La Liga
GetafeGetafeLWLDL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1113:00UK19°C · Clear
SevillaSevillaWLDLW

Getafe vs Sevilla correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score14.1%
0-0 correct score13.5%
1-0 correct score13.2%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 14.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Getafe goals, columns = Sevilla goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-114.1%
  2. 0-013.5%
  3. 1-013.2%
  4. 0-111.8%
  5. 2-07.5%
  6. 2-17.3%
  7. 1-26.6%
  8. 0-26.1%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5% 11.8% 6.1% 2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.2% 14.1% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Getafe · Columns: Sevilla

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

13.5%

0

25.0%

1

27.7%

2

18.5%

3

9.5%

4

5.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GetafeGetafeLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-4

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

SevillaSevillaLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 2-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1GetafeGetafe wins
1Draws
3SevillaSevilla wins
1.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
GetafeGetafe
0 – 1
SevillaSevilla
SevillaSevilla
1 – 2
GetafeGetafe
GetafeGetafe
0 – 0
SevillaSevilla
SevillaSevilla
1 – 0
GetafeGetafe
GetafeGetafe
0 – 1
SevillaSevilla

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 14.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Getafe have averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, Sevilla 1.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 33.8% for over 2.5 and 61.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.2 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 33.8% for three or more goals and 61.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Getafe favoured at 38.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

38.4%Favoured: Getafe
41.8%Both Teams to Score
33.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 33.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGetafe are the model’s pick on the result at 38.4%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

GetafeGetafe (1)
Enes Ünal
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
9.1%
10.99
1+ shot on target
23.1%
4.33
2+ shots
24.7%
4.05
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.69
On target1.02
Goals0.37
SevillaSevilla (1)
Alfon
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
14.3%
6.99
1+ shot on target
49.8%
2.01
2+ shots
32.9%
3.04
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.51
On target1.47
Goals0.33

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Getafe vs Sevilla?
The model's most likely scoreline for Getafe vs Sevilla is 1-1 at 14.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.