.2% 69.8%
12.5 corners 21.5% 78.5%

Who wins the corner count

Colchester
53.1%
Level
10.6%
Walsall
36.3%

Team corners lines

Colchester

Over 3.5
74.0%
Over 4.5
58.9%
Over 5.5
43.8%

Walsall

Over 3.5
63.2%
Over 4.5
46.3%
Over 5.5
31.4%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Colchester's; Walsall gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Colchester line Colchester Walsall
-1.5 42.3% 57.7%
-0.5 53.1% 46.9%
+0.5 63.7% 36.3%
+1.5 73.4% 26.6%
ColchesterColchester

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Colchester at home and Walsall away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

WalsallWalsall
Statistic
Colchester
Walsall
Corners won per game at this venue
4.4
6.2

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.8
5.7

First-half corners won per game
1.6
3.1

Second-half corners won per game
2.3
3.4

Matches with more corners than the opponent
33.3%
63.6%

Matches with corner data
12
11

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 52.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 74.8% for over 7.5 to 21.5% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.0%. Between the two sides, Colchester are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.1%, with a level count at 10.6%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Colchester over 4.5 corners sits at 58.9% and Walsall at 46.3%. This season Colchester have averaged 3.8 corners won a game and Walsall 6.5.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

52.0%Over 9.5 corners
53.1%Most corners: Colchester
58.9%Colchester over 4.5 corners
46.3%Walsall over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 52.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderColchester are the pick to win the corner count at 53.1%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 52.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
ColchesterColchester

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

WalsallWalsall
Statistic
Colchester
Walsall
corners won per game
3.8
6.5

corners conceded per game
5.2
4.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Colchester vs Walsall?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 52.0% for Colchester vs Walsall.
Which team will win the corner count in Colchester vs Walsall?
The model rates Colchester to win the corner count at 53.1%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Colchester and Walsall average this season?
Colchester have won 3.8 corners a game this season and Walsall 6.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

League TwoColchester fixtures and statsWalsall fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.