National team · model probabilities

Israel national team predictions

Our model’s probabilities for Israel’s upcoming international matches, from one rating of every national team since 1990.

Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices in our sources for these matches, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.

  • 2Upcoming matches priced
  • 1Competition

Upcoming Israel predictions

2 upcoming matches with a model probability. The national team model rates teams on senior results only. Competition standings use the saved feed when available.

  • KosovoIsraelSat 14 Nov · 14:00 UKUEFA Nations League
    163.1%1.59X22.2%4.50214.7%6.79
  • IsraelAustriaTue 17 Nov · 19:45 UKUEFA Nations League
    123.3%4.29X26.3%3.80250.4%1.98

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) standings

Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group I

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) Group I, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1NorwayPromotion - World Cup88003753224WWWWW
2ItalyPromotion - World Cup (Promotion)86022112918LWWWW
3Israel84041920-112WLLLW
4Estonia8116821-134LDLLL
5Moldova8017532-271LLDLL

UEFA Nations League standings

Competition season: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

This snapshot is older than 48 hours. A newer table has not been saved yet.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

League B - Group C

UEFA Nations League League B - Group C, season 2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AustriaPromotion42209548DDWW
2KosovoPromotion Play-offs412134-15DDLW
3Rep. Of Ireland41216425DDWL
4IsraelRelegation Playoffs402227-52DDLL

Euro qualifiers standings

Latest completed edition: 2023. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group I

Euro qualifiers Group I, season 2023
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1RomaniaPromotion - Euro106401651122WWWDW
2SwitzerlandPromotion - Euro1045122111117LDDDW
3IsraelPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )104331111015WLDLW
4Belarus10334914-512WWDDL
5Kosovo102531010011LDWWL
6Andorra10028320-172LLLLL

How the model works, and how we tested it

Every national team gets one strength rating, updated after each senior match since 1990. A World Cup match moves the rating most, a friendly least, and a bigger win moves it more.

Ratings as of 7 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.

We ran the model over 7,576 friendlies, qualifiers and Nations League matches from 2016 to 2025, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.865 against 1.044, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.

We do not know the venue of every match: finals tournaments count as neutral ground, everything else as a home match for the first-named team. Friendlies are the hardest to call, because teams rotate players.

The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.