Beta

Brazilian Serie A predictions

Beta: new league, model still learning. Elo model from results only, with no bookmaker prices in our history for this league, so the model has not been tested against the market. A bookmaker price shown next to it is for comparison only, and these matches are not part of our betting record.

  • Model probabilities only
  • Outside our betting record

See how our results-based model rates the next round of matches.

Ratings as of 2026-11-02. Updated as new results arrive.

Upcoming match predictions

  • BotafogoAtletico-MG

    Thu 5 Nov · 00:30 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.5761.8%X4.1022.9%26.0015.3%Over 2.51.7055.6%Under 2.52.1044.4%BTTS yes1.7553.6%BTTS no2.0046.4%
    Home win
    34.5%Fair 2.90
    Draw
    26.5%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    38.9%Fair 2.57
    Botafogo vs Atletico-MGAtletico-MG to win38.9%00:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    34.5%Fair 2.90
    Draw
    26.5%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    38.9%Fair 2.57
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.5761.8%X4.1022.9%26.0015.3%Over 2.51.7055.6%Under 2.52.1044.4%BTTS yes1.7553.6%BTTS no2.0046.4%

  • Sao PauloCorinthians

    Thu 5 Nov · 00:30 UK
    Over 2.550.4%Fair 1.98BTTS yes50.5%Fair 1.98
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.6036.7%X3.0031.7%23.0031.7%Over 2.52.5036.7%Under 2.51.5063.3%BTTS yes2.0545.0%BTTS no1.7055.0%
    Home win
    56.1%Fair 1.78
    Draw
    23.5%Fair 4.25
    Away win
    20.3%Fair 4.92
    Sao Paulo vs CorinthiansSao Paulo to win56.1%00:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    56.1%Fair 1.78
    Draw
    23.5%Fair 4.25
    Away win
    20.3%Fair 4.92
    Over 2.550.4%Fair 1.98BTTS yes50.5%Fair 1.98
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.6036.7%X3.0031.7%23.0031.7%Over 2.52.5036.7%Under 2.51.5063.3%BTTS yes2.0545.0%BTTS no1.7055.0%

  • PalmeirasRemo

    Thu 5 Nov · 22:30 UK
    Over 2.560.8%Fair 1.64BTTS no55.5%Fair 1.80
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.2279.7%X6.5013.9%213.006.4%Over 2.51.5361.9%Under 2.52.4038.2%BTTS yes2.0545.0%BTTS no1.7055.0%
    Home win
    77.1%Fair 1.30
    Draw
    15.0%Fair 6.68
    Away win
    8.0%Fair 12.55
    Palmeiras vs RemoPalmeiras to win77.1%22:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    77.1%Fair 1.30
    Draw
    15.0%Fair 6.68
    Away win
    8.0%Fair 12.55
    Over 2.560.8%Fair 1.64BTTS no55.5%Fair 1.80
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.2279.7%X6.5013.9%213.006.4%Over 2.51.5361.9%Under 2.52.4038.2%BTTS yes2.0545.0%BTTS no1.7055.0%

  • CruzeiroBahia

    Fri 6 Nov · 00:30 UK
    Under 2.550.3%Fair 1.99BTTS yes50.9%Fair 1.97
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.7056.7%X3.9023.9%24.7519.4%Over 2.51.5361.9%Under 2.52.4038.2%BTTS yes1.5759.6%BTTS no2.2540.4%
    Home win
    53.9%Fair 1.86
    Draw
    24.2%Fair 4.14
    Away win
    22.0%Fair 4.56
    Cruzeiro vs BahiaCruzeiro to win53.9%00:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    53.9%Fair 1.86
    Draw
    24.2%Fair 4.14
    Away win
    22.0%Fair 4.56
    Under 2.550.3%Fair 1.99BTTS yes50.9%Fair 1.97
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.7056.7%X3.9023.9%24.7519.4%Over 2.51.5361.9%Under 2.52.4038.2%BTTS yes1.5759.6%BTTS no2.2540.4%

  • VitoriaFluminense

    Fri 6 Nov · 23:00 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.8833.2%X3.2529.3%22.5537.6%Over 2.52.0545.8%Under 2.51.7554.2%BTTS yes1.8052.1%BTTS no1.9547.9%
    Home win
    34.9%Fair 2.87
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    38.6%Fair 2.59
    Vitoria vs FluminenseFluminense to win38.6%23:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    34.9%Fair 2.87
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    38.6%Fair 2.59
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.8833.2%X3.2529.3%22.5537.6%Over 2.52.0545.8%Under 2.51.7554.2%BTTS yes1.8052.1%BTTS no1.9547.9%

