Calibrated model probabilities for every Brighton fixture we currently model. We track 1 upcoming match.
- 3Upcoming fixtures
- 1Modelled upcoming matches
- 58.9%Avg Over 2.5 %
- 59.7%Avg BTTS %
Brighton form and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 8 team matches played, through 2026-10-25.
Brighton stats compared with Premier League
Season 2026/27. Compare this club with the league average per team, per game. Differences show above or below the average; higher is not always better.
Results and goals
Points per game
Per game
- Brighton
- 2.00
- League average
- 1.36
Scale: 0 to 2.5 per game
Difference: +0.64 per game
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Brighton
- 63%
- League average
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: +12.5 pp
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Brighton
- 25%
- League average
- 50%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: -25.0 pp
All results and goals figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 2.008 obs. | 1.36160 obs. | +0.64 |
| Goals scoredper game | 2.888 obs. | 1.39160 obs. | +1.49 |
| Goals concededper game | 0.888 obs. | 1.39160 obs. | -0.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%8 obs. | 50%160 obs. | +12.5 pp |
| Both teams scored | 25%8 obs. | 50%160 obs. | -25.0 pp |
| Clean sheets | 63%8 obs. | 29%160 obs. | +33.8 pp |
| Failed to score | 13%8 obs. | 29%160 obs. | -16.2 pp |
| First half goals scoredper game | 1.388 obs. | 0.57160 obs. | +0.81 |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 1.508 obs. | 0.81160 obs. | +0.69 |
Chance creation
xG created
Per game
- Brighton
- 2.26
- League average
- 1.59
Scale: 0 to 3.0 per game
Difference: +0.67 per game
Shots
Per game
- Brighton
- 17.8
- League average
- 13.7
Scale: 0 to 20.5 per game
Difference: +4.1 per game
Shots on target
Per game
- Brighton
- 5.4
- League average
- 4.3
Scale: 0 to 6.5 per game
Difference: +1.1 per game
All chance creation figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG createdper game | 2.268 obs. | 1.59160 obs. | +0.67 |
| xG concededper game | 1.438 obs. | 1.59160 obs. | -0.16 |
| Shotsper game | 17.88 obs. | 13.7158 obs. | +4.1 |
| Shots facedper game | 11.08 obs. | 13.7158 obs. | -2.7 |
| Shots on targetper game | 5.48 obs. | 4.3160 obs. | +1.1 |
| Shots on target facedper game | 3.48 obs. | 4.3160 obs. | -0.9 |
| First half shotsper game | 7.38 obs. | 6.0160 obs. | +1.2 |
| Second half shotsper game | 10.68 obs. | 7.7160 obs. | +2.9 |
Corners and discipline
Corners won
Per game
- Brighton
- 5.3
- League average
- 4.7
Scale: 0 to 6.5 per game
Difference: +0.5 per game
Fouls committed
Per game
- Brighton
- 12.4
- League average
- 11.6
Scale: 0 to 14.5 per game
Difference: +0.8 per game
All corners and discipline figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners wonper game | 5.38 obs. | 4.7158 obs. | +0.5 |
| Corners concededper game | 4.98 obs. | 4.7158 obs. | +0.1 |
| Yellow cardsper game | 2.47 obs. | 2.0152 obs. | +0.5 |
| Red cardsper game | 0.205 obs. | 0.12116 obs. | +0.08 |
| Fouls committedper game | 12.48 obs. | 11.6160 obs. | +0.8 |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 10.68 obs. | 11.6160 obs. | -1.0 |
Home and away splits
4 home matches · 4 away matches. A blank rate means the observed sample or coverage is insufficient. obs. means observed matches.
