Super League Greece
LevadeiakosLevadeiakosDLLDD
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1115:00UK
ArisArisLDWWW

Levadeiakos vs Aris corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined61.9%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined38.1%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners38.1%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Levadeiakos.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 63.3% 36.7%
8.5 corners 50.4% 49.6%
9.5 corners 38.1% 61.9%
10.5 corners 27.3% 72.7%
11.5 corners 18.5% 81.5%
12.5 corners 12.0% 88.0%

Who wins the corner count

Levadeiakos
51.7%
Level
11.1%
Aris
37.2%

Team corners lines

Levadeiakos

Over 3.5
65.4%
Over 4.5
49.0%
Over 5.5
34.2%

Aris

Over 3.5
54.8%
Over 4.5
37.8%
Over 5.5
24.0%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Levadeiakos's; Aris gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Levadeiakos line Levadeiakos Aris
-1.5 40.6% 59.4%
-0.5 51.7% 48.3%
+0.5 62.8% 37.2%
+1.5 72.9% 27.1%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 38.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 63.3% for over 7.5 to 12.0% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.4%. On the corner count, Levadeiakos are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.7%, with a level count at 11.1%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Levadeiakos over 4.5 corners sits at 49.0% and Aris at 37.8%. This season Levadeiakos have averaged 4.5 corners won a game and Aris 5.4.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

38.1%Over 9.5 corners
51.7%Most corners: Levadeiakos
49.0%Levadeiakos over 4.5 corners
37.8%Aris over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 38.1% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderLevadeiakos are the pick to win the corner count at 51.7%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 50.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
LevadeiakosLevadeiakos

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ArisAris
Statistic
Levadeiakos
Aris
corners won per game
4.5
5.4

corners conceded per game
4.6
2.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Levadeiakos vs Aris?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 38.1% for Levadeiakos vs Aris.
Which team will win the corner count in Levadeiakos vs Aris?
The model rates Levadeiakos to win the corner count at 51.7%, with a level count at 11.1%.
How many corners do Levadeiakos and Aris average this season?
Levadeiakos have won 4.5 corners a game this season and Aris 5.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Corners

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.