Calibrated model probabilities for every Aston Villa fixture we currently model. We track 1 upcoming match.
- 3Upcoming fixtures
- 1Modelled upcoming matches
- 48.4%Avg Over 2.5 %
- 53.1%Avg BTTS %
Aston Villa next match
Aston VillaAston VillaLWDWW
10°C · Clear
FulhamFulhamDDLWWModel estimates
Aston Villa form and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 8 team matches played, through 2026-10-24.
Aston Villa stats compared with Premier League
Season 2026/27. Compare this club with the league average per team, per game. Differences show above or below the average; higher is not always better.
Results and goals
Points per game
Per game
- Aston Villa
- 1.38
- League average
- 1.36
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: +0.02 per game
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Aston Villa
- 63%
- League average
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: +12.5 pp
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Aston Villa
- 50%
- League average
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: 0.0 pp
All results and goals figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 1.388 obs. | 1.36160 obs. | +0.02 |
| Goals scoredper game | 1.128 obs. | 1.39160 obs. | -0.27 |
| Goals concededper game | 1.508 obs. | 1.39160 obs. | +0.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%8 obs. | 50%160 obs. | +12.5 pp |
| Both teams scored | 50%8 obs. | 50%160 obs. | 0.0 pp |
| Clean sheets | 25%8 obs. | 29%160 obs. | -3.7 pp |
| Failed to score | 38%8 obs. | 29%160 obs. | +8.8 pp |
| First half goals scoredper game | 0.437 obs. | 0.59140 obs. | -0.16 |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 0.577 obs. | 0.86140 obs. | -0.29 |
Chance creation
xG created
Per game
- Aston Villa
- 1.19
- League average
- 1.59
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: -0.40 per game
Shots
Per game
- Aston Villa
- 11.9
- League average
- 13.8
Scale: 0 to 16.0 per game
Difference: -1.9 per game
Shots on target
Per game
- Aston Villa
- 3.1
- League average
- 4.4
Scale: 0 to 5.5 per game
Difference: -1.2 per game
All chance creation figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG createdper game | 1.198 obs. | 1.59160 obs. | -0.40 |
| xG concededper game | 1.928 obs. | 1.59160 obs. | +0.33 |
| Shotsper game | 11.97 obs. | 13.8138 obs. | -1.9 |
| Shots facedper game | 15.97 obs. | 13.8138 obs. | +2.1 |
| Shots on targetper game | 3.17 obs. | 4.4140 obs. | -1.2 |
| Shots on target facedper game | 4.47 obs. | 4.4140 obs. | +0.1 |
| First half shotsper game | 5.67 obs. | 6.1140 obs. | -0.5 |
| Second half shotsper game | 6.47 obs. | 7.7140 obs. | -1.3 |
Corners and discipline
Corners won
Per game
- Aston Villa
- 3.1
- League average
- 4.7
Scale: 0 to 5.5 per game
Difference: -1.6 per game
Fouls committed
Per game
- Aston Villa
- 10.7
- League average
- 11.5
Scale: 0 to 13.5 per game
Difference: -0.8 per game
All corners and discipline figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners wonper game | 3.17 obs. | 4.7138 obs. | -1.6 |
| Corners concededper game | 4.37 obs. | 4.7138 obs. | -0.4 |
| Yellow cardsper game | 2.07 obs. | 2.0132 obs. | +0.0 |
| Fouls committedper game | 10.77 obs. | 11.5140 obs. | -0.8 |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 13.07 obs. | 11.5140 obs. | +1.5 |
Home and away splits
4 home matches · 4 away matches. A blank rate means the observed sample or coverage is insufficient. obs. means observed matches.
