Calibrated model probabilities for every Manchester United fixture we currently model. We track 1 upcoming match.
- 3Upcoming fixtures
- 1Modelled upcoming matches
- 60.6%Avg Over 2.5 %
- 63.0%Avg BTTS %
Manchester United next match
ChelseaChelseaDLWWL
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Manchester UnitedMan UtdLDDDLModel estimates
Manchester United form and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 8 team matches played, through 2026-10-25.
Manchester United stats compared with Premier League
Season 2026/27. Compare this club with the league average per team, per game. Differences show above or below the average; higher is not always better.
Results and goals
Points per game
Per game
- Manchester United
- 0.88
- League average
- 1.36
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: -0.48 per game
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Manchester United
- 38%
- League average
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: -12.5 pp
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Manchester United
- 63%
- League average
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: +12.5 pp
All results and goals figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 0.888 obs. | 1.36160 obs. | -0.48 |
| Goals scoredper game | 1.258 obs. | 1.39160 obs. | -0.14 |
| Goals concededper game | 1.628 obs. | 1.39160 obs. | +0.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%8 obs. | 50%160 obs. | -12.5 pp |
| Both teams scored | 63%8 obs. | 50%160 obs. | +12.5 pp |
| Clean sheets | 0%8 obs. | 29%160 obs. | -28.7 pp |
| Failed to score | 38%8 obs. | 29%160 obs. | +8.8 pp |
| First half goals scoredper game | 0.258 obs. | 0.57160 obs. | -0.32 |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 1.008 obs. | 0.81160 obs. | +0.19 |
Chance creation
xG created
Per game
- Manchester United
- 1.67
- League average
- 1.59
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: +0.08 per game
Shots
Per game
- Manchester United
- 19.4
- League average
- 13.7
Scale: 0 to 22.5 per game
Difference: +5.7 per game
Shots on target
Per game
- Manchester United
- 5.0
- League average
- 4.3
Scale: 0 to 6.0 per game
Difference: +0.7 per game
All chance creation figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG createdper game | 1.678 obs. | 1.59160 obs. | +0.08 |
| xG concededper game | 1.658 obs. | 1.59160 obs. | +0.06 |
| Shotsper game | 19.48 obs. | 13.7158 obs. | +5.7 |
| Shots facedper game | 10.98 obs. | 13.7158 obs. | -2.8 |
| Shots on targetper game | 5.08 obs. | 4.3160 obs. | +0.7 |
| Shots on target facedper game | 4.48 obs. | 4.3160 obs. | +0.1 |
| First half shotsper game | 6.68 obs. | 6.0160 obs. | +0.6 |
| Second half shotsper game | 12.98 obs. | 7.7160 obs. | +5.2 |
Corners and discipline
Corners won
Per game
- Manchester United
- 6.0
- League average
- 4.7
Scale: 0 to 7.0 per game
Difference: +1.3 per game
Cards received
Per game
- Manchester United
- 2.0
- League average
- 2.0
Scale: 0 to 2.5 per game
Difference: 0.0 per game
Fouls committed
Per game
- Manchester United
- 10.0
- League average
- 11.6
Scale: 0 to 13.5 per game
Difference: -1.6 per game
All corners and discipline figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners wonper game | 6.08 obs. | 4.7158 obs. | +1.3 |
| Corners concededper game | 3.68 obs. | 4.7158 obs. | -1.1 |
| Cards receivedper game | 2.08 obs. | 2.0108 obs. | 0.0 |
| Opponent cardsper game | 2.68 obs. | 2.0108 obs. | +0.6 |
| Yellow cardsper game | 2.08 obs. | 2.0152 obs. | +0.0 |
| Red cardsper game | 0.008 obs. | 0.12116 obs. | -0.12 |
| Fouls committedper game | 10.08 obs. | 11.6160 obs. | -1.6 |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 12.18 obs. | 11.6160 obs. | +0.5 |
Home and away splits
4 home matches · 4 away matches. A blank rate means the observed sample or coverage is insufficient. obs. means observed matches.
