Scottish Premiership predictions
Beta: new league, model still learning. Elo model from results only, with no bookmaker prices in our history for this league, so these are model probabilities, not compared with the market and not part of our betting record.
Ratings as of 2026-10-28: the newest match result the model has learned from. It learns again every day.
- KilmarnockKILST JohnstoneSTJ137.7%2.65X24.9%4.01237.3%2.68Over 2.554.7%1.83BTTS yes58.0%1.72
- MotherwellMOTST MirrenSTM154.5%1.84X22.8%4.40222.8%4.39Over 2.556.8%1.76BTTS yes56.6%1.77
- FalkirkFALCelticCEL120.4%4.90X21.9%4.57257.7%1.73Over 2.557.6%1.74BTTS yes56.0%1.79
- Dundee UtdDUNMotherwellMOT146.1%2.17X24.3%4.11229.5%3.39Over 2.555.2%1.81BTTS yes57.6%1.74
- ST JohnstoneSTJDundeeDUN141.9%2.39X24.8%4.04233.3%3.00Over 2.554.8%1.82BTTS yes57.9%1.73
- AberdeenABEHibernianHIB140.8%2.45X24.9%4.02234.4%2.91Over 2.554.7%1.83BTTS yes58.0%1.73
- ST MirrenSTMRangersRAN118.6%5.37X21.1%4.73260.2%1.66Over 2.558.4%1.71BTTS yes55.5%1.80
- Heart Of MidlothianHEAFalkirkFAL159.5%1.68X21.4%4.68219.1%5.23Over 2.558.2%1.72BTTS yes55.6%1.80
- CelticCELKilmarnockKIL173.1%1.37X16.2%6.17210.7%9.37Over 2.564.0%1.56BTTS yes51.8%1.93
The small number under each probability is the price with no bookmaker cut: 1 divided by our probability. A real bookmaker pays less.
How the beta model has done
Every number on this page is archived before kickoff and graded after the final whistle on the 90-minute result. Our call is the most likely 1X2 outcome and the side of each line at 50 % or more. Rates appear from five graded matches.
No graded match yet. The first calls are graded here after their final whistle.
