National team · model probabilities

Luxembourg national team predictions

Our model’s probabilities for Luxembourg’s upcoming international matches, from one rating of every national team since 1990.

Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices in our sources for these matches, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.

  • 2Upcoming matches priced
  • 1Competition

Upcoming Luxembourg predictions

2 upcoming matches with a model probability. The national team model rates teams on senior results only. Competition standings use the saved feed when available.

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) standings

Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group A

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) Group A, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1GermanyPromotion - World Cup65011631315WWWWW
2SlovakiaPromotion - World Cup (Promotion)640268-212LWWLW
3Northern Ireland63037619WLLWL
4Luxembourg6006113-120LLLLL

UEFA Nations League standings

Competition season: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

This snapshot is older than 48 hours. A newer table has not been saved yet.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

League C - Group D

UEFA Nations League League C - Group D, season 2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1IcelandPromotion42207168DWWD
2EstoniaPromotion Play-offs41302116DWDD
3Bulgaria411235-24WLDL
4Luxembourg410327-53LLLW

Euro qualifiers standings

Latest completed edition: 2023. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group J

Euro qualifiers Group J, season 2023
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PortugalPromotion - Euro1010003623430WWWWW
2SlovakiaPromotion - Euro10712178922WWWLW
3LuxembourgPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )105231319-617WWLDL
4IcelandPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )103161716110LLWDW
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )10307920-119LLLWL
6Liechtenstein100010128-270LLLLL

How the model works, and how we tested it

Every national team gets one strength rating, updated after each senior match since 1990. A World Cup match moves the rating most, a friendly least, and a bigger win moves it more.

Ratings as of 7 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.

We ran the model over 7,576 friendlies, qualifiers and Nations League matches from 2016 to 2025, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.865 against 1.044, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.

We do not know the venue of every match: finals tournaments count as neutral ground, everything else as a home match for the first-named team. Friendlies are the hardest to call, because teams rotate players.

The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.