  • MirassolAtletico-MG

    Sat 14 Nov · 21:30 UK
    Under 2.552.4%Fair 1.91BTTS yes52.2%Fair 1.92
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.4538.2%X3.3027.9%22.7533.9%Over 2.51.8551.4%Under 2.51.9548.6%BTTS yes1.6756.1%BTTS no2.1043.9%
    Home win
    41.8%Fair 2.39
    Draw
    26.4%Fair 3.80
    Away win
    31.9%Fair 3.14
    Mirassol vs Atletico-MGMirassol to win41.8%21:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    41.8%Fair 2.39
    Draw
    26.4%Fair 3.80
    Away win
    31.9%Fair 3.14
    Under 2.552.4%Fair 1.91BTTS yes52.2%Fair 1.92
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.4538.2%X3.3027.9%22.7533.9%Over 2.51.8551.4%Under 2.51.9548.6%BTTS yes1.6756.1%BTTS no2.1043.9%

  • Chapecoense-scVasco DA Gama

    Sat 14 Nov · 23:30 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Home win
    34.7%Fair 2.88
    Draw
    26.5%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    38.7%Fair 2.58
    Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama to win38.7%23:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    34.7%Fair 2.88
    Draw
    26.5%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    38.7%Fair 2.58
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91

  • CoritibaSantos

    Wed 18 Nov · 22:30 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.9031.7%X3.4026.8%22.2541.5%Over 2.51.7354.9%Under 2.52.0845.1%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%
    Home win
    37.2%Fair 2.69
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.76
    Away win
    36.3%Fair 2.76
    Coritiba vs SantosCoritiba to win37.2%22:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    37.2%Fair 2.69
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.76
    Away win
    36.3%Fair 2.76
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.9031.7%X3.4026.8%22.2541.5%Over 2.51.7354.9%Under 2.52.0845.1%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%

  • RemoChapecoense-sc

    Wed 18 Nov · 23:00 UK
    Over 2.550.9%Fair 1.96BTTS yes50.2%Fair 1.99
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.6757.0%X3.8024.1%24.7518.9%Over 2.51.6258.6%Under 2.52.2541.4%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%
    Home win
    57.7%Fair 1.73
    Draw
    23.1%Fair 4.33
    Away win
    19.2%Fair 5.21
    Remo vs Chapecoense-scRemo to win57.7%23:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    57.7%Fair 1.73
    Draw
    23.1%Fair 4.33
    Away win
    19.2%Fair 5.21
    Over 2.550.9%Fair 1.96BTTS yes50.2%Fair 1.99
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.6757.0%X3.8024.1%24.7518.9%Over 2.51.6258.6%Under 2.52.2541.4%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%

  • CruzeiroPalmeiras

    Wed 18 Nov · 23:30 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.7034.6%X3.4027.1%22.4538.3%Over 2.51.8052.8%Under 2.52.0047.2%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%
    Home win
    38.0%Fair 2.64
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    35.5%Fair 2.82
    Cruzeiro vs PalmeirasCruzeiro to win38.0%23:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    38.0%Fair 2.64
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    35.5%Fair 2.82
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.7034.6%X3.4027.1%22.4538.3%Over 2.51.8052.8%Under 2.52.0047.2%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%

  • FlamengoAtletico Paranaense

    Wed 18 Nov · 23:30 UK
    Over 2.553.9%Fair 1.86BTTS no51.6%Fair 1.94
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.2874.5%X5.2516.6%29.008.9%Over 2.51.5063.3%Under 2.52.5036.7%BTTS yes1.9150.0%BTTS no1.9150.0%
    Home win
    65.3%Fair 1.53
    Draw
    20.4%Fair 4.91
    Away win
    14.3%Fair 7.00
    Flamengo vs Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo to win65.3%23:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    65.3%Fair 1.53
    Draw
    20.4%Fair 4.91
    Away win
    14.3%Fair 7.00
    Over 2.553.9%Fair 1.86BTTS no51.6%Fair 1.94
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.2874.5%X5.2516.6%29.008.9%Over 2.51.5063.3%Under 2.52.5036.7%BTTS yes1.9150.0%BTTS no1.9150.0%

  • CorinthiansBotafogo

    Thu 19 Nov · 00:30 UK
    Under 2.551.8%Fair 1.93BTTS yes51.8%Fair 1.93
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.8551.2%X3.5026.2%24.0022.7%Over 2.51.9548.6%Under 2.51.8551.4%BTTS yes1.8052.1%BTTS no1.9547.9%
    Home win
    46.5%Fair 2.15
    Draw
    25.8%Fair 3.88
    Away win
    27.7%Fair 3.61
    Corinthians vs BotafogoCorinthians to win46.5%00:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    46.5%Fair 2.15
    Draw
    25.8%Fair 3.88
    Away win
    27.7%Fair 3.61
    Under 2.551.8%Fair 1.93BTTS yes51.8%Fair 1.93
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.8551.2%X3.5026.2%24.0022.7%Over 2.51.9548.6%Under 2.51.8551.4%BTTS yes1.8052.1%BTTS no1.9547.9%

