Beta

A-League predictions

Beta: new league, model still learning. Elo model from results only, with no bookmaker prices in our history for this league, so these are model probabilities, not compared with the market and not part of our betting record.

  • Model probabilities only
  • Outside our betting record

See how our results-based model rates the next round of matches.

Ratings as of 2026-04-26. Updated as new results arrive.

Upcoming match predictions

  • Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners

    Sun 1 Nov · 04:00 UK
    Over 2.555.0%Fair 1.82BTTS yes57.4%Fair 1.74
    Home win
    46.6%Fair 2.15
    Draw
    24.3%Fair 4.11
    Away win
    29.1%Fair 3.44
    Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory to win46.6%04:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    46.6%Fair 2.15
    Draw
    24.3%Fair 4.11
    Away win
    29.1%Fair 3.44
    Over 2.555.0%Fair 1.82BTTS yes57.4%Fair 1.74

  • Perth GloryAdelaide United

    Sun 1 Nov · 08:00 UK
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    36.4%Fair 2.75
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    38.6%Fair 2.59
    Perth Glory vs Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United to win38.6%08:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    36.4%Fair 2.75
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    38.6%Fair 2.59
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73

  • SydneyCentral Coast Mariners

    Fri 6 Nov · 08:40 UK
    Over 2.554.7%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.6%Fair 1.74
    Home win
    43.8%Fair 2.29
    Draw
    24.7%Fair 4.05
    Away win
    31.6%Fair 3.17
    Sydney vs Central Coast MarinersSydney to win43.8%08:40UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    43.8%Fair 2.29
    Draw
    24.7%Fair 4.05
    Away win
    31.6%Fair 3.17
    Over 2.554.7%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.6%Fair 1.74

  • AucklandWellington Phoenix

    Sat 7 Nov · 04:00 UK
    Over 2.555.1%Fair 1.81BTTS yes57.3%Fair 1.75
    Home win
    47.3%Fair 2.11
    Draw
    24.2%Fair 4.13
    Away win
    28.4%Fair 3.52
    Auckland vs Wellington PhoenixAuckland to win47.3%04:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    47.3%Fair 2.11
    Draw
    24.2%Fair 4.13
    Away win
    28.4%Fair 3.52
    Over 2.555.1%Fair 1.81BTTS yes57.3%Fair 1.75

  • Melbourne CityWestern Sydney Wanderers

    Sat 7 Nov · 08:40 UK
    Over 2.555.2%Fair 1.81BTTS yes57.3%Fair 1.75
    Home win
    47.7%Fair 2.10
    Draw
    24.2%Fair 4.14
    Away win
    28.1%Fair 3.56
    Melbourne City vs Western Sydney WanderersMelbourne City to win47.7%08:40UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    47.7%Fair 2.10
    Draw
    24.2%Fair 4.14
    Away win
    28.1%Fair 3.56
    Over 2.555.2%Fair 1.81BTTS yes57.3%Fair 1.75

  • Perth GloryNewcastle Jets

    Sat 7 Nov · 10:45 UK
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    35.4%Fair 2.83
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.01
    Away win
    39.7%Fair 2.52
    Perth Glory vs Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets to win39.7%10:45UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    35.4%Fair 2.83
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.01
    Away win
    39.7%Fair 2.52
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73

  • MacarthurBrisbane Roar

    Sun 8 Nov · 04:00 UK
    Over 2.554.9%Fair 1.82BTTS yes57.4%Fair 1.74
    Home win
    45.6%Fair 2.19
    Draw
    24.5%Fair 4.09
    Away win
    29.9%Fair 3.34
    Macarthur vs Brisbane RoarMacarthur to win45.6%04:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    45.6%Fair 2.19
    Draw
    24.5%Fair 4.09
    Away win
    29.9%Fair 3.34
    Over 2.554.9%Fair 1.82BTTS yes57.4%Fair 1.74

  • Adelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory

    Sun 8 Nov · 06:00 UK
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    42.1%Fair 2.38
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    33.1%Fair 3.02
    Adelaide United vs Melbourne VictoryAdelaide United to win42.1%06:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    42.1%Fair 2.38
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    33.1%Fair 3.02
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73

  • Western Sydney WanderersAdelaide United

    Fri 20 Nov · 08:40 UK
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    33.8%Fair 2.96
    Draw
    24.9%Fair 4.02
    Away win
    41.3%Fair 2.42
    Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United to win41.3%08:40UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    33.8%Fair 2.96
    Draw
    24.9%Fair 4.02
    Away win
    41.3%Fair 2.42
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73

  • AucklandMelbourne Victory

    Sat 21 Nov · 04:00 UK
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    41.6%Fair 2.40
    Draw
    24.9%Fair 4.02
    Away win
    33.6%Fair 2.98
    Auckland vs Melbourne VictoryAuckland to win41.6%04:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    41.6%Fair 2.40
    Draw
    24.9%Fair 4.02
    Away win
    33.6%Fair 2.98
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73

  • Central Coast MarinersPerth Glory

    Sat 21 Nov · 06:00 UK
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    42.1%Fair 2.38
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    33.1%Fair 3.02
    Central Coast Mariners vs Perth GloryCentral Coast Mariners to win42.1%06:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    42.1%Fair 2.38
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    33.1%Fair 3.02
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.83BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73

  • Brisbane RoarSydney

    Sat 21 Nov · 08:40 UK
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    35.9%Fair 2.79
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    39.1%Fair 2.55
    Brisbane Roar vs SydneySydney to win39.1%08:40UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    35.9%Fair 2.79
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    39.1%Fair 2.55
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73

  • Wellington PhoenixMacarthur

    Sun 22 Nov · 02:00 UK
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    41.0%Fair 2.44
    Draw
    24.9%Fair 4.02
    Away win
    34.1%Fair 2.93
    Wellington Phoenix vs MacarthurWellington Phoenix to win41.0%02:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    41.0%Fair 2.44
    Draw
    24.9%Fair 4.02
    Away win
    34.1%Fair 2.93
    Over 2.554.5%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.7%Fair 1.73

  • MacarthurMelbourne City

    Fri 27 Nov · 08:40 UK
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    38.8%Fair 2.58
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    36.2%Fair 2.76
    Macarthur vs Melbourne CityMacarthur to win38.8%08:40UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    38.8%Fair 2.58
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    36.2%Fair 2.76
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73

  • Central Coast MarinersAuckland

    Sat 28 Nov · 08:40 UK
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73
    Home win
    37.2%Fair 2.69
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    37.8%Fair 2.65
    Central Coast Mariners vs AucklandAuckland to win37.8%08:40UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    37.2%Fair 2.69
    Draw
    25.0%Fair 4.00
    Away win
    37.8%Fair 2.65
    Over 2.554.4%Fair 1.84BTTS yes57.8%Fair 1.73

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. They are a model estimate, not a bookmaker offer.

How the beta model has done

Every number on this page is archived before kickoff and graded after the final whistle on the 90-minute result. Our call is the most likely 1X2 outcome and the side of each line at 50 % or more. Rates appear from five graded matches.

No graded match yet. The first calls are graded here after their final whistle.