Süper Lig
Goztep vs 
Rizespor Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 46.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 71.0% for over 7.5 to 17.3% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.8%. Between the two sides, Goztep are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.3%, with a level count at 10.7%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| 8.5 corners | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| 9.5 corners | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| 10.5 corners | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 25.3% | 74.7% |
| 12.5 corners | 17.3% | 82.7% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
72.0%
56.5%
41.3%
58.9%
41.8%
27.3%
Corner handicap
| Goztep line | Goztep | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| -0.5 | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| +0.5 | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| +1.5 | 74.6% | 25.4% |
This season (2026/27)
5.4Goztep corners won per game5.4Goztep corners conceded per game5.4Rizespor corners won per game5.0Rizespor corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Goztep.
In-depth analysis
46.8%Over 9.5 corners56.5%Goztep over 4.5 corners41.8%Rizespor over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Goztep over 4.5 corners sits at 56.5% and Rizespor at 41.8%. This season Goztep have averaged 5.4 corners won a game and Rizespor 5.4.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Goztep vs Rizespor?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 46.8% for Goztep vs Rizespor.
Which team will win the corner count in Goztep vs Rizespor?
The model rates Goztep to win the corner count at 54.3%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Goztep and Rizespor average this season?
Goztep have won 5.4 corners a game this season and Rizespor 5.4.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
