AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Championship
WolvesWolvesLLWDW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK
CardiffCardiffWLWDW

Wolves vs Cardiff corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined61.5%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined38.5%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners61.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Wolves.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 81.9% 18.1%
8.5 corners 72.4% 27.6%
9.5 corners 61.5% 38.5%
10.5 corners 50.0% 50.0%
11.5 corners 38.9% 61.1%
12.5 corners 28.9% 71.1%

Who wins the corner count

Wolves
60.1%
Level
9.7%
Cardiff
30.2%

Team corners lines

Wolves

Over 3.5
82.1%
Over 4.5
69.3%
Over 5.5
55.0%

Cardiff

Over 3.5
64.5%
Over 4.5
47.4%
Over 5.5
32.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Wolves's; Cardiff gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Wolves line Wolves Cardiff
-3.5 30.0% 70.1%
-1.5 49.7% 50.3%
-0.5 60.1% 39.9%
+0.5 69.8% 30.2%
WolvesWolves

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Wolves at home and Cardiff away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

CardiffCardiff
Statistic
Wolves
Cardiff
Corners won per game at this venue
8.2
6.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.3
6.5

First-half corners won per game
3.3
2.8

Second-half corners won per game
3.8
4.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
75.0%
58.3%

Matches with corner data
12
12

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 1,506 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 61.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 81.9% for over 7.5 to 28.9% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.0%. Between the two sides, Wolves are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.1%, with a level count at 9.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Wolves over 4.5 corners sits at 69.3% and Cardiff at 47.4%. This season Wolves have averaged 7.1 corners won a game and Cardiff 6.8.

61.5%Over 9.5 corners
60.1%Most corners: Wolves
69.3%Wolves over 4.5 corners
47.4%Cardiff over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 61.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderWolves are the pick to win the corner count at 60.1%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 50.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
WolvesWolves

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CardiffCardiff
Statistic
Wolves
Cardiff
corners won per game
7.1
6.8

corners conceded per game
3.8
5.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Wolves vs Cardiff?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 61.5% for Wolves vs Cardiff.
Which team will win the corner count in Wolves vs Cardiff?
The model rates Wolves to win the corner count at 60.1%, with a level count at 9.7%.
How many corners do Wolves and Cardiff average this season?
Wolves have won 7.1 corners a game this season and Cardiff 6.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

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ChampionshipWolves fixtures and statsCardiff fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.