Ligue 2
NantesNantesLWDLL
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1019:00UK
ClermontClermontDDLDL

Nantes vs Clermont correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.7%
0-1 correct score10.8%
0-0 correct score9.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Nantes goals, columns = Clermont goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.7%
  2. 0-110.8%
  3. 0-09.9%
  4. 1-09.9%
  5. 1-28.1%
  6. 2-17.5%
  7. 0-27.1%
  8. 2-06.0%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9% 10.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.9% 13.7% 8.1% 3.4% 1% 0.3%
2 6% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Nantes · Columns: Clermont

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.9%

0

20.7%

1

26.9%

2

20.8%

3

12.4%

4

9.0%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

NantesNantesLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

ClermontClermontLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 0-2

0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Nantes have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Clermont 1.2 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.5% for over 2.5 and 69.3% for at least two goals. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 42.5% for three or more goals and 69.3% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Clermont favoured at 37.9%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

37.9%Favoured: Clermont
49.0%Both Teams to Score
42.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 42.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutClermont are the model’s pick on the result at 37.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Nantes vs Clermont?
The model's most likely scoreline for Nantes vs Clermont is 1-1 at 13.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.