EFL League One predictions
Beta: new league, model still learning. Elo model from results only, with no bookmaker prices in our history for this league, so these are model probabilities, not compared with the market and not part of our betting record.
Ratings as of 2026-10-24: the newest match result the model has learned from. It learns again every day.
- BradfordBRAHuddersfieldHUD137.8%2.65X25.8%3.88236.4%2.74Over 2.550.8%1.97BTTS yes55.0%1.82
- Leyton OrientLEYCambridge UnitedCAM133.0%3.03X25.6%3.90241.4%2.41Over 2.551.0%1.96BTTS yes54.9%1.82
- PlymouthPLYReadingREA143.3%2.31X25.4%3.93231.2%3.20Over 2.551.2%1.96BTTS yes54.8%1.82
- BarnsleyBAROxford UnitedOXF121.8%4.59X23.3%4.29254.9%1.82Over 2.553.3%1.88BTTS yes53.5%1.87
- LeicesterLEIStevenageSTE137.2%2.69X25.8%3.88237.0%2.70Over 2.550.8%1.97BTTS yes55.0%1.82
- Mansfield TownMANNotts CountyNOT155.3%1.81X23.2%4.31221.5%4.64Over 2.553.4%1.87BTTS yes53.4%1.87
- Milton Keynes DonsMKDDoncasterDON139.8%2.51X25.7%3.89234.4%2.90Over 2.550.9%1.96BTTS yes55.0%1.82
- PeterboroughPETLutonLUT121.9%4.57X23.3%4.29254.8%1.82Over 2.553.3%1.88BTTS yes53.5%1.87
- Stockport CountySTOAFC WimbledonWIM169.0%1.45X18.4%5.43212.6%7.94Over 2.558.6%1.71BTTS yes50.1%1.99
- WiganWIGBromleyBRO144.7%2.24X25.3%3.95230.0%3.33Over 2.551.3%1.95BTTS yes54.7%1.83
- WycombeWYCBurton AlbionBUR143.6%2.30X25.4%3.93231.0%3.22Over 2.551.2%1.95BTTS yes54.8%1.82
- Sheffield WednesdaySHWBlackpoolBLA149.0%2.04X24.6%4.06226.4%3.79Over 2.551.9%1.93BTTS yes54.3%1.84
- HuddersfieldHUDLutonLUT146.0%2.17X25.1%3.98228.9%3.46Over 2.551.5%1.94BTTS yes54.6%1.83
- Oxford UnitedOXFReadingREA143.3%2.31X25.4%3.93231.2%3.20Over 2.551.2%1.96BTTS yes54.8%1.82
- AFC WimbledonWIMBlackpoolBLA134.2%2.93X25.7%3.89240.2%2.49Over 2.550.9%1.96BTTS yes55.0%1.82
- BromleyBRONotts CountyNOT129.6%3.38X25.2%3.97245.2%2.21Over 2.551.4%1.95BTTS yes54.7%1.83
- DoncasterDONLeyton OrientLEY144.0%2.27X25.4%3.94230.6%3.27Over 2.551.2%1.95BTTS yes54.8%1.83
- LeicesterLEIBradfordBRA131.3%3.20X25.5%3.93243.3%2.31Over 2.551.1%1.96BTTS yes54.8%1.82
- LutonLUTCambridge UnitedCAM147.9%2.09X24.8%4.03227.3%3.67Over 2.551.8%1.93BTTS yes54.4%1.84
- Milton Keynes DonsMKDBurton AlbionBUR139.6%2.53X25.7%3.89234.7%2.88Over 2.550.9%1.97BTTS yes55.0%1.82
- PeterboroughPETOxford UnitedOXF122.1%4.53X23.4%4.28254.5%1.83Over 2.553.2%1.88BTTS yes53.5%1.87
- Sheffield WednesdaySHWPlymouthPLY133.1%3.02X25.6%3.90241.3%2.42Over 2.551.0%1.96BTTS yes54.9%1.82
- StevenageSTEMansfield TownMAN134.4%2.91X25.7%3.89240.0%2.50Over 2.550.9%1.96BTTS yes55.0%1.82
- Stockport CountySTOReadingREA147.1%2.12X25.0%4.01228.0%3.58Over 2.551.6%1.94BTTS yes54.5%1.83
- WiganWIGBarnsleyBAR142.6%2.35X25.5%3.92231.9%3.13Over 2.551.1%1.96BTTS yes54.9%1.82
- WycombeWYCHuddersfieldHUD127.7%3.62X24.9%4.02247.4%2.11Over 2.551.7%1.93BTTS yes54.5%1.84
The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.
How the beta model has done
Every number on this page is archived before kickoff and graded after the final whistle on the 90-minute result. Our call is the most likely 1X2 outcome and the side of each line at 50 % or more. Rates appear from five graded matches.
No graded match yet. The first calls are graded here after their final whistle.