  • GremioBahia

    Thu 19 Nov · 00:30 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.3040.8%X3.4027.0%22.8832.2%Over 2.51.7055.6%Under 2.52.1044.4%BTTS yes1.5759.6%BTTS no2.2540.4%
    Home win
    35.9%Fair 2.79
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.76
    Away win
    37.6%Fair 2.66
    Gremio vs BahiaBahia to win37.6%00:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    35.9%Fair 2.79
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.76
    Away win
    37.6%Fair 2.66
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.3040.8%X3.4027.0%22.8832.2%Over 2.51.7055.6%Under 2.52.1044.4%BTTS yes1.5759.6%BTTS no2.2540.4%

  • Vasco DA GamaInternacional

    Thu 19 Nov · 22:30 UK
    Under 2.550.9%Fair 1.97BTTS yes51.3%Fair 1.95
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.7553.8%X3.6025.0%24.2021.2%Over 2.51.8052.8%Under 2.52.0047.2%BTTS yes1.7553.6%BTTS no2.0046.4%
    Home win
    51.3%Fair 1.95
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    23.9%Fair 4.19
    Vasco DA Gama vs InternacionalVasco DA Gama to win51.3%22:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    51.3%Fair 1.95
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    23.9%Fair 4.19
    Under 2.550.9%Fair 1.97BTTS yes51.3%Fair 1.95
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC11.7553.8%X3.6025.0%24.2021.2%Over 2.51.8052.8%Under 2.52.0047.2%BTTS yes1.7553.6%BTTS no2.0046.4%

  • VitoriaRB Bragantino

    Thu 19 Nov · 22:30 UK
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.4538.3%X3.4027.1%22.7034.6%Over 2.51.8052.8%Under 2.52.0047.2%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%
    Home win
    37.9%Fair 2.64
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    35.6%Fair 2.81
    Vitoria vs RB BragantinoVitoria to win37.9%22:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    37.9%Fair 2.64
    Draw
    26.6%Fair 3.77
    Away win
    35.6%Fair 2.81
    Under 2.552.6%Fair 1.90BTTS yes52.3%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.4538.3%X3.4027.1%22.7034.6%Over 2.51.8052.8%Under 2.52.0047.2%BTTS yes1.6258.1%BTTS no2.2041.9%

  • Sao PauloFluminense

    Fri 20 Nov · 00:30 UK
    Under 2.552.5%Fair 1.91BTTS yes52.2%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.2043.0%X3.2029.0%23.3028.1%Over 2.52.2042.4%Under 2.51.6557.6%BTTS yes1.9547.9%BTTS no1.8052.1%
    Home win
    40.7%Fair 2.46
    Draw
    26.4%Fair 3.78
    Away win
    32.9%Fair 3.04
    Sao Paulo vs FluminenseSao Paulo to win40.7%00:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    40.7%Fair 2.46
    Draw
    26.4%Fair 3.78
    Away win
    32.9%Fair 3.04
    Under 2.552.5%Fair 1.91BTTS yes52.2%Fair 1.91
    Bet365 4 Nov 22:23 UTC12.2043.0%X3.2029.0%23.3028.1%Over 2.52.2042.4%Under 2.51.6557.6%BTTS yes1.9547.9%BTTS no1.8052.1%

  • PalmeirasFlamengo

    Sat 21 Nov · 19:30 UK
    Under 2.551.8%Fair 1.93BTTS yes51.8%Fair 1.93
    Home win
    46.4%Fair 2.16
    Draw
    25.8%Fair 3.88
    Away win
    27.9%Fair 3.59
    Palmeiras vs FlamengoPalmeiras to win46.4%19:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    46.4%Fair 2.16
    Draw
    25.8%Fair 3.88
    Away win
    27.9%Fair 3.59
    Under 2.551.8%Fair 1.93BTTS yes51.8%Fair 1.93

  • BahiaCoritiba

    Sat 21 Nov · 20:30 UK
    Over 2.551.7%Fair 1.93BTTS no50.3%Fair 1.99
    Home win
    60.1%Fair 1.66
    Draw
    22.3%Fair 4.48
    Away win
    17.6%Fair 5.69
    Bahia vs CoritibaBahia to win60.1%20:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    60.1%Fair 1.66
    Draw
    22.3%Fair 4.48
    Away win
    17.6%Fair 5.69
    Over 2.551.7%Fair 1.93BTTS no50.3%Fair 1.99