| Statistic | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 2.504 obs. | 1.504 obs. |
| Goals scoredper game | 3.254 obs. | 2.504 obs. |
| Goals concededper game | 0.254 obs. | 1.504 obs. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75%4 obs. | 50%4 obs. |
| Both teams scored | 25%4 obs. | 25%4 obs. |
| Clean sheets | 75%4 obs. | 50%4 obs. |
| Failed to score | 0%4 obs. | 25%4 obs. |
| First half goals scoredper game | 2.254 obs. | 0.504 obs. |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 1.004 obs. | 2.004 obs. |
| xG createdper game | 2.654 obs. | 1.884 obs. |
| xG concededper game | 1.094 obs. | 1.764 obs. |
| Shotsper game | 18.84 obs. | 16.84 obs. |
| Shots facedper game | 8.04 obs. | 14.04 obs. |
| Shots on targetper game | 6.34 obs. | 4.54 obs. |
| Shots on target facedper game | 2.04 obs. | 4.84 obs. |
| First half shotsper game | 7.34 obs. | 7.34 obs. |
| Second half shotsper game | 11.54 obs. | 9.84 obs. |
| Corners wonper game | 6.34 obs. | 4.34 obs. |
| Corners concededper game | 4.84 obs. | 5.04 obs. |
| Yellow cardsper game | 2.84 obs. | 2.03 obs. |
| Red cardsper game | ·2 obs. | 0.333 obs. |
| Fouls committedper game | 12.84 obs. | 12.04 obs. |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 12.34 obs. | 9.04 obs. |
How to read these stats
Overall rates require at least five observed matches; home and away rates require three and at least 60% coverage. Missing values stay blank. obs. gives each statistic’s observed sample; league samples count team appearances. pp means percentage points. These are season observations, not predictions for the next match.
Brighton player stats
Season 2026/27 totals from Understat. Players meeting the published playing-time sample; this is not the full squad.
Showing 1–23 of 23 players. Search covers all 23 records.
| Player | Apps | Minutes | Goals | xG | xA | Shots | On target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Diego Gómez | 8 | 712 | 1 | 1.66 | 1.52 | 21 | 7 |
| Luka Vuskovic | 8 | 709 | 1 | 1.91 | 0.14 | 15 | 2 |
| Pascal Groß | 8 | 703 | 3 | 1.93 | 3.54 | 13 | 3 |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 8 | 681 | 2 | 1.81 | 1.82 | 10 | 2 |
| Olivier Boscagli | 8 | 641 | 0 | 0.10 | 1.14 | 4 | 1 |
| Yasin Ayari | 7 | 590 | 2 | 1.74 | 0.14 | 19 | 5 |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 8 | 580 | 3 | 3.02 | 0.24 | 22 | 8 |
| Lewis Dunk | 7 | 568 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 |
| Ferdi Kadioglu | 7 | 521 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.45 | 5 | 2 |
| Chema Andres | 5 | 347 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.02 | 4 | 1 |
| Malick Yalcouyé | 8 | 297 | 2 | 1.44 | 0.96 | 7 | 4 |
| Mats Wieffer | 2 | 165 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 |
| Costinha | 7 | 163 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 3 | 1 |
| Pascal Struijk | 4 | 158 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Georginio Rutter | 5 | 133 | 0 | 0.21 | 1.38 | 5 | 1 |
| Jack Hinshelwood | 3 | 127 | 3 | 2.19 | 0.10 | 4 | 3 |
| Ibrahim Osman | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 |
| Promise David | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaouen Hadjam | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt O'Riley | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 |
| Zadok Yohanna | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Svoboda | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Brighton recent results
Verified scores in the published results feed, newest first. Scores are shown from Brighton’s perspective.
Published coverage does not include current injury reports for this club yet. An absent injury report does not mean a fully fit squad. Verified data appears here when the source provides it.
| Opponent | Date | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Away | 0-2 | Loss |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
Brighton predictions
Brighton results and match archive
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
Brighton fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 3 of 3 upcoming team fixtures.
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 15:00 UKat Manchester City (A)Premier League
- Thu 5 Nov 2026
- 20:00 UKat Getafe (A)UEFA Europa Conference League
- Sun 8 Nov 2026
- 14:00 UKvs Brentford (H)Premier League
Frequently asked questions
How many Brighton matches are predicted?
We currently model 1 upcoming fixture involving Brighton. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Brighton tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. On this one match the model averages 58.9% for Over 2.5 goals.
Where are Brighton in the Premier League table?
Brighton are 3rd in the Premier League (2026/27) with 16 points from 8 games (5-1-2), goals 23-7, through 2026-10-25.
Who do Brighton play next?
Brighton next play Manchester City away on Saturday 31 October 2026 in the Premier League, according to our fixture feed.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.


