AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Bundesliga
RB LeipzigRB LeipzigLWLWL
Full time6-0Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1017:30UK14°C · Cloudy
Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtDDLWD

RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals (xg): our prediction vs the result

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

RB Leipzig2.10

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Ein Frankfurt2.13

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Result

RB Leipzig6-0Ein Frankfurt
4.74 – 1.96 xGUnderstat

The match produced 4.74 xG for RB Leipzig and 1.96 xG for Ein Frankfurt, against a final score of 6-0. The scoreline and the chances told different stories.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Leipzig have created 2.10 xG and scored 2.00 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely. Ein Frankfurt have created 2.13 xG and scored 2.17 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Statistic
RB Leipzig
Ein Frankfurt
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
2.10
2.13

xG conceded per game
1.44
2.28

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

RB LeipzigRB LeipzigLast 5
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 5-0
L
Loss · 0-2

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 2-2

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig wins
1Draws
1Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt wins
4.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
1 – 3
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
6 – 0
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
4 – 0
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2 – 1
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
2 – 2
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Match outlook

PickRB Leipzig59.6%
Draw18.8%
Ein Frankfurt21.6%

The model leans RB Leipzig to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

59.6%Favoured: RB Leipzig
66.6%Both Teams to Score
69.9%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig (1)
Conrad Harder
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
11.4%
8.77
1+ shot on target
38.5%
2.60
2+ shots
40.6%
2.46
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.36
On target1.52
Goals0.38
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt (1)
Can Uzun
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
29.0%
3.45
1+ shot on target
55.2%
1.81
2+ shots
55.3%
1.81
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.25
On target1.41
Goals0.60

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

BundesligaRB Leipzig fixtures and statsEintracht Frankfurt fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.