National team · model probabilities

Portugal national team predictions

Our model’s probabilities for Portugal’s upcoming international matches, from one rating of every national team since 1990.

Model probabilities only. There are no free bookmaker prices in our sources for these matches, so we cannot show how our numbers compare with the market, and these matches are not part of our betting record or our AI experts.

  • 2Upcoming matches priced
  • 1Competition

Upcoming Portugal predictions

2 upcoming matches with a model probability. The national team model rates teams on senior results only. Competition standings use the saved feed when available.

World Cup standings

Latest completed edition: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group K

World Cup Group K, season 2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1ColombiaRound of 3232104137LWDWW
2PortugalRound of 3231206155LWDWD
3Congo DRRound of 3231114314LWLD
4Uzbekistan3003211-90LLL

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) standings

Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group F

World Cup qualifiers (Europe) Group F, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PortugalPromotion - World Cup64112071313WLDWW
2Rep. Of IrelandPromotion - World Cup (Promotion)631297210WWWLL
3Hungary6222111018LWDWL
4Armenia6105319-163LLLLW

UEFA Nations League standings

Competition season: 2026. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

This snapshot is older than 48 hours. A newer table has not been saved yet.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

League A - Group D

UEFA Nations League League A - Group D, season 2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PortugalPlay Offs: Quarter-finals440094512WWWW
2DenmarkPlay Offs: Quarter-finals42027706WLWL
3WalesPossible Play-off410325-33LWLL
4NorwayPossible Play-off410368-23LLLW

European Championship standings

Latest completed edition: 2024. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group F

European Championship Group F, season 2024
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PortugalPromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)32015326LWW
2TürkiyePromotion - Euro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)32015506WLW
3GeorgiaRanking of third-placed teams31114404WDL
4Czech Republic301235-21LDL

Euro qualifiers standings

Latest completed edition: 2023. Source: API-FOOTBALL. Snapshot saved 2026-10-23 20:12 UTC.

Official feed order and points are preserved, including deductions. Groups and stages are shown separately. P = played, W = won, D = drawn, L = lost, GF/GA = goals for/against, GD = goal difference. Form follows the source order.

Group J

Euro qualifiers Group J, season 2023
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PortugalPromotion - Euro1010003623430WWWWW
2SlovakiaPromotion - Euro10712178922WWWLW
3LuxembourgPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )105231319-617WWLDL
4IcelandPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )103161716110LLWDW
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaPromotion - Euro (Promotion: )10307920-119LLLWL
6Liechtenstein100010128-270LLLLL

How the model works, and how we tested it

Every national team gets one strength rating, updated after each senior match since 1990. A World Cup match moves the rating most, a friendly least, and a bigger win moves it more.

Ratings as of 7 October 2026: the newest match result the rating has learned from. Matches played after that date are not in it yet.

We ran the model over 7,576 friendlies, qualifiers and Nations League matches from 2016 to 2025, using only what it could have known before each one. It beat a guess based on how often home wins, draws and away wins happen (log loss 0.865 against 1.044, lower is better), and when it says 60% the result happened about 60 times in 100. It has not been compared with bookmaker prices.

We do not know the venue of every match: finals tournaments count as neutral ground, everything else as a home match for the first-named team. Friendlies are the hardest to call, because teams rotate players.

The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.