Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Beta: new league, model still learning. Elo model from results only, with no bookmaker prices in our history for this league, so these are model probabilities, not compared with the market and not part of our betting record.
Ratings as of 2026-10-25: the newest match result the model has learned from. It learns again every day.
- Grazer AKGRATSV HartbergTSV142.9%2.33X25.1%3.99232.1%3.12Over 2.553.0%1.89BTTS yes56.4%1.77
- SCR AltachSCRRiedRIE136.2%2.76X25.3%3.95238.4%2.60Over 2.552.8%1.90BTTS yes56.5%1.77
- Lask LinzLASWSG WattensWSG168.7%1.46X18.3%5.45213.0%7.69Over 2.560.1%1.66BTTS yes51.8%1.93
- Red Bull SalzburgSALAustria LustenauAUS174.1%1.35X15.9%6.27210.0%10.03Over 2.563.1%1.59BTTS no50.1%2.00
- Wolfsberger ACWOLSturm GrazSTG118.6%5.38X21.5%4.64259.9%1.67Over 2.556.6%1.77BTTS yes54.0%1.85
- Austria ViennaAUSRapid ViennaRAP122.6%4.43X23.1%4.33254.3%1.84Over 2.554.9%1.82BTTS yes55.1%1.81
- Rapid ViennaRAPWolfsberger ACWOL178.1%1.28X14.0%7.1627.9%12.63Over 2.565.7%1.52BTTS no51.7%1.93
- Austria LustenauAUSGrazer AKGRA140.1%2.49X25.3%3.96234.6%2.89Over 2.552.8%1.89BTTS yes56.5%1.77
- RiedRIELask LinzLAS131.0%3.23X25.0%4.00244.0%2.27Over 2.553.1%1.88BTTS yes56.3%1.78
- TSV HartbergTSVSCR AltachSCR154.6%1.83X23.0%4.34222.4%4.47Over 2.555.0%1.82BTTS yes55.1%1.82
- WSG WattensWSGAustria ViennaAUS148.5%2.06X24.3%4.11227.2%3.68Over 2.553.7%1.86BTTS yes55.9%1.79
- Sturm GrazSTGRed Bull SalzburgSAL141.1%2.44X25.2%3.96233.7%2.97Over 2.552.9%1.89BTTS yes56.5%1.77
The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.
How the beta model has done
Every number on this page is archived before kickoff and graded after the final whistle on the 90-minute result. Our call is the most likely 1X2 outcome and the side of each line at 50 % or more. Rates appear from five graded matches.
No graded match yet. The first calls are graded here after their final whistle.