| Statistic | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 1.004 obs. | 0.754 obs. |
| Goals scoredper game | 1.504 obs. | 1.004 obs. |
| Goals concededper game | 1.754 obs. | 1.504 obs. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%4 obs. | 25%4 obs. |
| Both teams scored | 50%4 obs. | 75%4 obs. |
| Clean sheets | 0%4 obs. | 0%4 obs. |
| Failed to score | 50%4 obs. | 25%4 obs. |
| First half goals scoredper game | 0.254 obs. | 0.254 obs. |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 1.254 obs. | 0.754 obs. |
| xG createdper game | 1.884 obs. | 1.464 obs. |
| xG concededper game | 1.894 obs. | 1.424 obs. |
| Shotsper game | 19.54 obs. | 19.34 obs. |
| Shots facedper game | 9.34 obs. | 12.54 obs. |
| Shots on targetper game | 5.84 obs. | 4.34 obs. |
| Shots on target facedper game | 3.54 obs. | 5.34 obs. |
| First half shotsper game | 4.84 obs. | 8.54 obs. |
| Second half shotsper game | 14.84 obs. | 11.04 obs. |
| Corners wonper game | 5.84 obs. | 6.34 obs. |
| Corners concededper game | 4.84 obs. | 2.54 obs. |
| Cards receivedper game | 2.54 obs. | 1.54 obs. |
| Opponent cardsper game | 2.84 obs. | 2.54 obs. |
| Yellow cardsper game | 2.54 obs. | 1.54 obs. |
| Red cardsper game | 0.004 obs. | 0.004 obs. |
| Fouls committedper game | 12.54 obs. | 7.54 obs. |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 13.84 obs. | 10.54 obs. |
How to read these stats
Overall rates require at least five observed matches; home and away rates require three and at least 60% coverage. Missing values stay blank. obs. gives each statistic’s observed sample; league samples count team appearances. pp means percentage points. These are season observations, not predictions for the next match.
Manchester United player stats
Season 2026/27 totals from Understat. Players meeting the published playing-time sample; this is not the full squad.
Showing 1–22 of 22 players. Search covers all 22 records.
| Player | Apps | Minutes | Goals | xG | xA | Shots | On target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Mbeumo | 8 | 720 | 4 | 4.26 | 1.28 | 26 | 11 |
| Harry Maguire | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.55 | 9 | 2 |
| Senne Lammens | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 7 | 630 | 3 | 3.17 | 1.03 | 23 | 6 |
| Youri Tielemans | 8 | 601 | 0 | 0.39 | 1.09 | 8 | 2 |
| Diogo Dalot | 8 | 562 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.86 | 9 | 1 |
| Matheus Cunha | 8 | 553 | 1 | 0.85 | 1.86 | 17 | 4 |
| Lisandro Martínez | 7 | 521 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 8 | 3 |
| Kobbie Mainoo | 6 | 450 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 6 | 0 |
| Luke Shaw | 5 | 429 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.64 | 2 | 0 |
| Marcus Rashford | 6 | 360 | 0 | 1.32 | 0.46 | 13 | 4 |
| Andrey Santos | 5 | 260 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 |
| Leny Yoro | 5 | 256 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 |
| Amad Diallo Traore | 3 | 229 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 5 | 1 |
| Carlos Baleba | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.35 | 4 | 0 |
| Patrick Dorgu | 5 | 169 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.13 | 6 | 2 |
| Ayden Heaven | 3 | 158 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 4 | 140 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 |
| Mason Mount | 3 | 114 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 5 | 1 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 4 | 67 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.10 | 4 | 1 |
| Joshua Zirkzee | 4 | 65 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 |
| Shea Lacey | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 |
Manchester United recent results
Verified scores in the published results feed, newest first. Scores are shown from Manchester United’s perspective.
Published coverage does not include current injury reports for this club yet. An absent injury report does not mean a fully fit squad. Verified data appears here when the source provides it.
| Opponent | Date | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Home | 0-3 | Loss |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
Manchester United predictions
Manchester United results and match archive
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
Manchester United fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 3 of 3 upcoming team fixtures.
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 12:30 UKat Chelsea (A)Premier League
- Tue 3 Nov 2026
- 20:00 UKvs AS Roma (H)UEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 16:30 UKvs Aston Villa (H)Premier League
Frequently asked questions
How many Manchester United matches are predicted?
We currently model 1 upcoming fixture involving Manchester United. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Manchester United tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. On this one match the model averages 60.6% for Over 2.5 goals.
Where are Manchester United in the Premier League table?
Manchester United are 16th in the Premier League (2026/27) with 7 points from 8 games (1-4-3), goals 10-13, through 2026-10-25.
Who do Manchester United play next?
Manchester United next play Chelsea away on Saturday 31 October 2026 in the Premier League, according to our fixture feed.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
