Calibrated model probabilities for every Atalanta fixture we currently model. We track 2 upcoming matches.
- 4Upcoming fixtures
- 2Modelled upcoming matches
- 51.8%Avg Over 2.5 %
- 53.6%Avg BTTS %
Atalanta form and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 8 team matches played, through 2026-10-25.
Atalanta stats compared with Serie A
Season 2026/27. Compare this club with the league average per team, per game. Differences show above or below the average; higher is not always better.
Results and goals
Points per game
Per game
- Atalanta
- 1.25
- League average
- 1.41
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: -0.16 per game
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Atalanta
- 75%
- League average
- 59%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: +15.9 pp
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Atalanta
- 75%
- League average
- 57%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: +18.2 pp
All results and goals figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 1.258 obs. | 1.41176 obs. | -0.16 |
| Goals scoredper game | 1.758 obs. | 1.56176 obs. | +0.19 |
| Goals concededper game | 1.888 obs. | 1.56176 obs. | +0.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75%8 obs. | 59%176 obs. | +15.9 pp |
| Both teams scored | 75%8 obs. | 57%176 obs. | +18.2 pp |
| Clean sheets | 13%8 obs. | 23%176 obs. | -10.2 pp |
| Failed to score | 13%8 obs. | 23%176 obs. | -10.2 pp |
| First half goals scoredper game | 1.008 obs. | 0.65160 obs. | +0.35 |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 0.758 obs. | 0.86160 obs. | -0.11 |
Chance creation
xG created
Per game
- Atalanta
- 1.62
- League average
- 1.73
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: -0.11 per game
Shots
Per game
- Atalanta
- 14.4
- League average
- 14.6
Scale: 0 to 17.0 per game
Difference: -0.2 per game
Shots on target
Per game
- Atalanta
- 5.1
- League average
- 4.9
Scale: 0 to 6.0 per game
Difference: +0.2 per game
All chance creation figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG createdper game | 1.628 obs. | 1.73176 obs. | -0.11 |
| xG concededper game | 2.198 obs. | 1.73176 obs. | +0.46 |
| Shotsper game | 14.48 obs. | 14.6158 obs. | -0.2 |
| Shots facedper game | 18.88 obs. | 14.6158 obs. | +4.1 |
| Shots on targetper game | 5.18 obs. | 4.9158 obs. | +0.2 |
| Shots on target facedper game | 6.48 obs. | 4.9158 obs. | +1.5 |
| First half shotsper game | 6.98 obs. | 6.4160 obs. | +0.5 |
| Second half shotsper game | 7.58 obs. | 8.2160 obs. | -0.7 |
Corners and discipline
Corners won
Per game
- Atalanta
- 4.0
- League average
- 4.8
Scale: 0 to 5.5 per game
Difference: -0.8 per game
Cards received
Per game
- Atalanta
- 1.0
- League average
- ·
Scale: 0 to 1.5 per game
Fouls committed
Per game
- Atalanta
- 9.9
- League average
- 10.9
Scale: 0 to 13.0 per game
Difference: -1.0 per game
All corners and discipline figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners wonper game | 4.08 obs. | 4.8158 obs. | -0.8 |
| Corners concededper game | 5.58 obs. | 4.8158 obs. | +0.7 |
| Cards receivedper game | 1.07 obs. | · | · |
| Opponent cardsper game | 1.07 obs. | · | · |
| Yellow cardsper game | 0.98 obs. | 1.7152 obs. | -0.8 |
| Red cardsper game | 0.297 obs. | · | · |
| Fouls committedper game | 9.98 obs. | 10.9158 obs. | -1.0 |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 9.08 obs. | 10.9158 obs. | -1.9 |
Home and away splits
5 home matches · 3 away matches. A blank rate means the observed sample or coverage is insufficient. obs. means observed matches.
