AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Serie A
SassuoloSassuoloWLDLL
Mon, 2 Nov 20262/1117:30UK
FiorentinaFiorentinaWDLLL

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined60.5%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined39.5%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners39.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Sassuolo.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 61.9% 38.1%
8.5 corners 50.4% 49.6%
9.5 corners 39.5% 60.5%
10.5 corners 29.7% 70.3%
11.5 corners 21.6% 78.4%
12.5 corners 15.1% 84.9%

Who wins the corner count

Sassuolo
50.0%
Level
10.7%
Fiorentina
39.3%

Team corners lines

Sassuolo

Over 3.5
62.7%
Over 4.5
47.5%
Over 5.5
34.0%

Fiorentina

Over 3.5
55.1%
Over 4.5
39.5%
Over 5.5
26.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Sassuolo's; Fiorentina gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Sassuolo line Sassuolo Fiorentina
-1.5 39.4% 60.6%
-0.5 50.0% 50.0%
+0.5 60.7% 39.3%
+1.5 70.6% 29.5%
SassuoloSassuolo

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Sassuolo at home and Fiorentina away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

FiorentinaFiorentina
Statistic
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Corners won per game at this venue
3.3
3.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
6.0
3.3

First-half corners won per game
2.1
1.6

Second-half corners won per game
2.1
3.1

Matches with more corners than the opponent
12.5%
62.5%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 39.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 61.9% for over 7.5 to 15.1% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.4%. Head to head on corners, Sassuolo are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.0%, with a level count at 10.7%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Sassuolo over 4.5 corners sits at 47.5% and Fiorentina at 39.5%. This season Sassuolo have averaged 4.3 corners won a game and Fiorentina 4.8.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

39.5%Over 9.5 corners
50.0%Most corners: Sassuolo
47.5%Sassuolo over 4.5 corners
39.5%Fiorentina over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 39.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSassuolo are the pick to win the corner count at 50.0%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 50.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
SassuoloSassuolo

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

FiorentinaFiorentina
Statistic
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
corners won per game
4.3
4.8

corners conceded per game
6.3
4.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 39.5% for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina.
Which team will win the corner count in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
The model rates Sassuolo to win the corner count at 50.0%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Sassuolo and Fiorentina average this season?
Sassuolo have won 4.3 corners a game this season and Fiorentina 4.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Corners

Roma vs Cagliari predictionTorino vs Como predictionAC Milan vs Bologna corners predictionParma vs Udinese corners predictionVenezia vs Inter corners predictionGenoa vs Juventus corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

Serie ASassuolo fixtures and statsFiorentina fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.