Süper Lig
Kocaelispor vs 
Gaziantep Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 44.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 69.7% for over 7.5 to 16.3% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.3%. Between the two sides, Kocaelispor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.7%, with a level count at 10.6%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 69.7% | 30.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 57.7% | 42.4% |
| 9.5 corners | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| 10.5 corners | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 16.3% | 83.7% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
72.7%
57.3%
42.1%
56.1%
38.8%
24.7%
Corner handicap
| Kocaelispor line | Kocaelispor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 25.5% | 74.6% |
| -1.5 | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| -0.5 | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| +0.5 | 67.3% | 32.7% |
This season (2026/27)
3.2Kocaelispor corners won per game7.2Kocaelispor corners conceded per game3.8Gaziantep corners won per game4.4Gaziantep corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Kocaelispor.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.
45.3%Over 9.5 corners57.3%Kocaelispor over 4.5 corners38.8%Gaziantep over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Kocaelispor over 4.5 corners sits at 57.3% and Gaziantep at 38.8%. This season Kocaelispor have averaged 3.2 corners won a game and Gaziantep 3.8.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 45.3% for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep.
Which team will win the corner count in Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep?
The model rates Kocaelispor to win the corner count at 56.7%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Kocaelispor and Gaziantep average this season?
Kocaelispor have won 3.2 corners a game this season and Gaziantep 3.8.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