| Statistic | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 2.005 obs. | 0.003 obs. |
| Goals scoredper game | 2.205 obs. | 1.003 obs. |
| Goals concededper game | 1.605 obs. | 2.333 obs. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80%5 obs. | 67%3 obs. |
| Both teams scored | 80%5 obs. | 67%3 obs. |
| Clean sheets | 20%5 obs. | 0%3 obs. |
| Failed to score | 0%5 obs. | 33%3 obs. |
| First half goals scoredper game | 1.605 obs. | 0.003 obs. |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 0.605 obs. | 1.003 obs. |
| xG createdper game | 1.965 obs. | 1.063 obs. |
| xG concededper game | 1.895 obs. | 2.693 obs. |
| Shotsper game | 17.25 obs. | 9.73 obs. |
| Shots facedper game | 17.25 obs. | 21.33 obs. |
| Shots on targetper game | 6.65 obs. | 2.73 obs. |
| Shots on target facedper game | 6.05 obs. | 7.03 obs. |
| First half shotsper game | 9.05 obs. | 3.33 obs. |
| Second half shotsper game | 8.25 obs. | 6.33 obs. |
| Corners wonper game | 4.85 obs. | 2.73 obs. |
| Corners concededper game | 4.85 obs. | 6.73 obs. |
| Cards receivedper game | 0.65 obs. | ·2 obs. |
| Opponent cardsper game | 1.25 obs. | ·2 obs. |
| Yellow cardsper game | 0.45 obs. | 1.73 obs. |
| Red cardsper game | 0.205 obs. | ·2 obs. |
| Fouls committedper game | 9.85 obs. | 10.03 obs. |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 10.05 obs. | 7.33 obs. |
How to read these stats
Overall rates require at least five observed matches; home and away rates require three and at least 60% coverage. Missing values stay blank. obs. gives each statistic’s observed sample; league samples count team appearances. pp means percentage points. These are season observations, not predictions for the next match.
Atalanta player stats
Season 2026/27 totals from Understat. Players meeting the published playing-time sample; this is not the full squad.
Showing 1–21 of 21 players. Search covers all 21 records.
| Player | Apps | Minutes | Goals | xG | xA | Shots | On target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 |
| Éderson | 8 | 689 | 2 | 1.70 | 0.26 | 12 | 6 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 8 | 585 | 0 | 0.62 | 2.11 | 10 | 1 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | 6 | 518 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Raoul Bellanova | 7 | 467 | 0 | 0.01 | 1.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 8 | 446 | 6 | 5.06 | 1.60 | 22 | 10 |
| Gianluca Gaetano | 7 | 392 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.24 | 2 | 2 |
| Davide Zappacosta | 6 | 388 | 0 | 0.57 | 0.17 | 7 | 2 |
| Jonathan Rowe | 5 | 378 | 0 | 0.77 | 1.13 | 11 | 3 |
| Lazar Samardzic | 8 | 376 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.56 | 13 | 1 |
| Odilon Kossounou | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Thomas Thiesson Kristensen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | 6 | 345 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 |
| Eljif Elmas | 6 | 292 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 4 | 3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 7 | 286 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 6 | 4 |
| Sead Kolasinac | 6 | 281 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mario Pasalic | 6 | 265 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Franck Kessié | 4 | 247 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.17 | 5 | 2 |
| Nicola Zalewski | 6 | 185 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.60 | 5 | 2 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 4 | 179 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.14 | 8 | 1 |
| Relja Obric | 2 | 161 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Atalanta recent results
Verified scores in the published results feed, newest first. Scores are shown from Atalanta’s perspective.
Published coverage does not include current injury reports for this club yet. An absent injury report does not mean a fully fit squad. Verified data appears here when the source provides it.
| Opponent | Date | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | Home | 4-4 | Draw |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 21 | DDWDW |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 20 | LDWWW |
| 5 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 6 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
Atalanta predictions
Atalanta results and match archive
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
Atalanta fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 4 of 4 upcoming team fixtures.
- Thu 29 Oct 2026
- 19:45 UKat Fiorentina (A)Serie A
- Mon 2 Nov 2026
- 19:45 UKvs Parma (H)Serie A
- Thu 5 Nov 2026
- 17:45 UKvs Kairat Almaty (H)UEFA Europa Conference League
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 14:00 UKat Monza (A)Serie A
Frequently asked questions
How many Atalanta matches are predicted?
We currently model 2 upcoming fixtures involving Atalanta. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Atalanta tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 2 matches the model averages 51.8% for Over 2.5 goals.
Where are Atalanta in the Serie A table?
Atalanta are 12th in the Serie A (2026/27) with 10 points from 8 games (3-1-4), goals 14-15, through 2026-10-28.
Who do Atalanta play next?
Atalanta next play Fiorentina away on Thursday 29 October 2026 in the Serie A, according to our fixture feed.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.