| Statistic | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 1.004 obs. | 1.754 obs. |
| Goals scoredper game | 1.254 obs. | 1.004 obs. |
| Goals concededper game | 1.504 obs. | 1.504 obs. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75%4 obs. | 50%4 obs. |
| Both teams scored | 75%4 obs. | 25%4 obs. |
| Clean sheets | 0%4 obs. | 50%4 obs. |
| Failed to score | 25%4 obs. | 50%4 obs. |
| First half goals scoredper game | 0.333 obs. | 0.504 obs. |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 0.673 obs. | 0.504 obs. |
| xG createdper game | 0.964 obs. | 1.434 obs. |
| xG concededper game | 1.974 obs. | 1.864 obs. |
| Shotsper game | 11.33 obs. | 12.34 obs. |
| Shots facedper game | 14.33 obs. | 17.04 obs. |
| Shots on targetper game | 4.03 obs. | 2.54 obs. |
| Shots on target facedper game | 4.33 obs. | 4.54 obs. |
| First half shotsper game | 4.73 obs. | 6.34 obs. |
| Second half shotsper game | 6.73 obs. | 6.34 obs. |
| Corners wonper game | 3.33 obs. | 3.04 obs. |
| Corners concededper game | 2.33 obs. | 5.84 obs. |
| Yellow cardsper game | 2.33 obs. | 1.84 obs. |
| Fouls committedper game | 11.73 obs. | 10.04 obs. |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 15.33 obs. | 11.34 obs. |
How to read these stats
Overall rates require at least five observed matches; home and away rates require three and at least 60% coverage. Missing values stay blank. obs. gives each statistic’s observed sample; league samples count team appearances. pp means percentage points. These are season observations, not predictions for the next match.
Aston Villa player stats
Season 2026/27 totals from Understat. Players meeting the published playing-time sample; this is not the full squad.
Showing 1–24 of 24 players. Search covers all 24 records.
| Player | Apps | Minutes | Goals | xG | xA | Shots | On target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boubacar Kamara | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.87 | 2 | 0 |
| Victor Lindelöf | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0.60 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 |
| John McGinn | 8 | 646 | 1 | 1.10 | 0.99 | 7 | 3 |
| Zion Suzuki | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Emiliano Buendía | 8 | 579 | 1 | 1.14 | 0.40 | 14 | 2 |
| Matthew Cash | 7 | 561 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 7 | 561 | 4 | 2.28 | 0.86 | 19 | 7 |
| Tyrone Mings | 6 | 437 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 4 | 0 |
| Ian Maatsen | 5 | 433 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.11 | 7 | 1 |
| João Gomes | 5 | 376 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross Barkley | 8 | 356 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.92 | 8 | 2 |
| Johan Manzambi | 5 | 334 | 2 | 1.89 | 0.79 | 15 | 4 |
| George Hemmings | 5 | 298 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 |
| Pau Torres | 5 | 294 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | 6 | 277 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Alysson Edward | 7 | 184 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 3 | 1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 4 | 158 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 5 | 91 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.30 | 5 | 2 |
| Marco Bizot | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tammy Abraham | 4 | 63 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Leon Goretzka | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Lamare Bogarde | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Madjo | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Aston Villa recent results
Verified scores in the published results feed, newest first. Scores are shown from Aston Villa’s perspective.
Published coverage does not include current injury reports for this club yet. An absent injury report does not mean a fully fit squad. Verified data appears here when the source provides it.
| Opponent | Date | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Home | 2-1 | Win |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
Aston Villa predictions
Aston Villa results and match archive
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
Aston Villa fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 3 of 3 upcoming team fixtures.
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 20:00 UKvs Fulham (H)Premier League
- Tue 3 Nov 2026
- 20:00 UKat Barcelona (A)UEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 16:30 UKat Manchester United (A)Premier League
Frequently asked questions
How many Aston Villa matches are predicted?
We currently model 1 upcoming fixture involving Aston Villa. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Aston Villa tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. On this one match the model averages 48.4% for Over 2.5 goals.
Where are Aston Villa in the Premier League table?
Aston Villa are 9th in the Premier League (2026/27) with 11 points from 8 games (3-2-3), goals 9-12, through 2026-10-25.
Who do Aston Villa play next?
Aston Villa next play Fulham at home on Saturday 31 October 2026 in the Premier League, according to our fixture feed.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
