League of Ireland Premier Division predictions
Beta: new league, model still learning. Elo model from results only, with no bookmaker prices in our history for this league, so these are model probabilities, not compared with the market and not part of our betting record.
Ratings as of 2026-10-23: the newest match result the model has learned from. It learns again every day.
- Drogheda UnitedDROGalway UnitedGAL138.5%2.60X26.2%3.82235.3%2.83Under 2.551.1%1.96BTTS yes53.5%1.87
- DundalkDUNShamrock RoversSHA126.1%3.83X25.0%4.00248.9%2.05Over 2.550.0%2.00BTTS yes52.8%1.90
- ShelbourneSHEWaterfordWAT144.2%2.26X25.8%3.88230.0%3.33Under 2.550.7%1.97BTTS yes53.2%1.88
- Sligo RoversSLIDerry CityDER122.6%4.43X24.0%4.16253.4%1.87Over 2.551.0%1.96BTTS yes52.1%1.92
- St Patrick's Athl.SPSBohemiansBOH141.2%2.43X26.1%3.84232.8%3.05Under 2.551.0%1.96BTTS yes53.4%1.87
The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.
How the beta model has done
Every number on this page is archived before kickoff and graded after the final whistle on the 90-minute result. Our call is the most likely 1X2 outcome and the side of each line at 50 % or more. Rates appear from five graded matches.
No graded match yet. The first calls are graded here after their final whistle.
