Süper Lig
Corum vs 
Alanyaspor Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 42.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 68.0% for over 7.5 to 15.0% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.7%. Head to head on corners, Corum are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.5%, with a level count at 11.0%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| 8.5 corners | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| 10.5 corners | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| 11.5 corners | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| 12.5 corners | 15.0% | 85.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
69.7%
53.8%
38.5%
57.2%
40.0%
25.7%
Corner handicap
| Corum line | Corum | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| -0.5 | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| +0.5 | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| +1.5 | 74.3% | 25.7% |
This season (2026/27)
4.8Corum corners won per game5.4Corum corners conceded per game5.8Alanyaspor corners won per game3.8Alanyaspor corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Corum.
In-depth analysis
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
43.3%Over 9.5 corners53.8%Corum over 4.5 corners40.0%Alanyaspor over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Corum over 4.5 corners sits at 53.8% and Alanyaspor at 40.0%. This season Corum have averaged 4.8 corners won a game and Alanyaspor 5.8.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Corum vs Alanyaspor?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 43.3% for Corum vs Alanyaspor.
Which team will win the corner count in Corum vs Alanyaspor?
The model rates Corum to win the corner count at 53.5%, with a level count at 11.0%.
How many corners do Corum and Alanyaspor average this season?
Corum have won 4.8 corners a game this season and Alanyaspor 5.8.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
