AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Championship
CardiffCardiffWLWDW
Wed, 4 Nov 20264/1119:45UK
West HamWest HamDDWWL

Cardiff vs West Ham corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined58.6%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined41.4%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners58.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Cardiff.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 80.0% 20.0%
8.5 corners 69.9% 30.1%
9.5 corners 58.6% 41.4%
10.5 corners 46.9% 53.1%
11.5 corners 35.9% 64.1%
12.5 corners 26.3% 73.7%

Who wins the corner count

Cardiff
55.0%
Level
10.3%
West Ham
34.7%

Team corners lines

Cardiff

Over 3.5
78.5%
Over 4.5
64.5%
Over 5.5
49.5%

West Ham

Over 3.5
66.3%
Over 4.5
49.5%
Over 5.5
34.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Cardiff's; West Ham gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Cardiff line Cardiff West Ham
-1.5 44.4% 55.6%
-0.5 55.0% 45.0%
+0.5 65.3% 34.7%
+1.5 74.6% 25.5%
CardiffCardiff

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Cardiff at home and West Ham away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

West HamWest Ham
Statistic
Cardiff
West Ham
Corners won per game at this venue
7.3
7.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.5
4.0

First-half corners won per game
2.8
2.6

Second-half corners won per game
4.0
4.3

Matches with more corners than the opponent
58.3%
58.3%

Matches with corner data
12
12

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 58.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 80.0% for over 7.5 to 26.3% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.9%. Head to head on corners, Cardiff are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 10.3%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Cardiff over 4.5 corners sits at 64.5% and West Ham at 49.5%. This season Cardiff have averaged 6.8 corners won a game and West Ham 6.9.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

58.6%Over 9.5 corners
55.0%Most corners: Cardiff
64.5%Cardiff over 4.5 corners
49.5%West Ham over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCardiff are the pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 46.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
CardiffCardiff

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

West HamWest Ham
Statistic
Cardiff
West Ham
corners won per game
6.8
6.9

corners conceded per game
5.0
4.5

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Cardiff vs West Ham?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 58.6% for Cardiff vs West Ham.
Which team will win the corner count in Cardiff vs West Ham?
The model rates Cardiff to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Cardiff and West Ham average this season?
Cardiff have won 6.8 corners a game this season and West Ham 6.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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ChampionshipCardiff fixtures and statsWest Ham fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.