AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Bundesliga
Schalke 04Schalke 04WDLLD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1014:30UK10°C · Cloudy
RB LeipzigRB LeipzigWLWLW

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig xG stats

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

Schalke 041.00

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

RB Leipzig2.24

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

Schalke 04 have created 1.00 xG and scored 0.67 per game over their last 6, scoring below their xG. RB Leipzig have created 2.24 xG and scored 2.83 per game over their last 6, scoring above their xG.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

Schalke 04Schalke 04

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Statistic
Schalke 04
RB Leipzig
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
1.00
2.24

xG conceded per game
1.52
1.92

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Schalke 04Schalke 04Last 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

RB LeipzigRB LeipzigLast 5
W
Win · 5-0
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 6-0
L
Loss · 1-6
W
Win · 4-0

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Schalke 04Schalke 04 wins
0Draws
5RB LeipzigRB Leipzig wins
5.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
4 – 2
Schalke 04Schalke 04
Schalke 04Schalke 04
1 – 6
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Schalke 04Schalke 04
0 – 3
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
4 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04
Schalke 04Schalke 04
0 – 5
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Match outlook

Schalke 0424.2%
Draw21.4%
PickRB Leipzig54.5%

The model leans RB Leipzig to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

54.5%Favoured: RB Leipzig
67.1%Both Teams to Score
68.3%Over 2.5 goals

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Schalke 04Schalke 04 (1)
Adil Aouchiche
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
13.4%
7.46
1+ shot on target
43.4%
2.30
2+ shots
46.6%
2.15
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots1.96
On target0.71
Goals0.18
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig (1)
Conrad Harder
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
10.6%
9.43
1+ shot on target
42.5%
2.35
2+ shots
43.3%
2.31
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.07
On target1.53
Goals0.31

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

BundesligaSchalke 04 fixtures and statsRB Leipzig fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.