AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Championship
BlackburnBlackburnDWWLW
Tue, 3 Nov 20263/1119:45UK
StokeStokeWWLWD

Blackburn vs Stoke corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined60.9%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined39.1%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners60.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Blackburn.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 81.5% 18.5%
8.5 corners 71.9% 28.1%
9.5 corners 60.9% 39.1%
10.5 corners 49.3% 50.7%
11.5 corners 38.2% 61.8%
12.5 corners 28.3% 71.7%

Who wins the corner count

Blackburn
55.0%
Level
10.1%
Stoke
34.9%

Team corners lines

Blackburn

Over 3.5
79.5%
Over 4.5
65.8%
Over 5.5
51.0%

Stoke

Over 3.5
67.7%
Over 4.5
51.2%
Over 5.5
35.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Blackburn's; Stoke gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Blackburn line Blackburn Stoke
-1.5 44.5% 55.5%
-0.5 55.0% 45.0%
+0.5 65.1% 34.9%
+1.5 74.3% 25.7%
BlackburnBlackburn

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Blackburn at home and Stoke away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

StokeStoke
Statistic
Blackburn
Stoke
Corners won per game at this venue
6.0
4.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.5
6.5

First-half corners won per game
2.7
2.8

Second-half corners won per game
3.5
1.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
41.7%
33.3%

Matches with corner data
12
12

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 1,506 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 60.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 81.5% for over 7.5 to 28.3% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.3%. Head to head on corners, Blackburn are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 10.1%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Blackburn over 4.5 corners sits at 65.8% and Stoke at 51.2%. This season Blackburn have averaged 6.3 corners won a game and Stoke 4.4.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

60.9%Over 9.5 corners
55.0%Most corners: Blackburn
65.8%Blackburn over 4.5 corners
51.2%Stoke over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBlackburn are the pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 49.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BlackburnBlackburn

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

StokeStoke
Statistic
Blackburn
Stoke
corners won per game
6.3
4.4

corners conceded per game
6.1
5.2

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Blackburn vs Stoke?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 60.9% for Blackburn vs Stoke.
Which team will win the corner count in Blackburn vs Stoke?
The model rates Blackburn to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 10.1%.
How many corners do Blackburn and Stoke average this season?
Blackburn have won 6.3 corners a game this season and Stoke 4.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

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ChampionshipBlackburn fixtures and statsStoke fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.