  • Chapecoense-scCruzeiro

    Sun 22 Nov · 00:00 UK
    Under 2.550.9%Fair 1.97BTTS yes51.2%Fair 1.95
    Home win
    23.8%Fair 4.19
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    51.3%Fair 1.95
    Chapecoense-sc vs CruzeiroCruzeiro to win51.3%00:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    23.8%Fair 4.19
    Draw
    24.8%Fair 4.03
    Away win
    51.3%Fair 1.95
    Under 2.550.9%Fair 1.97BTTS yes51.2%Fair 1.95

  • Atletico ParanaenseRemo

    Sun 22 Nov · 19:00 UK
    Over 2.553.6%Fair 1.87BTTS no51.4%Fair 1.95
    Home win
    64.6%Fair 1.55
    Draw
    20.7%Fair 4.84
    Away win
    14.7%Fair 6.79
    Atletico Paranaense vs RemoAtletico Paranaense to win64.6%19:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    64.6%Fair 1.55
    Draw
    20.7%Fair 4.84
    Away win
    14.7%Fair 6.79
    Over 2.553.6%Fair 1.87BTTS no51.4%Fair 1.95

  • FluminenseMirassol

    Sun 22 Nov · 21:30 UK
    Under 2.550.1%Fair 2.00BTTS yes50.8%Fair 1.97
    Home win
    54.4%Fair 1.84
    Draw
    24.0%Fair 4.16
    Away win
    21.5%Fair 4.64
    Fluminense vs MirassolFluminense to win54.4%21:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    54.4%Fair 1.84
    Draw
    24.0%Fair 4.16
    Away win
    21.5%Fair 4.64
    Under 2.550.1%Fair 2.00BTTS yes50.8%Fair 1.97

  • RB BragantinoVasco DA Gama

    Sun 22 Nov · 22:30 UK
    Under 2.550.2%Fair 1.99BTTS yes50.8%Fair 1.97
    Home win
    54.3%Fair 1.84
    Draw
    24.1%Fair 4.15
    Away win
    21.7%Fair 4.62
    RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA GamaRB Bragantino to win54.3%22:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    54.3%Fair 1.84
    Draw
    24.1%Fair 4.15
    Away win
    21.7%Fair 4.62
    Under 2.550.2%Fair 1.99BTTS yes50.8%Fair 1.97

  • InternacionalVitoria

    Mon 23 Nov · 22:30 UK
    Under 2.550.6%Fair 1.98BTTS yes51.1%Fair 1.96
    Home win
    52.5%Fair 1.90
    Draw
    24.5%Fair 4.08
    Away win
    23.0%Fair 4.36
    Internacional vs VitoriaInternacional to win52.5%22:30UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    52.5%Fair 1.90
    Draw
    24.5%Fair 4.08
    Away win
    23.0%Fair 4.36
    Under 2.550.6%Fair 1.98BTTS yes51.1%Fair 1.96

  • BotafogoSao Paulo

    Mon 23 Nov · 23:00 UK
    Under 2.552.2%Fair 1.92BTTS yes52.0%Fair 1.92
    Home win
    44.2%Fair 2.26
    Draw
    26.1%Fair 3.83
    Away win
    29.7%Fair 3.36
    Botafogo vs Sao PauloBotafogo to win44.2%23:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    44.2%Fair 2.26
    Draw
    26.1%Fair 3.83
    Away win
    29.7%Fair 3.36
    Under 2.552.2%Fair 1.92BTTS yes52.0%Fair 1.92

  • SantosGremio

    Tue 24 Nov · 00:00 UK
    Over 2.552.9%Fair 1.89BTTS no51.0%Fair 1.96
    Home win
    63.1%Fair 1.58
    Draw
    21.2%Fair 4.71
    Away win
    15.7%Fair 6.39
    Santos vs GremioSantos to win63.1%00:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    63.1%Fair 1.58
    Draw
    21.2%Fair 4.71
    Away win
    15.7%Fair 6.39
    Over 2.552.9%Fair 1.89BTTS no51.0%Fair 1.96

  • Atletico-MGCorinthians

    Wed 25 Nov · 23:00 UK
    Over 2.554.2%Fair 1.85BTTS no51.7%Fair 1.93
    Home win
    66.0%Fair 1.52
    Draw
    20.1%Fair 4.97
    Away win
    13.9%Fair 7.19
    Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansAtletico-MG to win66.0%23:00UK
    All model probabilities
    Home win
    66.0%Fair 1.52
    Draw
    20.1%Fair 4.97
    Away win
    13.9%Fair 7.19
    Over 2.554.2%Fair 1.85BTTS no51.7%Fair 1.93

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. They are a model estimate, not a bookmaker offer.

How the beta model has done

Every number on this page is archived before kickoff and graded after the final whistle on the 90-minute result. Our call is the most likely 1X2 outcome and the side of each line at 50 % or more. Rates appear from five graded matches.

No graded match yet. The first calls are graded here after their final whistle.