AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Eredivisie
PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenWLWLD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1017:45UK
Willem IIWillem IILLLLL

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined60.7%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined39.3%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners60.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to PSV Eindhoven.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 81.2% 18.8%
8.5 corners 71.6% 28.4%
9.5 corners 60.7% 39.3%
10.5 corners 49.3% 50.7%
11.5 corners 38.4% 61.6%
12.5 corners 28.7% 71.4%

Who wins the corner count

PSV Eindhoven
63.8%
Level
8.7%
Willem II
27.4%

Team corners lines

PSV Eindhoven

Over 3.5
82.4%
Over 4.5
70.6%
Over 5.5
57.2%

Willem II

Over 3.5
59.3%
Over 4.5
42.7%
Over 5.5
28.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is PSV Eindhoven's; Willem II gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

PSV Eindhoven line PSV Eindhoven Willem II
-3.5 35.3% 64.7%
-1.5 54.3% 45.7%
-0.5 63.8% 36.2%
+0.5 72.6% 27.4%
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means PSV Eindhoven at home and Willem II away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Willem IIWillem II
Statistic
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Corners won per game at this venue
7.4
2.6

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.0
8.2

First-half corners won per game
3.2
1.9

Second-half corners won per game
3.3
2.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
60.0%
50.0%

Matches with corner data
10
10

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 1,506 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 60.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 81.2% for over 7.5 to 28.7% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.3%. Between the two sides, PSV Eindhoven are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 63.8%, with a level count at 8.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners sits at 70.6% and Willem II at 42.7%. This season PSV Eindhoven have averaged 6.5 corners won a game and Willem II 4.8.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

60.7%Over 9.5 corners
63.8%Most corners: PSV Eindhoven
70.6%PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners
42.7%Willem II over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderPSV Eindhoven are the pick to win the corner count at 63.8%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 49.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Willem IIWillem II
Statistic
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
corners won per game
6.5
4.8

corners conceded per game
3.1
6.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 60.7% for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II.
Which team will win the corner count in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
The model rates PSV Eindhoven to win the corner count at 63.8%, with a level count at 8.7%.
How many corners do PSV Eindhoven and Willem II average this season?
PSV Eindhoven have won 6.5 corners a game this season and Willem II 4.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

EredivisiePSV Eindhoven fixtures and statsWillem II fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.