National team · model probabilities

Slovenia national team predictions

Our model’s probabilities for Slovenia’s upcoming international matches, from one rating of every national team since 1990.

Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices in our sources for these matches, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.

  • 2Upcoming matches priced
  • 1Competition

Upcoming Slovenia predictions

2 upcoming matches with a model probability. The national team model rates teams on senior results only. Competition standings use the saved feed when available.

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) standings

Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group B

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) Group B, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandPromotion - World Cup64201421214DWDWW
2KosovoPromotion - World Cup (Promotion)632165111DWWDW
3Slovenia604238-54DLDDL
4Sweden6024412-82DLLLL

UEFA Nations League standings

Competition season: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

This snapshot is older than 48 hours. A newer table has not been saved yet.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

League B - Group A

UEFA Nations League League B - Group A, season 2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandPromotion44001111012WWWW
2SloveniaPromotion Play-offs42115327WLWD
3Scotland411235-24LWLD
4FYR MacedoniaRelegation Playoffs4004010-100LLLL

European Championship standings

Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group C

European Championship Group C, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1EnglandPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)31202115DDW
2DenmarkPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30302203DDD
3SloveniaRanking of third-placed teams30302203DDD
4Serbia302112-12DDL

Ranking of third-placed teams

European Championship Ranking of third-placed teams, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)31114404LDW
2GeorgiaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)31114404WDL
3SlovakiaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)31113304DLW
4SloveniaPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30302203DDD
5Hungary310225-33WLL
6Croatia302136-32DDL

Euro qualifiers standings

Latest completed edition: 2023. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group H

Euro qualifiers Group H, season 2023
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1DenmarkPromotion - Euro107121910922LWWWW
2SloveniaPromotion - Euro107122091122WLWWW
3FinlandPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )106041810818WWLLL
4KazakhstanPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )106041612418LWWLW
5Northern Ireland10307913-49WLLWL
6San Marino100010331-280LLLLL

How the model works, and how we tested it

Every national team gets one strength rating, updated after each senior match since 1990. A World Cup match moves the rating most, a friendly least, and a bigger win moves it more.

Ratings as of 7 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.

We ran the model over 7,576 friendlies, qualifiers and Nations League matches from 2016 to 2025, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.865 against 1.044, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.

We do not know the venue of every match: finals tournaments count as neutral ground, everything else as a home match for the first-named team. Friendlies are the hardest to call, because teams rotate players.

The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.