Price comparison thin edge

Line-shopping flags: a soft book beats the de-vigged Pinnacle fair price. +EV ONLY IF the sharp price is true (assumption, not proof). Realised ROI on this signal is ~break-even and soft books limit winners. A tool, not advice.

No flags in the validated sweet spot right now. On an efficient market this is the honest normal case, not a malfunction.

Not financial advice. No model beats the sharp closing market on public data. The value here is honest probabilities, No-bet calls, and CLV history.
Updated: 12 Sep 2026, 18:43 · build 6ffc398 · calibration isotonic-1x2.v1
Glossary · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware / Gambling Therapy